Gallup(1028 Adults)... Trump approval 49%, disapproval 48%

news.gallup.com ^

[Alas Babylon!]

Well, to quote George Carlin.

“Just think of how stupid the average person is, and then realize half of them are even stupider!”

[montag813]

If Bush were president it would be 29%. These numbers are victory numbers.

[toddausauras]

An electoral landslide for sure. PA is going red again, MI is going red again, WI is going red again. I think Trump will pick up something new this time like MN or ME, CO, NV etc. We’ll see!

[AndyJackson]

Did you see the lines along the road for Trump’s PA trip. Biden can get 10 times those numbers, I am sure.

[newzjunkey]

It's a poll of adults. Enthusiasm is with Trump, Biden's enthusiasm is by not being Trump rather than for him.

What's going to matter is the distribution of voters across the states, will it get him to 270? Hillary would've won easily but her support was too highly concentrated in states she was already going to win.

We're still five months out from election so anything could happen. Covid-19 could resurge. Trump's efforts could result in an effective therapeutic or other net positive.

[the OlLine Rebel]

Cocky is thinking he’ll make it in a landslide, 6 mos out.

Don’t let the complacency set in.

Every bit of “campaigning” is needed.

[Swordmaker]

How Gallup distorts the actual raw data to lie in the results they report! The devil of Progressives is always in the details:

Look at what they did. They appropriately randomly sampled by calling 70% cellular phones and 30% landlines. They presumably got honest answers from the people they talked to who told them how they felt, and how they identified themselves demographically and politically. BUT, then Gallup WEIGHTED the answers of SOME of those who answered more in line with what they THOUGHT the demographics should be. . . So the adjusted the REALITY OF THE SAMPLE! For example:

• They decided that they had oversampled those pesky males, along with their likely Trump loving, conservative opinions, so they just adjusted the number of males down from 537 to 509.
• Since they had oversampled, according to their figuring males, they had undersampled females, along with their very desirable liberal viewpoints and Trump dislike, so they adjusted that number upwards from 491 to 519.
• Next, they decided they had oversampled too many of those pesky WHITE people with their conservative Trump supporting privileged asses, so the adjusted all of them, regardless of gender, downward by a whopping 87, from 760 to 673.
• Of course if they reduce Whites, they have to increase minorities by a similar number, right? Nope, they put their finger on the scale with an increase of 88, from 246 to 334 more liberal non-whites. Maybe it’s a rounding error? Right, sure.
• Although not highlighted, we can look at the demographics of the adjustments to age of the respondents. They raised the numbers of those who are more likely to be liberal such as younger college age, who are less likely to vote, but reliably progressive Trump haters, but reduced the numbers of older, more likely to vote Trump supporters. Right, sure.
• Next, we move into the area of political choices where they assume the party selections are going to be the same as the political party turnout for the 2018 mid-term elections. That is NEVER the same. They assume that the respondents are not representative of the population’s true mix, so the must adjust to two years ago. Right, sure. That means Democrats have to outnumber Republicans. Down go the Republicans from 321 to 287 and UP go the Democrats from Democrats from 321 to 323, but where do the missing Republicans go? Into the Independents (up 20) and Refused to State, (up 15), which is where a lot of conservatives are hiding.
• Gallup exposes their bias in the Ideology categories, because there is literally nothing they can point to, to justify adjustments except other polls which as similarly biased. They have done the exact same thing, adjusted the numbers of Conservatives DOWN and LIBERALS UP from the actual responses, and this can only be due to a bias and assumption in the pollsters.

All in all, every possible decision made by these pollsters is weighted toward selecting a more progressive choice of weighting, more Liberal viewpoint cohorts. EVERY SINGLE TIME. Bias decisions in the design and construction and decisions for weighting this poll results in garbage results.

[Swordmaker]

The 49-48 poll is of 1028 adults.

That is freaking HUGE.

You have to learn how to read polls. ANY poll of "adults" — as opposed to "voters" or "likely voters" — underrates Republican VOTER numbers by 8 to 10 points.

See the analysis of their statistical fraud I did above. It’s worse than even that. Gallup is a master of lying with pollshi+. This is a rancid example of such a reeking pile of prime pollshi+.

[conservativepoet]

Confidence

[TheConservativeTejano]

Obama had worse numbers than that in 2012 and he was re-elected. Of course, his opponent was Romney.

Partner, Obama was shaking in his boots but he was running against Rino Romney and his V.P. pick was Paul Rino. That last line spoke of disaster awaiting the big time Rino Romney.

Romney will never ever be in the Republican limelight again.

[nbenyo]

“Trump in a LANDSLIDE”

Unfortunately, it will be another nailbiter. A landslide is not possible.

[catnipman]

“Of course, his opponent was Romney.”

who was a real superman of an opponent compared to biden, assuming biden is actually the dem nominee ...

[catnipman]

“Biden can get 10 times those numbers, I am sure.”

more likely, biden can get 10 ... people

[conservativepoet]

Yes, it is.