[MtnClimber]

I am not finished cleaning up from hurricane Ian.

[FlingWingFlyer]

Lots of blowing and breaking wind from here on out. Wake me when it’s over.

[poinq]

Its an election year of course we are in for a storm of misinformation.

[FlingWingFlyer]

Sounds like the enviro tinkerBELLs have been tinkering with the climate crisis forecast just in time for the “election”. Lots of breakin’ wind coming.

[Chickensoup]

The Tonga eruption in Pacific has been predicted to disrupt weather patterns for 3 to 5 years. We begin year two.

[alancarp]

Here's the pictorial representation of Joe's hurricane forecast. In short (and if you can't see the pic), he's expecting a huge season for the Gulf of Mexico all the way 'round to Cape Hatteras... 2-to-3 times the average 'Accumulated Cyclonic Energy' in those areas.

5-9 major hurricanes while running through the entire alphabet of named storms. Not good.

[hinckley buzzard]

Prediction of active hurricane season is based on the assumption that the weather will transition from el Niño to la niña conditions. La niña means reduced high altitude shear, which means storms can build more energetically. It may turn out, if la niña does in fact develop.(Right now el niño is weakening, maybe at neutral). But even if, it has nothing to do with greenhouse gasses. So yeah we may well have more hurricanes, but they will certainly lie about the reason.

[wbarmy]

Seriously, can anybody remember a year they didn’t say it was going to be horrible hurricaner season?

If they say it’s going to be bad, and it isn’t, we dodged the bullet.

If they say it’s going to be not so bad, and we have an Ivan or Hugo, than everyone will ride them out of town on a rail for putting everyones in life threatening danger.

[Governor Dinwiddie]

Baloney. Every year they say global warming! Hurricane fever!

About once every 10 or 15 years they get their prediction right—by chance alone.