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Island tries to rely 100% on renewable power grid but it doesn't work more than 15% of the year
Just The News ^ | Published: December 25, 2023 11:12pm | By Kevin Killough

Posted on 12/26/2023 5:43:15 AM PST by Red Badger

https://justthenews.com/politics-policy/energy/island-canaries-attempts-100-renewable-grid-doesnt-meet-it-more-25-year

Since January 2022, Francis Menton has proposed on his “Manhattan Contrarian” blog an interesting idea regarding the concept of transitioning the electric grid to run entirely without fossil fuels: It might be a good idea that if nations across the world are committing so much money on this transition, it might be a good idea to demonstrate with a pilot project somewhere on Earth that it will actually work.

The International Energy Agency, a Paris-based autonomous intergovernmental organisation, estimates that global spending on clean energy transition away from fossil fuels to be $1.2 trillion since the start of the pandemic. This doesn’t include investments prior to 2020.

Menton is a free-market proponent who had a career in law spanning more than 40 years, including 31 years as a partner at the law firm Willkie Farr & Gallagher LLP.

“Before embarking on ‘net zero’ for a billion people, how about trying it out in a place with, say, 10,000, or 50,000, or 100,000 people – see if it can actually work and how much it will cost?” Menton wrote. In other words, he explained, take a small city and power its electricity grid entirely on wind, solar and energy storage for a full year without any kind of baseload backup from fossil fuels.

“I’ve been banging that drum for a long time. It's incredible to me that people think you're going to convert the world to an entirely new energy system, and nobody has ever done a demonstration project to show that it can be done. So we're gonna use 8 billion people as the guinea pig,” Menton told Just The News.

El Hierro

The closest Menton could find to such a project is the island of El Hierro. Nestled in the Canary Islands off the west coast of Africa, El Hierro embarked on a quest to become powered 100% by wind and pumped storage.

Pumped storage is a form of hydroelectric power that uses elevation to store water. It consists of two reservoirs, one placed considerably higher than the other. During periods of surplus energy production, (when more electricity is produced than being consumed) the extra power is used to power pumps to lift water from the lower reservoir to the higher one. When the energy is needed, the water is drained into the lower pool and the flow of water turns generators, just like in a hydroelectric dam.

El Hierro never set out to demonstrate that the rest of the globe could transition entirely to a grid powered by renewable energy, but it did promote itself as the 100% renewable island. It has a population of approximately 11,000 people, and it provides information about its electricity generation sources on its website. The Island's data made it useful for looking at how such a project as Menton proposes would go.

There are 8,760 hours in a year, and 8,784 in a leap year. In 2020, a leap year, the island was powered 100% with wind and pumped storage for 1,293 hours out of the year. That comes out to a mere 14.7% of the island's energy needs. In 2021, it managed to hit 1,328 hours, and in 2022, it dropped down to 1,008, meaning that only 11.5% of the island's energy needs were met by "green" power. For the other hours of the year, the island’s electricity supply was generated in part by diesel-powered generators.

EuroNews.com recently reported that the island managed to go 28 consecutive days using only wind and water power, but it provides no data on the dates and times of this achievement. The most recent data on the website stops at 2022, and it only provides monthly figures. Just The News reached out to EuroNews, to ask about the source of the figure, as the article doesn’t specify it. EuroNews did not respond.

Menton pointed out that El Hierro’s total 100% renewable hours dropped in 2022. There could be a number of reasons for that, including drought. Menton said it’s also possible, because wind turbines and hydroelectric systems degrade over time and produce less power, that that might also be responsible for reducing the total power generated by those systems.

Water power

Other places held up as models for 100% renewable energy often utilize large amounts of hydroelectric power, such as Uruguay. The World Economic Forum declares that the country runs 98% on renewable energy, and the New York Times Magazine did a glowing write-up last year, holding the country up as a leader in the energy transition.

Contradicting the WEF and Times' endorsements, a group of consultants in the energy sector published on the Substack newsletter “Doomberg” an analysis of the country’s energy mix and noted that nearly 20% of its power comes from fossil fuels. Uruguay also gets 37% of its electricity from hydroelectric dams. Hydroelectric is a power source that doesn’t produce carbon dioxide emissions, but it requires geology with steep elevation drops, limiting its use in many places in the world. Uruguay has some of the highest per-capita levels of electricity generated from hydroelectric in the world.

In the West, hydroelectric projects also face stiff opposition from environmentalists, making them difficult to permit and finance. The Biden administration is currently considering removing four dams on the Snake River in Idaho due to their impacts to salmon populations.

Uruguay also has a low per-capita GDP, ranking 47th on the International Monetary Fund’s global list, so its industrial energy consumption is low. This matters because Menton’s proposed project is a very low bar to reach. Electricity is only about 20% of the total energy people consume globally. The rest is transportation and heating, which includes energy-intensive heavy industry.

Under Menton's hypothesis, if there were a successful 100% renewable energy demonstration project powering an electricity grid entirely with wind, solar and energy storage, such as pumped storage and batteries, it would still provide only one-fifth of the total energy that people consume.


TOPICS: Business/Economy; Government; History; Military/Veterans
KEYWORDS: canary; canaryislands; climatechange; con; electricity; elhierro; fraud; globalwarming; hoax; island; loot; scam

1 posted on 12/26/2023 5:43:15 AM PST by Red Badger
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To: Red Badger

It is a failure of “higher education” that this is even debatable


2 posted on 12/26/2023 5:45:34 AM PST by mo ("If you understand, no explanation is needed; if you don't understand, no explanation is possible)
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To: mo

Science and especially Physics is not a required subject in HS and Universities any more.

We now have several generations of science-ignorant people in positions of power.................


3 posted on 12/26/2023 5:50:05 AM PST by Red Badger (Homeless veterans camp in the streets while l aliens are put up in hotels.....................)
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To: Red Badger


Do or do not! There is no try... you capitalist pigs!!!!

4 posted on 12/26/2023 5:52:02 AM PST by z3n (Kakistocracy)
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To: Red Badger

Wind Power is a Complete Disaster

This commentary was first published in the Financial Post on April 9, 2009.

There is no evidence that industrial wind power is likely to have a significant impact on carbon emissions. The European experience is instructive. Denmark, the world's most wind-intensive nation, with more than 6,000 turbines generating 19% of its electricity, has yet to close a single fossil-fuel plant. It requires 50% more coal-generated electricity to cover wind power's unpredictability, and pollution and carbon dioxide emissions have risen (by 36% in 2006 alone).

Flemming Nissen, the head of development at West Danish generating company ELSAM (one of Denmark's largest energy utilities) tells us that "wind turbines do not reduce carbon dioxide emissions." The German experience is no different. Der Spiegel reports that "Germany's CO2 emissions haven't been reduced by even a single gram," and additional coal-and gas-fired plants have been constructed to ensure reliable delivery.

Indeed, recent academic research shows that wind power may actually increase greenhouse gas emissions in some cases, depending on the carbon-intensity of back-up generation required because of its intermittent character. On the negative side of the environmental ledger are adverse impacts of industrial wind turbines on birdlife and other forms of wildlife, farm animals, wetlands and viewsheds.

Industrial wind power is not a viable economic alternative to other energy conservation options. Again, the Danish experience is instructive. Its electricity generation costs are the highest in Europe (15¢/kwh compared to Ontario's current rate of about 6¢). Niels Gram of the Danish Federation of Industries says, "windmills are a mistake and economically make no sense." Aase Madsen , the Chair of Energy Policy in the Danish Parliament, calls it "a terribly expensive disaster."

The U. S. Energy Information Administration reported in 2008, on a dollar per MWh basis, the U. S. government subsidizes wind at $23.34 -- compared to reliable energy sources: natural gas at 25¢; coal at 44¢; hydro at 67¢; and nuclear at $1.59, leading to what some U. S. commentators call "a huge corporate welfare feeding frenzy." The Wall Street Journal advises that "wind generation is the prime example of what can go wrong when the government decides to pick winners."

The Economist magazine notes in a recent editorial, "Wasting Money on Climate Change," that each tonne of emissions avoided due to subsidies to renewable energy such as wind power would cost somewhere between $69 and $137, whereas under a cap-and-trade scheme the price would be less than $15.

Either a carbon tax or a cap-and-trade system creates incentives for consumers and producers on a myriad of margins to reduce energy use and emissions that, as these numbers show, completely overwhelm subsidies to renewables in terms of cost effectiveness.

The Ontario Power Authority advises that wind producers will be paid 13.5¢/ kwh (more than twice what consumers are currently paying), even without accounting for the additional costs of interconnection, transmission and backup generation. As the European experience confirms, this will inevitably lead to a dramatic increase in electricity costs with consequent detrimental effects on business and employment. From this perspective, the government's promise of 55,000 new jobs is a cruel delusion.

A recent detailed analysis (focusing mainly on Spain) finds that for every job created by state-funded support of renewables, particularly wind energy, 2.2 jobs are lost. Each wind industry job created cost almost $2-million in subsidies. Why will the Ontario experience be different?

In debates over climate change, and in particular subsidies to renewable energy, there are two kinds of green. First there are some environmental greens who view the problem as so urgent that all measures that may have some impact on greenhouse gas emissions, whatever their cost or their impact on the economy and employment, should be undertaken immediately.

Then there are the fiscal greens, who, being cool to carbon taxes and cap-and-trade systems that make polluters pay, favour massive public subsidies to themselves for renewable energy projects, whatever their relative impact on greenhouse gas emissions. These two groups are motivated by different kinds of green. The only point of convergence between them is their support for massive subsidies to renewable energy (such as wind turbines).

This unholy alliance of these two kinds of greens (doomsdayers and rent seekers) makes for very effective, if opportunistic, politics (as reflected in the Ontario government's Green Energy Act), just as it makes for lousy public policy: Politicians attempt to pick winners at our expense in a fast-moving technological landscape, instead of creating a socially efficient set of incentives to which we can all respond.

These comments were excerpted from a submission on April 8, 2009 to the Ontario government's legislative committee On Bill 150.

 


5 posted on 12/26/2023 6:05:21 AM PST by E. Pluribus Unum (The worst thing about censorship is █████ ██ ████ ████████ █ ███████ ████. FJB.)
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To: Red Badger

A couple of thoughts. The entire Green Transition is about destroying the US economy and reducing us to poverty, so we’ll accept communism. (Notice none of the strident “Green” voices are attacking China or India or Russia.) The other thought is, suppose you did eliminate the need for oil generated power for some significant percentage of your requirement. This means the economic incentive to invest in, maintain and operate the oil burring capacity necessary will become unsustainable as the fixed costs don’t go away when you’re not using them. Personnel and trucks for example. Therefore, the truly necessary generation capacity will not be there when needed. Remember, that oil burning capacity has to be maintained at 100% even if it only used 15% of the time.


6 posted on 12/26/2023 6:08:26 AM PST by Gen.Blather (Wait! I said that out loud? )
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To: Gen.Blather

True that. IMHO, the only situation where solar and/or wind power for the grid makes sense is if a country can’t produce it’s own coal or natural gas. I can see a country wanting to reduce its dependency on energy imports. I wish we had more of that mentality.


7 posted on 12/26/2023 6:11:54 AM PST by Tell It Right (1st Thessalonians 5:21 -- Put everything to the test, hold fast to that which is true.)
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To: Tell It Right

Went to their website and everything technical is NON-ENGLISH.


8 posted on 12/26/2023 6:28:31 AM PST by George from New England
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To: Gen.Blather
It has been established that a lot of environmental agitation in the 1970's, including opposition to nuclear power, was abetted by the KGB. The Russians could not believe there luck. The useful idiots were lobbying to destroy Western countries' economies. These days the Chinese are in on the game, funding universities that support DEI and environmental extremism, while merrily annihilating minorities in their own country and building one new coal fired power plant a week.
9 posted on 12/26/2023 6:35:57 AM PST by Lonesome in Massachussets (Perdicaris alive or Raisuli dead!)
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To: Red Badger

Bottom line: Add all of the alternative energy sources together, and they don’t have the capability of ending the need for building $1 dollar worth of fossil fuel generating capacity. Solar and wind sources are unreliable, and must be used as supplements to fossil fuel generators.


10 posted on 12/26/2023 6:42:03 AM PST by nagant
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To: E. Pluribus Unum; Red Badger; SunkenCiv; Liz

And, the winning quote from these useful facts : “Both are motivated by different types of greed.” (er, green”)

Today’s greens are motivated by an anti-Western, anti-capitalism, anti-American Christian hate-filled “religion” that worships their Division, Inequity, and Exclusion mantra.


11 posted on 12/26/2023 6:43:29 AM PST by Robert A Cook PE (Method, motive, and opportunity: No morals, shear madness and hatred by those who cheat.)
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To: Red Badger

The hydroelectric equipment will not produce any more power after they are broken in. Its not going to get any better than this you idiot!


12 posted on 12/26/2023 6:43:43 AM PST by Delta 21 (If anyone is treasonous, it is those who call me such.)
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To: Delta 21

They will double down....................


13 posted on 12/26/2023 6:45:24 AM PST by Red Badger (Homeless veterans camp in the streets while l aliens are put up in hotels.....................)
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To: Red Badger; mo; z3n
Science and especially Physics is not a required subject in HS and Universities any more.

Besides science, logic and rhetoric need to be required subjects.

Our young people go out in to the world as sheep amongst the wolves, unable to defend their minds against the predators of Global Warming, Communism and COVID.

They need to be able to recognize a fallacious argument or a false dilemma when they see it.

Semantics would also be very useful today because it is the meaning of words that today is used to manipulate the young today. I can’t keep up with the ever changing meaning of words today.

14 posted on 12/26/2023 6:45:34 AM PST by Pontiac (The welfare state must fail because it is contrary to human nature and diminishes the human spirit.)
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To: Pontiac

“But if thought corrupts language, language can also corrupt thought.”
― George Orwell, 1984

“It’s a beautiful thing, the destruction of words.”
― George Orwell, 1984

“Don’t you see that the whole aim of Newspeak is to narrow the range of thought? In the end we shall make thoughtcrime literally impossible, because there will be no words in which to express it.”
― George Orwell, 1984


15 posted on 12/26/2023 6:48:11 AM PST by Red Badger (Homeless veterans camp in the streets while l aliens are put up in hotels.....................)
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To: Red Badger

Orwell, even though he had Leftist leanings saw the evil that the Soviet Communist were doing with there attacks on truth and language.

He saw through their use of rhetoric to control thought and public discourse.

I haven’t read 1984 in a very long time. I should read it again. I will never love Big Brother but it wouldn’t hurt to understand him better.


16 posted on 12/26/2023 8:02:57 AM PST by Pontiac (The welfare state must fail because it is contrary to human nature and diminishes the human spirit.)
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To: Tell It Right; Red Badger
True that. IMHO, the only situation where solar and/or wind power for the grid makes sense is if a country can’t produce its own coal or natural gas. I can see a country wanting to reduce its dependency on energy imports. I wish we had more of that mentality.

The only place I can see total dependence on renewables is a place like the subject of this article.

A place without industry. Which almost requires a subsistance society. The people have to be used to doing without dependable electricity

17 posted on 12/26/2023 8:34:39 AM PST by Pontiac (The welfare state must fail because it is contrary to human nature and diminishes the human spirit.)
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To: Red Badger

I recall that an island off of Maine tried the 100% renewable route. They didn’t make it either. Not even close. Net zero is net horseshit.


18 posted on 12/26/2023 9:26:50 AM PST by Sequoyah101 (Procrastination is just a form of defiance)
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