Skip to comments.What’s going to win big MO Tuesday? Here’s your primary forecast
Posted on 03/13/2016 9:53:18 PM PDT by 2ndDivisionVet
The important, but overshadowed, Missouri presidential primary is Tuesday.
It's overshadowed by the big contests in Ohio and Florida and because of the five states voting that day, it's the smallest prize in terms of delegates.
But it's important nonetheless as the oh-so-competitive primary campaigns rage across the nation.
And, hey, the candidates are competing here, which means they consider it worth winning.
So who will the battle of Missouri? Here's a series of predictions:
Dave Helling, Kansas City Star political writer:
Republicans: Ted Cruz. "Missouri liked Santorum, Akin, and almost picked Huckabee. And the suburbs may be scared of Trump. And Cruz has Jeff Roe (the former Missouri political consultant who is the Texas senator's campaign manager)."
Democrats: Hillary Clinton. "Sanders has a good argument on trade. But she's got the cities, and rural areas aren't ready for a socialist."(continued)
(Excerpt) Read more at kansascity.com ...
I wonder who Ted would choose as First Lady, since it’s known that he has cheated on Heidi.
Pundits so far have been wrong.
here’s a poll
Trump is going to take MO. People are pissed off here. Just sayin...
I’m genuinely curious about Missouri too. It’s a shame there has been so little polling of it. I had originally thought Cruz would probably take it, but after the near-riot in Chicago (and the excesses of the disruptors at Trump’s rallies in St. Louis and Kansas City), Trump may have a real shot.
I think Cruz may have hurt himself when he spent most of his time after the riot condemning and blaming Trump instead of the radical leftists. I don’t know if that would be enough to swing the state, but perhaps with Trump’s more presidential demeanor in the debate, Carson’s endorsement, and a bit of momentum coming out of this past Tuesday it will. I’m still leaning slightly towards the idea of Cruz winning it, but this may end up being a very close race there. Who knows?
Donny is a proud serial adulterer who has had three wives so far, so I don’t think you want to go there.
I’m in Missouri and after having talked with a few people and looked at the numbers from Arkansas, Oklahoma, Kansas and Iowa, I think it will end up a 41 - 38 Cruz win, and Cruz will take 5 of the 8 districts. That will give Cruz 37 delegates to 15 for Trump.
That Santurom win in 2012 was a farce— noone even attempted to win that state. To draw comparisons to today is ludicris.
Not K Sick!
That pollster had Trump ahead big in KS. He got crushed.
Of course, KS is a caucus and this is a primary.
In any event, I could see MO going either way.
Well, he wasn’t running for president either, was he? Ted was. So, yeah, there is a difference. I will go there, thank you very much.
Though they showed Trump with 36% and Cruz with 29%...the margin of error was 7 percentage points, which might mean a statistical tie.
But digging INTO the poll questions is where it got pretty interesting. It has Trump beating Hillary by 5 percentage points...Cruz beats her by 17%....Rubio by 18%.
Trump LOSES to Sanders by 3%, Rubio wins by 6% and Cruz beats Sanders by 19%.
There is also a thing called shaving points - or votes. It happens, and it probably happened in Kansas.
Eh, university polls are generally less reliable than commercial polls and caucuses are very difficult to poll, generally.
If you look at the polling data as a whole on the Republican side this cycle, states that have a number of polls have generally gotten it right. Those with fewer polls from less reputable pollsters have had some variance, especially in caucuses.
Wow, did you hold the candle? Doing dirty work Brother Donald won’t do? Good boy....
Your post is senseless. Good boy? Hahaha - what an idiot you are - I’m female, and what I said will come out soon. It’s starting to already.
I know you are a Christian, but, are you aware that Ted and Heidi don’t even live together? She lives in NY, and he hangs out in bars drinking with reporters. If you would like a video where he says this, then I will be glad to share it with you.
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