Free Republic
Browse · Search
GOP Club
Topics · Post Article

Skip to comments.

What’s going to win big MO Tuesday? Here’s your primary forecast
The Kansas City Star ^ | March 13, 2016 | Steve Kraske

Posted on 03/13/2016 9:53:18 PM PDT by 2ndDivisionVet

The important, but overshadowed, Missouri presidential primary is Tuesday.

It's overshadowed by the big contests in Ohio and Florida and because of the five states voting that day, it's the smallest prize in terms of delegates.

But it's important nonetheless as the oh-so-competitive primary campaigns rage across the nation.

And, hey, the candidates are competing here, which means they consider it worth winning.

So who will the battle of Missouri? Here's a series of predictions:

Dave Helling, Kansas City Star political writer:

Republicans: Ted Cruz. "Missouri liked Santorum, Akin, and almost picked Huckabee. And the suburbs may be scared of Trump. And Cruz has Jeff Roe (the former Missouri political consultant who is the Texas senator's campaign manager)."

Democrats: Hillary Clinton. "Sanders has a good argument on trade. But she's got the cities, and rural areas aren't ready for a socialist."(continued)

(Excerpt) Read more at kansascity.com ...


TOPICS: Missouri; Campaign News; Polls
KEYWORDS: cruz; hillary; missouri; tedcruz; trump
Navigation: use the links below to view more comments.
first 1-2021-4041-54 next last

1 posted on 03/13/2016 9:53:18 PM PDT by 2ndDivisionVet
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | View Replies]

To: 2ndDivisionVet

2 posted on 03/13/2016 9:55:31 PM PDT by Charles Henrickson (I choose Cruz!)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Charles Henrickson

I wonder who Ted would choose as First Lady, since it’s known that he has cheated on Heidi.


3 posted on 03/13/2016 9:58:52 PM PDT by Catsrus (I callz 'em as I seez 'em)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 2 | View Replies]

To: 2ndDivisionVet

Pundits so far have been wrong.

here’s a poll

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/mo/missouri_republican_presidential_primary-5605.html


4 posted on 03/13/2016 10:01:28 PM PDT by BereanBrain
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: 2ndDivisionVet

Trump is going to take MO. People are pissed off here. Just sayin...


5 posted on 03/13/2016 10:02:03 PM PDT by wheresmyusa (FTUN)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: 2ndDivisionVet

I’m genuinely curious about Missouri too. It’s a shame there has been so little polling of it. I had originally thought Cruz would probably take it, but after the near-riot in Chicago (and the excesses of the disruptors at Trump’s rallies in St. Louis and Kansas City), Trump may have a real shot.

I think Cruz may have hurt himself when he spent most of his time after the riot condemning and blaming Trump instead of the radical leftists. I don’t know if that would be enough to swing the state, but perhaps with Trump’s more presidential demeanor in the debate, Carson’s endorsement, and a bit of momentum coming out of this past Tuesday it will. I’m still leaning slightly towards the idea of Cruz winning it, but this may end up being a very close race there. Who knows?


6 posted on 03/13/2016 10:03:38 PM PDT by FenwickBabbitt
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Catsrus

Donny is a proud serial adulterer who has had three wives so far, so I don’t think you want to go there.


7 posted on 03/13/2016 10:04:05 PM PDT by Charles Henrickson (I choose Cruz!)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 3 | View Replies]

To: 2ndDivisionVet

I’m in Missouri and after having talked with a few people and looked at the numbers from Arkansas, Oklahoma, Kansas and Iowa, I think it will end up a 41 - 38 Cruz win, and Cruz will take 5 of the 8 districts. That will give Cruz 37 delegates to 15 for Trump.


8 posted on 03/13/2016 10:04:31 PM PDT by Anitius Severinus Boethius (www.wilsonharpbooks.com - Sign up for my new release e-mail and get my first novel for free)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Catsrus

Morticia


9 posted on 03/13/2016 10:04:40 PM PDT by Abbeville Conservative (Sarah Palin, the only cure for the RINO virus.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 3 | View Replies]

To: Abbeville Conservative

10 posted on 03/13/2016 10:08:08 PM PDT by Bobalu (I'm spitting on my hands, and hoisting the black flag!)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 9 | View Replies]

To: 2ndDivisionVet

That Santurom win in 2012 was a farce— noone even attempted to win that state. To draw comparisons to today is ludicris.


11 posted on 03/13/2016 10:11:22 PM PDT by Fast Ed97
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: 2ndDivisionVet

Not K Sick!


12 posted on 03/13/2016 10:18:10 PM PDT by VRWC For Truth (FUBO)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: BereanBrain

That pollster had Trump ahead big in KS. He got crushed.

Of course, KS is a caucus and this is a primary.

In any event, I could see MO going either way.


13 posted on 03/13/2016 10:22:12 PM PDT by NYRepublican72 (Democrats -- it's always someone else's fault.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 4 | View Replies]

To: Charles Henrickson

Well, he wasn’t running for president either, was he? Ted was. So, yeah, there is a difference. I will go there, thank you very much.


14 posted on 03/13/2016 10:33:54 PM PDT by Catsrus (I callz 'em as I seez 'em)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 7 | View Replies]

To: 2ndDivisionVet
Looking over the results from the Docking Institute of Public Affairs poll (March 3-10), I think Cruz might take Missouri.

Though they showed Trump with 36% and Cruz with 29%...the margin of error was 7 percentage points, which might mean a statistical tie.

But digging INTO the poll questions is where it got pretty interesting. It has Trump beating Hillary by 5 percentage points...Cruz beats her by 17%....Rubio by 18%.

Trump LOSES to Sanders by 3%, Rubio wins by 6% and Cruz beats Sanders by 19%.

15 posted on 03/13/2016 10:35:50 PM PDT by TXSearcher (The RINO rebellion is being won by a NY RINO.......truth IS stranger than fiction.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: NYRepublican72

There is also a thing called shaving points - or votes. It happens, and it probably happened in Kansas.


16 posted on 03/13/2016 10:36:39 PM PDT by Catsrus (I callz 'em as I seez 'em)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 13 | View Replies]

To: Catsrus

Eh, university polls are generally less reliable than commercial polls and caucuses are very difficult to poll, generally.

If you look at the polling data as a whole on the Republican side this cycle, states that have a number of polls have generally gotten it right. Those with fewer polls from less reputable pollsters have had some variance, especially in caucuses.


17 posted on 03/13/2016 10:41:00 PM PDT by NYRepublican72 (Democrats -- it's always someone else's fault.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 16 | View Replies]

To: Catsrus

Wow, did you hold the candle? Doing dirty work Brother Donald won’t do? Good boy....


18 posted on 03/13/2016 10:44:30 PM PDT by exinnj
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 3 | View Replies]

To: exinnj

Your post is senseless. Good boy? Hahaha - what an idiot you are - I’m female, and what I said will come out soon. It’s starting to already.


19 posted on 03/13/2016 10:51:44 PM PDT by Catsrus (I callz 'em as I seez 'em)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 18 | View Replies]

To: Charles Henrickson

I know you are a Christian, but, are you aware that Ted and Heidi don’t even live together? She lives in NY, and he hangs out in bars drinking with reporters. If you would like a video where he says this, then I will be glad to share it with you.


20 posted on 03/13/2016 10:55:39 PM PDT by Catsrus (I callz 'em as I seez 'em)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 7 | View Replies]


Navigation: use the links below to view more comments.
first 1-2021-4041-54 next last

Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.

Free Republic
Browse · Search
GOP Club
Topics · Post Article

FreeRepublic, LLC, PO BOX 9771, FRESNO, CA 93794
FreeRepublic.com is powered by software copyright 2000-2008 John Robinson