To: richardb72
Scout Motto “Be Prepared”
2 posted on
07/29/2017 11:45:09 AM PDT by
Renegade
( Wax)
To: richardb72
Mine just expired. Time to renew but I have to trek downtown for that with two babies. Anyone up for babysitting while I go renew my CCW??
4 posted on
07/29/2017 11:53:37 AM PDT by
surroundedbyblue
(Proud to be an Infidel & a deplorable.)
To: richardb72
And the next study, the places with the highest participation rate are the lowest in crime.
The more a state prohibits and interferes with ccw, the more crime they have. It’s linear.
5 posted on
07/29/2017 12:04:20 PM PDT by
DesertRhino
(Dog is man's best friend, and moslems hate dogs. Add that up.)
To: richardb72
Excerpt from John R. Lott Jr., Crime Prevention Research Center,
61 Page Paper, written: July 18, 2017 .
From Page 25
Instead of just comparing states that dont require permits with those that do, it is also possible to look just at states that require permits. After accounting for the per capita number of police, new prison admissions, and demographics, this state level permit data suggests that each 20 percent increase in the rate of adults with permits (about one percentage point) is roughly associated with a 15 percent drop in the murder rate. Since the latest state level crime data is only available through 2014, the 2011 and 2014. (27)
Using permit and murder data from 2011 through 2014, we find that states with the sharpest increases in permits had the largest percentage drops in murder rates. A 10 percent increase in the share of the adult population with permits reduces the murder rate by 1.4 percent. (28)
ln(murder rate) = -.2499 (7.15) percent of adults with permits -.8197 (5.50) police per 1,000 Americans 0.0023 (3.41) Prison Population per 100,000 people + 0.0068 (2.51) year time trend -8.95 (1.76) Constant
Using the percent of the population in prison instead of a time trend produced very similar results.
(27) To estimate this we ran a couple simple regressions on the murder rate on the percentage of adult population with permits as well as with and without state and year fixed effects. There is a lot of noise in these estimates both because the permit numbers come from many different years as well as the estimated number of murders in 2013. These estimates have a great deal of measurement error and should only be taken as suggestive. That said, the simplest estimate regressing the murder rate on the percentage of the adult population with permits produces a coefficient and absolute t-statistics of - 12.68 (1.66). With fixed effects, the estimate was 6.8 (0.82).
(28) Regressing the percent change in murder rates on the percent change in the share of the adult population between 2011 and 2014 gives us this:
Percent change in murder rates = -.136 (1.38) the percent change in the share of the adult population + .212 (0.99) Constant
F-statistics = 1.92, Adjusted R-squared = 0.0242
We used the GAO report on percent of the population with permits for 2011 (http://www.gao.gov/assets/600/592552.pdf). There were obvious errors in the GAO report for Maine and Connecticut. For example, in 2011, the GAO states that there were only 4,000 concealed handgun permits. That would imply an amazing 725 percent increase in permits between 2011 and 2013. For a permitting system that had been around for decades and no recent change in their laws, it would be surprising to have any state see that type of change. Maines Special Investigations Unit told us that there were in fact 24,000 in 2011. Possibly the GAO simply left off the number 2 when then recorded this information. In Connecticut, we had a smaller number of permits in 2011 (115,000).
6 posted on
07/29/2017 12:07:55 PM PDT by
Yosemitest
(It's SIMPLE ! ... Fight, ... or Die !)
To: richardb72
Back door of weapon registration...
To: richardb72
America’s concealed carry numbers are 12 times as big as our armed forces, and our number of deer hunters is twice that.
“You cannot invade the mainland United States. There would be a rifle behind every blade of grass.”
Whether or not Admiral Isoroku Yamamoto really said this, it’s close enough to true. It’s the reason America’s enemies, foreign or domestic, cannot ever conquer the American people - and thus the reason why leftists want decent people disarmed.
8 posted on
07/29/2017 1:17:44 PM PDT by
Pollster1
("Governments derive their just powers from the consent of the governed")
To: richardb72
16.3 million more people on the 1st Confiscation List.
9 posted on
07/29/2017 1:31:14 PM PDT by
mabarker1
(Progress- the opposite of congress)
To: richardb72
12 posted on
07/29/2017 9:44:08 PM PDT by
joma89
To: richardb72
There are a few States that allow Constitutional Carry, so no “permits”. I believe AZ and MS were added to the list during the Obama regime.
That 16.36 Million number is low.
13 posted on
07/29/2017 10:25:21 PM PDT by
Kickass Conservative
(The way Liberals carry on about Deportation, you would think "Mexico" was Spanish for "Auschwitz".)
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