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Back In The Saddle Again! Why The Fed Will RAISE Rates (Home Price Growth Reaccelerating, SuperCore Inflation Is Rising, Mass Immigration)
Confounded Interest ^ | 02/18/2024 | Anthony B. Sanders

Posted on 02/18/2024 8:35:29 AM PST by Kaiser8408a

The Federal Reserve (aka, The Keep) is back in the saddle again. The Fed has been unable to control inflation since Federal government spending was so fast and furious after Covid that little thought was given to the long-term ramifications of insane spending.

Example?

Home price growth is rising again. Home prices in traditional “bubble cities” out west were cooling, but are reaccelerating. Even Detroit and Cleveland are seeing rapid home price acceleration.

In retrospect, this wholesale dovish euphoria may have been rather short sighted, because after several strong economist reports hit the tape (with the Nov 2024 election growing closer by the day, that should hardly have been a surprise), March rate cut odds collapsed from over 100% in late December, to just 12% currently…

… as first the January CPI printed red blazing hot – with core coming in at 3.9% far higher than the 3.7% expected, with the 3-month annualized rate jumping to 4% from 3.3% and the 6-month annualized rate spiking to 3.7% vs 3.2%, but the biggest highlight was SuperCore CPI (i.e., core CPI services ex-Shelter) which soared 0.7% MoM, the biggest jump since Sept 2022…

Of course, the mass migration across the Mexican border (who knows? could be up to 11 million under Biden’s Reign of Error). While Paul Krugman, the resident lunatic economist for the New York Times, extols the virtues of mass immigration for driving up GDP, fails to recognize that mass migration is helping drive up prices. This is inflation that The Fed can’t control. And Biden/Mayorkas want even MORE mass immigration.

Maybe Fed Chair Powell should watch the film “The Keep” for lessons on how to control inflation. in the face of government sanctioned mass ILLEGAL immigration from Latin America, China, Africa and The Middle East.

(Excerpt) Read more at confoundedinterest.net ...


TOPICS: Business/Economy; Food; Government; Politics
KEYWORDS: debt; fed; housing; immigration; inflation; interest; rates
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1 posted on 02/18/2024 8:35:29 AM PST by Kaiser8408a
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To: Kaiser8408a

The scum establishment is attacking Americans with fiat currency inflation, crushing taxation, and illegals immigration to depress wages and spike inflationary pressure.

We are ruled by evil criminals, thieves, and perverts.

This cannot stand.


2 posted on 02/18/2024 8:38:48 AM PST by wildcard_redneck (He who sacrifices freedom for security deserves neither.)
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To: Kaiser8408a

No good choices.

I bet they raise.


3 posted on 02/18/2024 8:39:05 AM PST by ClearCase_guy
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To: Kaiser8408a

Interest rates will probably not decline, until tax rates increase.


4 posted on 02/18/2024 8:43:00 AM PST by linMcHlp
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To: Kaiser8408a

I don’t know how Fed Chair Powell personally feels. But the Deep State obviously wants to see Biden “win” again in November. Inflation will upset the voters. But so will higher borrowing rates.

Poor Fed Chair Powell. I guess he’ll be getting a ton of conflicting advice.


5 posted on 02/18/2024 8:46:27 AM PST by Leaning Right (The steal is real.)
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To: Kaiser8408a

The only way to relieve inflation is to produce more of the goods that are in high demand.

Screwing with interest rates causes high unemployment, bankruptcies and major misery for the public.

The FED is a scam. And a gift to side traders.


6 posted on 02/18/2024 8:49:54 AM PST by old curmudgeon (There is no situation so bad that the government can not make worse)
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To: Kaiser8408a
There's a key word in all of this an it's "OVERWHELM"..

CLOWARD & PIVEN

7 posted on 02/18/2024 8:52:08 AM PST by CivilWarBrewing (Get off my back for my usage of CAPS, especially you snowflake males! MAN UP!)
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To: CivilWarBrewing

It’s overwhelming alright


8 posted on 02/18/2024 8:55:14 AM PST by SaveFerris (Luke 17:28 ... as it was in the Days of Lot; They did Eat, They Drank, They Bought, They Sold ......)
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To: Kaiser8408a

“Home Price Growth Reaccelerating”

Home prices are driven by the stock market, not by interest rates.

What a young adult does buying an iPhone mean?

Quite often it means being priced out of the opportunity to buy a house.

What a young adult does buying from Amazon mean?

Quite often it means being priced out of the opportunity to buy a house.


9 posted on 02/18/2024 9:02:02 AM PST by Brian Griffin
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To: wildcard_redneck

(The scum establishment is attacking Americans with fiat currency inflation, crushing taxation, and illegals immigration to depress wages and spike inflationary pressure.)

World War III will provide an excellent distraction.

Sorta.....but not really.


10 posted on 02/18/2024 9:04:07 AM PST by SaveFerris (Luke 17:28 ... as it was in the Days of Lot; They did Eat, They Drank, They Bought, They Sold ......)
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To: Kaiser8408a

Home prices growing is in large part because of hedge funds manipulating the markets, period.

Playing with interest rates isn’t going to stop this trend.


11 posted on 02/18/2024 9:05:57 AM PST by HamiltonJay
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To: wildcard_redneck

“We are ruled by evil criminals, thieves, and perverts.

This cannot stand.”

The average American hates government and politicians, but votes to increase both.


12 posted on 02/18/2024 9:06:41 AM PST by brownsfan (It's going to take real, serious, hard times to wake the American public.)
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To: old curmudgeon

If housing wasn’t overpriced, people with 6% mortgages could tack on 2% onto the mortgage principle and only shell out 4% on a timely basis to the mortgage company.

If inflation is 8% a year, do you think mortgages should be 4%? 5%? People lending out money would be losing 3% or 4% a year in buying power.


13 posted on 02/18/2024 9:07:45 AM PST by Brian Griffin
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To: HamiltonJay

“hedge funds”

They are going into housing because lots are becoming small compared to house size, houses now have more durable components such as all plastic shower stalls and because houses are being built in desert areas where overgrown lawns aren’t likely to be a problem.


14 posted on 02/18/2024 9:13:01 AM PST by Brian Griffin
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To: wildcard_redneck

They basically can make and break whatever promise they make with money. Debt is near meaningless since you can inflate your way out of it.

But... What that means is that a bunch of corrupt politicians and their stooges in the bureaucracy have total control.

You could save all your life, and suddenly with a Biden in office find that 20% of what you worked for just vaporized, if what you scratched together was in the form of money.


15 posted on 02/18/2024 9:17:07 AM PST by Red6
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To: Kaiser8408a

If people are dumb enough to pay these interest rates I happy to accept them as I live completely off dividends


16 posted on 02/18/2024 11:18:26 AM PST by NWFree (Sigma male 🤪)
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To: Kaiser8408a; Eccl 10:2

Eccl 10:2

has put together an investment thread ping list

it’s been going about 2 weeks

ping him .... or something to get added

it’s been great ..... the more the merrier


17 posted on 02/18/2024 11:41:52 AM PST by 1of10 (be vigilant , be strong, be safe, be 1 of 10 .)
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To: linMcHlp

Tax increases do not lead to revenue increases.


18 posted on 02/18/2024 1:00:32 PM PST by griswold3 (Truth, Beauty and Goodness. )
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To: griswold3

Correct, but the promise sells to the left.


19 posted on 02/18/2024 1:03:33 PM PST by linMcHlp
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To: linMcHlp

IKR. Every D caller this morning on CSpan called to tax the rich to fox the deficit! The thought that they will inevitably be the ones paying the taxes for the rich goes over their heads.


20 posted on 02/18/2024 1:07:51 PM PST by griswold3 (Truth, Beauty and Goodness. )
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