Call Your Broker.. (Howard Dean Staff Rearching Archives on Brokered Democratic Conventions)

American Spectator Magazine ^ | January 28, 2003 | The Washington Prowler

[cottonseed]

CALL YOUR BROKER

With almost every poll showing Howie Dean trailing John Kerry leading into next week's [Junior Tuesday] primaries--in some cases Dean is running third or fourth behind John Edwards and Wesley Clark--his campaign is looking at what he would have to do to grab enough delegate support to play a role in a brokered Democratic convention.

'If we can't be the clear cut winner, we want at least a hand in who that winner will be,' says a Dean adviser in Washington.

'We're not just going to let guys like Kerry and Edwards have it easy after [Super Tuesday] March 2.

Given the lack of a clear cut frontrunner, talk of a brokered convention in Washington has begun.

Should Edwards and Clark win primaries next week, that talk will only intensify.

[cottonseed]

As Rich Lowry of National Review Magazine says today in his column-call me a honorary Deaniac from now on!!

[Voltage]

Advice for Dean: Call Ralph Nader, maybe you can make a deal.

[cottonseed]

Or Dennis Kucinich!

[Arrowhead1952]

cottonseed
Since Jan 28, 2004

5..4..3..2..1..

ZOT

[cottonseed]

Zot for what?

[1Old Pro]

Dean has the cash to stay in the race to the convention and he'll get many delegates if he continues coming in 2nd and third. Kerry will probably not do as well as Edards in the South. Weasely Clark will also get delagtes in the South. Thus, come convention time the 4 reamining people in the race: Kerry,Edwards,Dean & Clark will have to make a deal, i.e. brokered convention.

Hillary and Bill hold the trump card, they decide who gets Clark's delagates thus controlling who the candidate is. They also get to keep control of the DNC as a qid pro quo for their (clarks)delagates.

[Jack Black]

Well the ideal would probably a three person race to get a brokered convention. If you look at New Hampshire none of the 3rd, 4th and 5th place finishers got delegates. At 13%, 12% and 10% respectively they fell below the 15% threshold. One of them, at least, needs to drop out. As it is they are helping the front runner. Don't forget either that there is a small but significant number of "Super Delegates" who are not elected in each state. These could spell the difference in a close race. If it is clear that no one has enough committed delegates prior to the convention the real horse trading will take place prior to the first round vote to put the leader over the top with super-delegates. That will probably be Kerry, and he is *much* better positioned to win super-delegates than Dean. He has not run a "Washington Bashing" campaign, he knows all the Senators and probably a lot of the House folks, he's a senior team player for the Donkeys. For this to work there need to be not one, but TWO, strong candidates who together prevent Kerry+Super Delegates=number needed to nominate. Dean + Clark? Dean + Edwards? Maybe. One thing for sure, the sooner Joe leaves the better for us.

[cottonseed]

I think Clark has to win something (Arizona?) to stay on as a serious candidate, same thing for Dean.

If Howie doesnt win Michiagan or Wisconsin how can he come up with the funds he needs anywhere else?

[cottonseed]

Howard Dean said last night he was finished unless he won Michigan or Wisconsin (union dominated states)

Edwards is finished unless he dominated South Carolina.

Clark must pull out one in Arizona or somehwere else down south..

Lieberman is already dead man walking

[AmishDude]

People just get jumpy around here. Most of us don't post articles on our first day at FR. Nearly everyone who does is a troll. Sorry for that.

Let me say: Welcome to the forum, have a look around and join in the discussion.

[goldstategop]

The best thing about Howard Dean is he'll make life impossible for the Democratic presidential nominee if its a brokered convention.

[Arrowhead1952]

Joined today and the article is one year old.

(January 28, 2003 | The Washington Prowler)

Either you got the wrong date or this is a DU troll type posting.

[MamaLucci]

Kewl,a democrat free for all!

[Zack Nguyen]

This is glorious. But I'll believe it when I see it. Both parties set up the rules precisely so this sort of thing won't happen - so that an unpredictable firebrand like Dean can't take control of the party and upend everybody's power applecart. Republicans do it too. Remember that Pat Buchanan was just overwhelmed after New Hampshire? Same idea here.

[hchutch]

Lieberman's supporters might ultimately end up voting for Bush. Some of the Gephardt supporters, too. Especially if Dean keeps pushing John F***ing Kerry to the left.

And I think the Dems will pander to the Deaniacs. They have to in order to have a prayer of surviving. Dean's donor list is perhaps the largest thing they have in rterms of small donors of hard money - where the RNC has a huge advantage.

[NotJustAnotherPrettyFace]

Hillary and Bill hold the trump card, they decide who gets Clark's delagates thus controlling who the candidate is. They also get to keep control of the DNC as a qid pro quo for their (clarks)delagates.

That's why the Clintons are meeting in DC.

CLINTONS SEEK TO RIGHT DEM SHIP

[cottonseed]

The article is from today. Look it up at the link!

[cottonseed]

The article is from today. Look it up at the link!

[cottonseed]

I dont think that Kerry will win on the first ballot unless Edwards makes a deal for the VP slot.