Skip to comments.Maunder Minimum – Petri Dish of Political Change (Climate/Famine/Insurrection)
Posted on 07/12/2015 2:23:54 PM PDT by aMorePerfectUnion
Well the Global Warming pretend scientists are desperately trying to keep their funding. Now these con-artists are trying to claim that that it is just the surface water of the oceans that is cooling and the below the water is warming. When they stop driving cars and walk to work or ride a bicycle, then perhaps they are speaking at least what they believe rather than crying the planet is warming and we need to hand them billions of dollars to figure out some new technology to reverse the trend.
Meanwhile, real scientist who study the cyclical movement within nature are observing what we have been warning about a coming Ice Age not global warming. We should see the collapse in temperatures faster than we suspect for it will mimic a Waterfall Event in our market terminology. This is the true nature of how things simply move. Real scientists are starting to warn that we will see temperatures plummet by 2030. We are entering the Maunder Minimum Petri Dish of Political Change that nobody seems to comprehend the political ramifications ahead.
During my European tour, I packed only summer closes. I had to go but sweaters for it rarely went over 60 degrees Fahrenheit (15 Celsius). It did not get warm until Italy and Spain.
Our model tracks everything including climate for that too is a major influence within the development if the global economy. It just seems that whatever could go wrong is going to go wrong in the coming 26 years from 2007 in many areas so the other side of 2032.95 is going to be a different world. BTW, Global Warming peaked in 2007. So for all the supporter of Global Warming, try doing as you preach. Give up your cars and start walking. Do as you preach.
The real problem is not Global Warming but Global Cooling. In fact, we are in crash mode. Our model confirms that as we move into the end of this current wave 2032.95, the other side of that appears to be a very serious famine that changes the political landscape as took place in the period known as the Maunder Minimum. This is a serious forecast for during the last such period, the further north you are the higher the probability of starvation. Indeed Prussia lost 40% of its population to famine at that time and Scotland lost about 15%.
Maunder Minimum is also known as the prolonged sunspot minimum, which was a period starting in about 1645 and continuing to about 1715 when sunspots became exceedingly rare, as noted by solar observers of the time. Consequently, based upon running the data through our model, it appears that this is crashing faster than at any time previously. This would tend to warn that we may exceed the record of deaths of the 16th century and that is not good news. Yet this is just natures way of trimming back the population hitting control-alt-delete in computer terms.
During the last Maunder Minimum in 17th century, longer winters and cooler summers disrupted growing seasons and destroyed harvests all across Europe. This was the coldest century in a period of glacial expansion that lasted from the early 14th century until the mid-19th century. The summer of 1641 was the third-coldest recorded over the past six centuries in Europe and the winter of 1641-42 was the coldest ever recorded in Scandinavia.
The Maunder Minimum produced an unusual cold trend which lasted from the 1620s until the 1690s most intensely and included ice on both the Bosporus and the Baltic so thick that people could walk from one side to the other. So much for Global Warming pundits who are putting out such bogus research it is amazing. This crowd of con-artists have created such propaganda that the world population is totally unprepared and by the time they figure out these people are bullshitting everyone to get grant money, it will be too late to prepare for the onslaught. We could realistically see famine reach the 33%-50% mortality level after 2032.95.
The Maunder Minimum created such a deep cold in Europe and extreme weather events elsewhere that what unfolds is a series of droughts, floods and harvest failures. Historically, this leads to massive migrations, wars and revolutions. The fatal synergy between human and natural disasters eradicated perhaps one-third of the human population during the last event and this time we are crashing more rapidly than before. Therefore, we may exceed more than a reduction in population of one-third and reach the levels of the 14th century of 50%, which was also combined with the Black Plague.
What took place during the 17th century suggests that altered weather conditions can have catastrophic political and social consequences. Political systems are already in crash mode with BIG BANG. Add to this, the crisis we see in weather cycles and this will be augmented by unpredictable crises involving water, food, energy supply chains and public health. States will unquestionably collapse as famine could overtake large populations and flood or disease could cross borders and lead to internal instability or international conflict.
There were three primary factors at work globally during the 17th century which combined to produce chaos. There were increases in volcanic eruptions, twice as many El Niño episodes (unusually warm ocean conditions along the tropical west coast of South America), and the virtual disappearance of sunspots, reducing solar output to warm the Earth. These three forced combined are acknowledge by real Earth science.
The 17th century saw a proliferation of wars, civil wars and rebellions and more cases of state breakdown around the globe than any previous or subsequent age. This was the Petri Dish that brewed the revolution against monarchy that would give birth to the American and French revolutions. Just in the year 1648, rebellions paralyzed both Russia (the largest state in the world) and France (the most populous state in Europe); civil wars broke out in Ukraine, England and Scotland; and irate subjects in Istanbul (Europes largest city) strangled Sultan Ibrahim.
The Maunder Minimum did not cause all the catastrophes alone during the 17th century, but it most certainly exacerbated many of them. Outbreaks of disease, especially smallpox and plague erupted as was the case during the previous episode that saw the Black Plague wipe out 50% of the population. Plagues correlate to periods when harvests were poor or failed. When an uprising by Irish Catholics on Oct. 23, 1641, drove the Protestant minority from their homes, no one had foreseen a severe cold snap, with heavy frost and snow at a time and in a place that rarely has snow. Thousands of Protestants died of exposure, turning a political protest into a massacre that cried out for vengeance. Oliver Cromwell would later use that episode to justify his brutal campaign to restore Protestant supremacy in Ireland. This was the period of the British Civil War with the Puritans beheading the Catholic king Charles I.
The Maunder Minimum did take a more direct toll as weather turned bitterly cold. Western Europe experienced the worst harvest of the century in 1648. Rioting broke out in Sicily, Stockholm and elsewhere when bread prices spiked. In the Alps, poor growing seasons became the norm in the 1640s, and records document the disappearance of fields, farmsteads and even whole villages as glaciers advanced to the farthest extent since the last Ice Age. One consequence of crop failures and food shortages stands out in French military records: Soldiers born in the second half of the 1600s were, on average, an inch shorter than those born after 1700, and those born in the famine years were noticeably shorter than the rest.
The Maunder Minimum impacted the entire planet for very few areas of the world survived the 17th century unscathed by extreme weather. Even in China, a combination of droughts and disastrous harvests, coupled with rising tax demands and cutbacks in government programs, unleashed a wave of banditry and chaos; starving Manchu clansmen from the north undertook a brutal conquest that lasted a generation. In 1644, peasant rebels led by Li Zicheng conquered the Ming capital Beijing. Rather than serve them, Ming general Wu Sangui made an alliance with the Manchus and opened the Shanhai Pass to the Banner Armies led by Prince Dorgon, who defeated the rebels and seized Beijing. The conquest of China proper was not completed until 1683 under the Kangxi Emperor (r. 16611722).
North America and West Africa both experienced famines and savage wars. In India, drought followed by floods killed over a million people in Gujarat between 1627 and 1630. In Japan, a mass rebellion broke out on the island of Kyushu following several poor harvests. Five years later, famine, followed by an unusually severe winter, killed perhaps 500,000 Japanese.
The famines that hit India wiped-out millions weakening the population and the economy whereas India had been the Financial Capitol of the World after the Byzantine Empires collapse in 1453 to the rise of Islam. Following this devastating Maunder Minimum period of the 1600s, we can see that India fell as the Financial Capitol of the World handing that crown to China. India was ripe for the picking. In the first half of the 18th century, the British were a trading presence at certain points along the coast of India. From the 1750s, the British began to wage war on land in eastern and south-eastern India and to reap the reward of successful warfare, which was the exercise of political power, notably over the rich province of Bengal. By the end of the century British rule had been consolidated over the first conquests and it was being extended up the Ganges valley to Delhi and over most of the peninsula of southern India. The British then turned to China and eventually established Hong Kong, which was handed back in 1998.
No human intervention can avert the Maunder Minimum or volcanic eruptions, halt an El Niño episode or delay the onset of drought, despite the possibility that each could cause starvation, economic dislocation and political instability. So sorry. I do not ask for donations to prevent this from unfolding. We do possess both the resources and the technology to prepare for them. It is possible to grow food in your basement without land. Hydroponics may become a very valuable asset.
In the 17th century, the fatal synergy of weather, wars and rebellions killed millions amounting to about one-third of the population. A natural catastrophe of analogous proportions today would kill billions. It would also produce dislocation and violence, and compromise international security, sustainability and cooperation. Country borders will more likely change and vanish altogether. This is part of our forecast why the USA will break-up after 2032.95.
So while we argue over Global Warming, we should look at history rather than fake research that attributes everything to the invention of the combustion engine dating at the start of the 20th century and respect that there just may be long-term cycles at work that can be documented from real data. If history repeats, the Global Warming crowd will be the first to go since they will be totally unrepentant and unprepared.
Given today’s technology, food preservation and global shipping the only way anybody will starve is if governments want them to. The Soviet Union starved about 20 million of their own people to death. FDR’s government bought and destroyed millions of meat animals and tons of grain and cotton...to raise prices. This while people truly were starving. This is what governments do.
The other possibility leading to mass starvation is global war. Believe it or not, liberals, the reason there hasn’t been a global war since the last one is THE UNITED STATES. But you have substantially weakened the US by under funding the military and changing the can-do, help-yourself-to-help others culture. Do you really think having people prancing around in uniform pretending to be a sex they weren’t born with will help things?
Thermodynamics is apparently a little-studied branch of physics.
At least by these pseudo-scientists that claim to be authorities on Global Warming.
All other things being equal, warmer water is above colder water. The degree of salinity would change that (very saline water is heavier than very cold water that is less saline), but of equal salinity, the warm waters would be at the top, the cooler waters would be at depth.
About 1,500 meters of depth, water almost everywhere in the ocean is at a steady 4 degrees Celsius. Doesn’t matter if it is at the equator, or under the polar ice caps. Water is most dense at that temperature, and in fact, has to EXPAND to freeze. That is why ice floats.
Thermodynamics is HARD - maybe you are good at it, but it was a struggle for me ... just my $.02 ..
“Given todays technology, food preservation and global shipping the only way anybody will starve is if governments want them to. “
That statement assumes the foresight to store food beyond normal consumption, the ability to grow food without the strong help of the sun and that shipping is unhindered as the economy falls apart and disease is rampant.
Other than that, I think you are on to something...
“That statement assumes the foresight to store food beyond normal consumption, the ability to grow food without the strong help of the sun and that shipping is unhindered as the economy falls apart and disease is rampant.”
As the temperature drops the growth zones will move towards the equator. Other crops can be adapted to grow in the new colder climates with shorter growing seasons. Areas that were jungle or desert will be made habitable and fruitful. And, we have genetic modification now. So, we can make cold adapted plants grow things that they couldn’t grow before.
The weather won’t make the economies disappear. They’ll just change. We’ll adapt. That is, if governments allow us to.
Change can actually be good. At least it isn’t always bad.
Somebody correct my assumptions that the northern states, and most of the upper northern hemisphere, would be pretty unsuitable for agriculture. Would major agribusiness would need to move toward the equator? What about our southern most states? They seem to have been spared glaciers and such during previous ice ages.
And I just saw your post, which answered all my questions! lol. I should have never answered the phone while typing my post.
A good article and shows that the big yellow thingie in the sky does have an affect on the climate of this little speck of rock.
Now, how to get high school and college students to realize it.
Good article. Thanks for the ping.
As a former farmer, I can tell you that that sentence simply is not true.
Our crops are designed for our current climate.
Turn the temperature down a few degrees, add in a bunch more cloudy days, maybe some rainy wet weather, and a 10% crop reduction will only be a beginning. A crop loss of half or more is well within possibility. That could go on for decades, and even Americans could truly be starving.
Without real no-government-funded GMO efforts we could be in serious trouble.
Several years ago, a conservative talk show host in Western Pennsylvania said that he was a ham radio operator. He said that he noticed that there was little interference, meaning that the sun produced less sunspots. He warned - and continues to warn - that, if it continued, we would be heading into a cooling period and he talked, frequently, about the Maunder Minimum, especially as the whole ‘global warming’ thing heated up (no pun intended!). He knew, years ago, that this was happening. He tried to sound the alarm early on.
Our government should ditch the fake global warming crap and start preparing for something far worse! I’ve already noticed cooler nights and lots more rain. Mr S and I like to spend a Saturday night sitting around the chiminair. We had a chance to do it ONCE this summer. Rain almost every day and, when it’s not raining, nights are too cold. Growing season seems to be a bit shorter as well.
The British scientist and author C.P. Snow had an excellent way of remembering the three laws of thermodynamics:
You cannot win (that is, you cannot get something for nothing, because matter and energy are conserved).
You cannot break even (you cannot return to the same energy state, because there is always an increase in disorder; entropy always increases).
You cannot get out of the game (because absolute zero is unattainable).
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