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Russia’s stake in Korea: How U.S.-backed unification could work for Moscow
The World Tribune ^ | 2016 | Donald Kirk

Posted on 01/02/2018 6:29:03 PM PST by GoldenState_Rose

We hear so much about China and Japan competing on and for the Korean peninsula, now and historically, that we overlook one other great Northeast Asian power.

That would be Russia, which has a 17-kilometer border with North Korea as the Tumen River flows into the sea.

How seriously, then, should we regard Russia’s stake in North Korea?

That’s a question that a long-time friend, Rensselaer Lee, weighs with a Russian economist, Artyom Lukin, at the School of Regional and International Studies at Russia’s Far Eastern Federal University.

In a ground-breaking book, “Russia’s Far East: New Dynamics in Asia Pacific & Beyond,” they lay out the prospects.

“Moscow’s commitment to North Korea should not be overestimated,” they caution. “It is quite likely that Moscow will eventually conclude that continuation of the North Korean regime benefits China much more than Russia.” That said, they argue that a reunified Korean peninsula under South Korean rule, supported by the U.S., might be what Russia needs.

Their view: “Major projects that are now stalled due to the inter-Korean conflict, such as oil and gas pipelines from Russia to Korea and the linking of Korean railways to the Russian trans-Siberian Railway would go ahead if the North Korean problem was finally resolved.” To which they add: “Moscow is not happy with North Korea’s steady progress in the development of nuclear warheads and ballistic missiles.”

What the authors say next may come as a surprise: “Such considerations might lead Moscow to a tougher stance on Pyongyang and acceptance of a swift Korean reunification in the future even if” – here’s where their message will shock some observers – “it should be carried out as absorption of North Korea by a pro-U.S. South Korea – precisely the scenario that Washington wishes for.”

(Excerpt) Read more at worldtribune.com ...


TOPICS: History
KEYWORDS: northkorea; russia; southkorea
It will be interesting to see how future reunification of the Korean peninsula will play out...
1 posted on 01/02/2018 6:29:03 PM PST by GoldenState_Rose
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To: TigerLikesRooster

*PING*


2 posted on 01/02/2018 6:29:17 PM PST by GoldenState_Rose
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To: GoldenState_Rose
However, their recent behaviors show that its current focus is more of near-term geopolitics than economics.
3 posted on 01/02/2018 6:46:14 PM PST by TigerLikesRooster (dead parakeet + lost fishing gear = freep all day)
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To: TigerLikesRooster

Indeed -> and it is and will continue to be to their detriment. So we shall see how the landscape changes, not just in the world - but within the Kremlin. Putin won’t be around forever.

Economically speaking. Two of the most prominent buildings in St. Petersburg bear “Samsung” and “KIA” signs. And most major appliances bear the “LG” logo.

Also stunned by the impact (South) Koreans had in Russia, especially with regard to Christian evangelism and building churches following the fall of the USSR.

For a few North Koreans, Russia is their first exposure to the “outside” world...Albeit some labor in auspices akin to that of slavery. (You may have heard a few have even died during construction of the World Cup stadiums.) But I would hear anecdotes from South Korean tourists about meeting North Korean workers on Russian trains.

Apparently the, North Koreans even offered food to share...a noted irony to be fed by them. Seeds of unification at work...


4 posted on 01/02/2018 7:02:40 PM PST by GoldenState_Rose
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To: GoldenState_Rose
Economically speaking. Two of the most prominent buildings in St. Petersburg bear “Samsung” and “KIA” signs.

Guess what lady...you're full of it.

LMZ (10% of the world's power turbines are made here)

Kirov (founded in 1801)

Lakhta Center (Gazprom)

5 posted on 01/02/2018 9:19:57 PM PST by mac_truck (aide toi et dieu t'aidera)
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To: GoldenState_Rose

Hot damn, Don. Haven’t seen you since lunch with you and your lovely wife, at the Majestic Hotel in Saigon, Oct/Nov. 1970.

Glad you’re still writing. Looks like only Sol Sanders, an acquaintance, has you for longevity in writing about Asia.

Keep it up. We desperately need honest, competent journalists overseas.


6 posted on 01/02/2018 10:32:45 PM PST by MadMax, the Grinning Reaper
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To: GoldenState_Rose

The US-back unification in Korean peninsula would do more good than harm to Putin and Russia ,if it happens.

And it will make America’s military presence in Korea become a very controversial issue.


7 posted on 01/02/2018 11:12:43 PM PST by granada
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