Posted on 07/24/2020 8:53:53 AM PDT by sickoflibs
You mean ‘tenants’, of course! ;-P
Impy asked about highest raw-vote *margin* (better known as “victory margin”), not highest raw-vote total, so it’s a county that Trump carried.
Dallas County voted for Hillary, probably with 60% for her. It ain’t 2004 anymore.
DJ answered Montgomery County, TX (exurbs to the north of Houston) as having the highest population for a 60% Trump County, and indeed it gave Trump 73% in 2016. According to the 2016 Census estimate, Montgomery County’s population was 556,203. Trump’s vicory margin in the county was 104,479, which sounds tough to beat in Montgomery County, TX indeed had the highest population of any 60% Trump county.
I looked up Lee County, FL (which was my guess before going to Dave Leip’s Atlas of U.S. Presidential Elections), and I see that it had a higher 2016 population than did Montgomery County, FL, but it only gave Trump 58.12%, so that’s not the correct answer. The other SW FL county that I thought could be the answer—Collier County—was the largest county in FL to give Trump over 60%, but its 2016 population was only 365,000. (Collier County, FL is not to be confused with Collier County, TX (Plano and other suburbs and exurbs north of Dallas), which had a 2016 population of over 900,000 but only gave Trump 55%, a big drop from prior GOP nominees.) Neither Lee nor Collier Counties in FL came close to Trump’s 104,00+ victory margin in Montgomery County, TX.
So I kept fiddling around with Leip’s website, looking for possible candidates to topple Montgomery County, TX in either highest population for a 60%+ Trump county or greatest Trump numerical victory margin. There are quite a few counties in the Deep South that gave Trump victory margins of between 45,000 and 70,000 votes, but none of them approached Montgomery County’s 104,000+ vote Trump victory margin, much less its 556.012 population from 2016. I then checked out Tulsa County, OK, whose 2016 population was 642,940, but it only gave Trump 58.39% (down from the 61%-64% obtained by GOP presidential nominees from 2000-2012), and Trump’s numerical victory margin was only 56,411 votes. I also looked up some other possibilities elsewhere (Lancaster and York Counties, PA, El Paso County (Colorado Springs), Colorado, Waikesha County, WI, Butler County, OH, Hamilton County, IN, etc.), but no dice. (For kicks, I looked up Utah County, Utah, usually the most heavily GOP relatively big county in the country, and found that Trump only got 50%, but if you add the McMuffin vote it’s almost 80%, and the combined the Trump-McMuffin vote exceeded the Hillary vote by over 134,000 votes.)
At that point, I was stuck. I was fairly certain that Montgomery County, TX gave Trump his highest vote victory margin, but if another 60% Trump county had a higher 2016 population than 556,203, I couldn’t find it. Given that Impy phrased it as two separate questions, I had assumed that there were two separate answers, but I couldn’t think of anything. All of a sudden, the answer to that question came to me, and I looked it up and confirmed that I was right. The 60% Trump state with the highest population was Ocean County, NJ, whose population as per the 2016 Census estimate was 592,497 (so 36,000 highrr than Montgomery County, TX) and which gave 64.71% of its vote to President Trump. Trump’s victory margin in Ocean County was 91,929 votes, which was his second highest in the nation behing Montgomery County, TX’s 104,479.
Great questions, Impy!
Montgomery TX is correct of course as to question 2 (which you correctly interpreted) and it was the largest country to give Trump over 70%. It is very fast growing and has just passed the answer to question 1 in population in terms of 2019 Census Bureau estimates, but at time of the election, Montgomery County had fewer people than this other county that gave Trump over 60% (but less than 70%), this other county was also 2nd place in total vote margin.
The answer might surprise you, it did me, but it should not have.
Impy, did you read the penultimate paragraph of my prior post?
“At that point, I was stuck. I was fairly certain that Montgomery County, TX gave Trump his highest vote victory margin, but if another 60% Trump county had a higher 2016 population than 556,203, I couldn’t find it. Given that Impy phrased it as two separate questions, I had assumed that there were two separate answers, but I couldn’t think of anything. All of a sudden, the answer to that question came to me, and I looked it up and confirmed that I was right. The 60% Trump state with the highest population was Ocean County, NJ, whose population as per the 2016 Census estimate was 592,497 (so 36,000 highrr than Montgomery County, TX) and which gave 64.71% of its vote to President Trump. Trump’s victory margin in Ocean County was 91,929 votes, which was his second highest in the nation behing Montgomery County, TX’s 104,479.”
Why doesn’t she arrest them for social distancing violations?
Obviously, I did not. ;-D
You got it!
The Jersey Shore. I knew that county went big for Trump but I didn’t realize how populous it was.
its a shame that when secession comes that we will lose the Jersey shore to the Soviet States of America.
i hope we can keep the western panhandle of Maryland. but nobody lives there.
We can’t let them have it. Exclave my friend, exclave.
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