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How Taiwan Is Planning to Stop an Invasion by China
http://nationalinterest.org/ ^ | 4/27/18 | Zachary Keck

Posted on 04/29/2018 7:11:57 PM PDT by BBell

Taiwan’s military is scheduled to simulate defending the island from an invasion by mainland China.

The simulation will be part of Taiwan’s annual Han Kuang drills, which begin next week. Citing a statement by the Taiwanese Ministry of Defense, the Japan Times said that “Taiwan will simulate repelling an invading force, emergency repairs of a major air base and using civilian-operated drones as part of military exercises starting next week.” Although the exercise begins then, the Defense Ministry said that the main part of the drill will take place from June 4 to June 8. That part will consist of live-fire exercises practicing “enemy elimination on beaches.” The drills will also practice quickly repairing military air strips that would presumably be targeted by Chinese missile and aircraft early in a conflict.

The statement did not explicitly mention China, according the Japan Times. However, a Taiwanese spokesperson was more direct. “Simply put, the main goal of the drills is to make any Chinese communist military mission to invade Taiwan fail,” said Chen Chung-ch, a spokesperson for the Defense Ministry. Chen added that the exercise will take account of the current capabilities of the People’s Liberation Army (PLA), mainland China’s military. “It simulates this year’s situation and we are taking into consideration China’s air and naval movements in the region,” he said. Last year, the Han Kuang drills simulated a PLA attack in 2025, using “F-35 fighters as a parameter in its computerized war games to simulate combat tactics and strategies.”

Although Taiwan holds these drills every year, two things are different about the 2018 edition. First, the Taiwanese Ministry of Defense announced that “civilian resources will also be integrated into this exercise to support military operations” for the first time ever. For instance, civilian construction companies will help in the repair of military airstrips that are destroyed in China’s initial attack. Telecommunications companies in Taiwan will also assist in maintaining command and control. Taipei is also enlisting civilian drone companies to help with surveillance and targeting. “It’s not just soldiers’ duties to protect the country. Everyone has the responsibility since our defense budget is limited,” Chen, the Defense Ministry spokesperson, explained.

The other important development surrounding this year’s drills is mainland China has been ramping up military pressure against the island nation, which it considers a rogue province. As previously discussed, the last year and a half or so has seen Beijing repeatedly conducting provocative overflights of Taiwan. More recently, China conducted its largest military drill in recent memory in the South China Sea and Taiwan Strait.

These latest drills centered on China’s first aircraft carrier, Liaoning, and, according to news reports, included forty-eight warships, seventy-six planes and over 10,000 military personnel. PLA newspapers hailed the drills as “the biggest maritime military parade since the foundation of the new China and a heroic display of the PLA Navy in the new era.” Chinese president Xi Jinping presided over part of the drills in the South China Sea.

To underscore the message, Song Zhongping, a frequent military commentator in Chinese state media, said the drills were directed at intimidating Taiwan. “An aircraft carrier formation will play an important role in hypothetical future military operations against Taiwan," Song said. Noting that new drills were taking place east of Taiwan, Song added: “The east side of the island, where the Taiwan army elaborately deploys its forces, will not be safe when confronted with the formation of aircraft carriers of the mainland.”

At the same time, Chinese state media denounced Taiwan’s Han Kuang drills. Xu Guangyu, a retired major general of the People's Liberation Army, told China's Global Times that Tapei uses the drills to unite “Taiwan-independence forces." Xu added: “More importantly, Taiwan also wants to show its muscle to the mainland. But Taiwan's attempt to stack up against the mainland is like throwing an egg against a rock.”

Despite the growing tensions, the Taiwanese people do not seem overly concerned about the prospect of an armed confrontation. A new survey by the Taiwanese Public Opinion Foundation—which admittedly was taken before the recent Chinese drills—found that 64.5 percent of respondents do not believe China will invade Taiwan in the foreseeable future, compared to 25.7 percent who viewed that possibility as likely.

The poll also found that Taiwanese citizens have shockingly little faith in their military’s ability to fend off an invasion. According to a news article by Focus Taiwan, “The poll found that 65.4 percent of Taiwanese have no confidence in the country's defense against an attack by China, while 27.1 percent think Taiwan forces can repel any such invasion.” More respondents (47.4 percent) believe the United States will send troops to help defend Taiwan compared to those who view this as unlikely (41 percent).


TOPICS: Military/Veterans
KEYWORDS: china; fake; fakenews; invasion; pla; plan; taiwan
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Some polls at the bottom of the article.

What is you all's opinion on Taiwan being able to hold off an invasion? Will they immediately collapse and roll over?

1 posted on 04/29/2018 7:11:57 PM PDT by BBell
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To: BBell

Im sure the Taiwanese would kill many many invading Chinese. But eventually they would simply be overwhelmed by numbers.


2 posted on 04/29/2018 7:17:09 PM PDT by Rummyfan (In any war between the civilized man and the savage, support the civilized man. Support Israel.)
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To: BBell

Asked since 1949: “Can the dragon swim?”


3 posted on 04/29/2018 7:18:08 PM PDT by elcid1970 ("The Second Amendment is more important than Islam. Buy ammo.")
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To: BBell
“What is you all’s opinion on Taiwan being able to hold off an invasion?”

The Red Chinese will not take the Republic of China while President Trump is in office.

If Democrats control Washington D.C. the ROC is endangered - but then, aren't we all.

4 posted on 04/29/2018 7:22:39 PM PDT by jeffersondem
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To: elcid1970

The dragon has been taking swimming and flying lessons.


5 posted on 04/29/2018 7:22:48 PM PDT by BBell (calm down and eat your sandwiches)
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To: BBell
What is you all's opinion on Taiwan being able to hold off an invasion?

That would have occurred during the Obama era, not now. ☺

6 posted on 04/29/2018 7:31:39 PM PDT by dragnet2 (Diversion and evasion are tools of deceit)
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To: BBell

The Vietnamese kicked their butts in 79’.


7 posted on 04/29/2018 7:31:53 PM PDT by DIRTYSECRET (urope. Why do they put up with this.)
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To: DIRTYSECRET

The Vietnamese had some of the best light infantry in the world at that moment in time.


8 posted on 04/29/2018 7:36:57 PM PDT by FreedomPoster (Islam delenda est)
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To: BBell

Like I mentioned in a thread about Australia fending off China....get bio-weapons. Then they can inform China privately that if they are invaded it will be the end of China. Don’t need missiles or an army.


9 posted on 04/29/2018 7:41:40 PM PDT by LongWayHome
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The U.S. doesn’t need a simulated invasion for our troops to practice repelling, the actual invasion of our southern border could provide all the training and exercise needed if they were properly mobilized.


10 posted on 04/29/2018 7:44:24 PM PDT by Henchster (Free Republic - the BEST site on the web!)
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To: BBell

China isnt going to invade Tiawan militarily.


11 posted on 04/29/2018 7:45:54 PM PDT by Husker24
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To: BBell
The poll also found that Taiwanese citizens have shockingly little faith in their military’s ability to fend off an invasion

They're not stupid.

12 posted on 04/29/2018 7:46:49 PM PDT by Jim Noble (Single payer is coming. Which kind do you like?)
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To: BBell

The Taiwanese can hold them off. Been to CKS airport many times on route to Philippines, HK, SE Asia etc, and ALL security guys are armed to the teeth. The best time they could have done it was when obamatard was president but they didnt.

The Chinks know we wont just stand idly by like obamatard when Russia took the other countries by force. I read years ago they got mines for the sea to take out the ships.


13 posted on 04/29/2018 8:02:10 PM PDT by max americana (Fired libtard employees 9 consecutive times at every election since 08'. I hope all liberals die.)
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To: BBell

Taiwan needs to learn from the Swiss. Send every discharged conscript home with his rifle and ammunition. Bring them back once a year for range time and checking.

Even the Chinese Communists would think twice about invading if they knew they faced 2-3 million armed citizens.


14 posted on 04/29/2018 8:03:06 PM PDT by PGR88
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To: BBell
Taiwan is separated from China by a 110 mile wide strait. It has close up listening posts on Qemoy and Matsu islands, only a few miles from the coast. A surprise attack is out of the question. The artificial “islands” as well as the aircraft carrier complicate the matter but they would be instantly vulnerable to attack in the event of out and out hostilities.

I think Taiwan would be a tough nut to crack.

15 posted on 04/29/2018 8:04:01 PM PDT by hinckley buzzard
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To: dragnet2
That would have occurred during the Obama era, not now.

Great point. I think the Chicoms know they will not win an invasion unless they want to turn the island into a smoldering ruin.

16 posted on 04/29/2018 8:18:29 PM PDT by shanover (...To disarm the people is the best and most effectual way to enslave them.-S.Adams)
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To: BBell
With conventional forces - Taiwan wouldn't stand a chance, but if they are willing to go all-in and threaten the Three Gorges Dam then China has the choice of backing down or calling Taiwan's bluff and possibly losing pretty much everything downstream of the dam - and that is a lot of stuff.

My guess... the average Taiwanese citizen would rather reunify with the mainland than put their pleasant lifestyle at risk.
17 posted on 04/29/2018 8:27:11 PM PDT by Garth Tater (What's mine is mine.)
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To: BBell

Taiwan has become more and more of an asset to China over the last two decades.


It would be stupid to destroy that asset.

The Chinese tend to be fairly smart... But they have made many bad decisions in the past.


18 posted on 04/29/2018 8:29:17 PM PDT by marktwain (President Trump and his supporters are the Resistance. His opponents are the Reactionaries.)
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To: BBell
I don't believe that I have read something this stupid purporting to be a serious military analysis yet, during 2018.

In the early eighties, Taiwan was test detonating their emerging nuclear arsenal at sea. This rattled the mainland communists, and Reagan negotiated a cessation of provocative nuclear preparations. The detonation ceased.

The cessation didn't come about because Taiwan abandoned their plan of defense. It came about because the United States provided Taiwan with tested designs.

This load of horse manure is of the same stripe as similar pieces written about Israel in the sixties and seventies when we were pretending the world didn't know Israel was the eight hundred pound nuclear gorilla of the middle east.

You asked my opinion, there it is, and there is why.

Semper Fidelis.

19 posted on 04/29/2018 8:29:56 PM PDT by MrEdd (Caveat Emptor)
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To: DIRTYSECRET

Yes but things have changed since 1979.


20 posted on 04/29/2018 8:31:11 PM PDT by BBell (calm down and eat your sandwiches)
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