Posted on 05/18/2020 5:58:16 AM PDT by Sir Napsalot
No matter how you slice it, what happened in last week’s special election for California’s 25th Congressional District was not good for Democrats. In resounding fashion, Democratic hopeful Christy Smith, a state assemblywoman from Santa Clarita, was beaten by Republican defense industry executive Mike Garcia. While ballots are still being counted in what was an almost all-mail-in election, recent tallies had Garcia, a Trump endorsee, trouncing Smith by a double-digit margin .... Smith conceded quickly.
There are the coronavirus caveats. Stay-at-home orders meant low turnout, which favored Garcia: older, whiter, and more-affluent voters tend to vote by mail already and predominate in low-turnout elections. And CA-25 had been in Republican hands for decades before it was flipped by Democratic newcomer Hill in 2018, who resigned late last year after revelations of an affair with a campaign staffer.
But the solace ends there. In the first special election of the pandemic era, where Trump’s brazen mishandling has led to the deaths of tens of thousands while being openly combative with California officials over the state’s response, Democrats were thumped by one of Trump’s gold-star flunkies. It marks the first time the GOP has flipped a Democratic-held California congressional district since 1998, over two decades ago. CA-25 may be purplish, but seat-flipping is not a phenomenon that tends to happen in both directions in California, especially with the latter-day Republican Party, especially under Trump. And the 25th District is not a rural backwoods that has been part of the Trump core, either; it’s the suburban corridor just north of Los Angeles, next door to a deep-blue urban hub and very much the suburban composition that Democrats have identified as their new wheelhouse. It backed Hillary Clinton by seven points, and Trump has long had a deeply underwater favorability rating there.
(Excerpt) Read more at prospect.org ...
If the biased language was edited out, the article would have been one sentence. :-)
What are the chances that the California seats that flipped Democrat in 2018 will flip back to Republican in 2020
I consider it the greatest accomplishment of my IT career. :)
Somewhat in line with your thought ... since there were three whole days for the leftists to perform ballot harvesting, how many did they turn in? Obviously not the 17,000 to 18,000 that they would have needed. Or did they decide that that margin was too great to overcome so they did not mobilize their door-to-door attack squads ...
There probably is a formula or a political calculation that determines if ballot harvesting should be invoked. Regardless, ballot harvesting should not be permitted at any level, Fed, state, or local.
“That same governor” said recently wrt NY nursing homes deaths -
“Old people are gonna die.”
Yes, I saw his author pic at the end of the article.
But I don’t need to see his pic to know he’s another Ethan Krupp, just ‘blonder’.
Mike Garcia:
Excellent candidate.
Strong message.
Energetic campaign.
Tons of volunteers.
Many events.
Responsive organization.
Great fundraising.
Key endorsements.
RECIPE FOR SUCCESS.
I bet redistricting will take out our 8 seats we now have left. I just know they will try anyway.
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