Biden has a very low ceiling. Once Iowa and New Hampshire sets up an alternative for the hard left to rally behind, Biden will have to face off against two or three survivors, one of whom will get at least his 24%, which will stay put. There WILL be a minority candidate for the deep south and the northern cities. There WILL be a Sanders or similar for the college towns and California.
If Biden has to fall back on party rules games and the base feels used after the convention, good luck getting turnout against Trump. They might even vote for a 3rd Party to make a statement, figuring Trump wins anyway.
All Biden has to do is stop himself from fondling little girls and he wins the Democrat primary
Good points. Also, he does have a resume, as a senator and vice president, but that will hurt him in the democrat party, because the democrats are all about being something, rather than accomplishing something. A white man with accomplishments just won’t go anywhere anymore in the party.
This means absolutely nothing. Biden is pretty far left politically. His opponents are extreme left wing radicals. As the radicals are thinned out the support will coalesce not around Biden but some other left wing radical. Biden will not be the nominee. The nominee will be a left wing radical and do not count out Michelle Obama. It could happen.
“... Biden will have to face off against two or three survivors, one of whom will get at least his 24%,...
Here’s the interesting part. Biden, like Hillary, seems to have basic health problems. Not only has he had brain surgery, he also exhibits an inability to control his actions around people. Beyond being a world-class gaff machine, he can’t keep his hands to himself. The fact that somebody is willing to prop him up in a desperate attempt to get somebody “electable” means that those people feel, rightly, I think, that the entire present field is so specialized in their appeal that none among them will pass the test of a national vote by people who not in their particular diversity basket*. So, for now, the most electable person will be an old, white male. (Trump fits that bill except no health problems and he can keep his hands to himself in public. Given the Democrat’s low bar, even they will vote for him.)
*So, if you are a black heterosexual intent on electing a black person and the candidate is a white homosexual, are you going to vote for him if your major concern is to have a black representing you? That’s the problem with identity politics. The identities have conflicting priorities. This is why the only thing bringing Democrats together is their hatred of Trump. They have nothing else in common.