“Republicans lose the Governor race, win everything else.”
I would not be surprised.
It’s probably an oversimplification to say that the big supposedly Republican counties across the river from Cincinnati were what cost Bevin in 2019. Those counties are nominally Republican, but hardly conservative and are dominated by squishes, soccer mommies, etc.
Anyway, that trend looks (for now) to unfortunately be holding up in 2023. If Cameron can improve upon Bevin’s showing elsewhere in the state then he has a chance; if he can’t do that then he’s toast.