Posted on 02/20/2024 9:27:11 PM PST by SeekAndFind
Given cultural and familia ties, along with fifth columnists, would Taiwan really resist?
In before all the Yuan will be replacing the dollar and the end the US empire to be replaced by a population several times ours that can’t produce state of the art anything but renewables.
Taiwan is not a country. It’s part of the “one china” us policy. Neither does the US support it’s independence. It’s right there in the US State Department’s website. All we are doing is stirring up trouble like we do everywhere.
Taiwan has always been willing to buy US military equipment.
Trump sold it to them.
Most others didn’t or limited it.
90 miles across open deep ocean is not crossing the English Channel.
It’d be target practice.
“ Given cultural and familia ties, along with fifth columnists, would Taiwan really resist?”
They’d have just given in by now if your supposition were true.
You’re a liar.
Landing on Taiwan in an amphibious assault is going to be extremely difficult, if not impossible. Taiwan has lots of artillery and limited viable beaches.
Its much more likely that China will blockade it until Taiwan gives in.
When Red China takes over Taiwan, they will arrive at the airport, walk down the stairs to a red carpet, and be met by a delegation.
They will do it like they did Hong Kong. And it’s still a generation out. That generation of Taiwan will have witnessed our implosion into socialism and bankruptcy, know we are weak, and cut more and more trade deals... then it’s inevitable.
But the DC fever swamp keeps imagining a D-Day invasion. It’s like they have no clue about Chinese thinking.
The initial offensive against Taiwan will not be a cross-channel amphibious assault. That is a fantasy of last-war western military “experts.”
What I said - landing on Taiwan is not going to be easy. But that is part of most official and unofficial scenarios. As also the one posted here.
Thats why I said the more likely strategy is a blockade.
You wish.
No idiot, I do NOT wish. But no amphibious assault or Red Dawn is coming. China is famous for long term planning and subterfuge.
They already own half of the US Government as Biden, Swalwell, Feinstein, Brian Kemp, Harvard, General Milley etc have all famously proven.
We are utterly bankrupt as a nation and not just morally. We carry more debt that any recorded in human history. They wait another few years for the destruction to be complete. In the meantime, they start bribing and cultivating Taiwanese leaders. It’s called “elite capture” and they are very good at it.
Despite the pleadings of Lockheed Martin and Raytheon and their neocon Senators, they aren’t on the verge of going to war.
Chicoms built all sorts of missiles.
Have shot them around and over Taiwan in the past.
But Taiwan has a lot of missiles, too.
Zhongnangai hit and Three Gorges
China’s in a civil war. No one except CCP care about Taiwan and CCP don’t really either.
They are acting crazy now, though, as they’re losing their hold.
I’m glad you don’t wish it.
I’m think if anything similar to your scenario happens it would be China goes back to being ROC.
They’re fed up with commies idiotic rule.
And THAT is another possibility. Not that China will become ROC, though THAT would be my dream...but that some civil unrest in China could grow and spread rapidly. If China falls apart internally, that might give Taiwan some breathing room. Of course, a time like that is when Argentina moved on the Falklands.
And unrest in China is very real and just below the surface. The Wuhan and Hong Kong protests of summer/fall of 2019 were spreading and getting out of control very quickly. And THAT is when they released covid for the perfect excuse to lock down the entire country without going full Tiennamen Square again.
It’s bubbling just below the surface.
If PRC implodes and Taiwan is right there being successful as an example, who knows? Interesting, not many people imagine ROC taking charge again... but these are weird times.
With China’s lack of recent military experience on a large sale, a successful military invasion of Taiwan is implausible. Most likely, China aims at using threats and intimidation short of invasion to undermine Taiwan’s economy, morale, political cohesion, and US support so as to extract a surrender. Yet that too is implausible due to China’s economic and demographic problems.
Unlike Pearl Harbor and Ukraine we should help set a trap for them.
Yes, it is weird times.
Perhaps, but China is nuclear armed and powerful enough to be dangerous. I would prefer a slow, organic decline for the CCP version of the Middle Kingdom.
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