Scientific Wild Glutealed Guess as to Election Results

This is a good map, updated frequently. How about a SWAG guess as to the final outcome: Bush 56% with 300+EV, Kerry 40% Nader 2%, Senate to 62, House to 244. Other thoughts?

1 posted on 10/19/2004 4:17:06 PM PDT by Oakleaf

Argh, K should be 42. Sorry!

2 posted on 10/19/2004 4:18:09 PM PDT by Oakleaf

I don't really want to go to the blog. Maybe you could explain the bizarre title?

3 posted on 10/19/2004 4:19:52 PM PDT by EggsAckley (............so many vanities............................so little bandwidth..................)

More like Bush 52, sKerry 46, Nader 2. Senate +3 for good guys.

4 posted on 10/19/2004 4:20:41 PM PDT by teletech (Friends don't let friends vote DemocRAT)

does glutealed refer in any way to Elizaphant Edwards ?

5 posted on 10/19/2004 4:23:37 PM PDT by kingattax

Gluteals = A**. I didn't want to get scolded by the moderator. I guess I should have said SWGG.

6 posted on 10/19/2004 4:29:17 PM PDT by Oakleaf

I am really getting bloody fed up with these bloggers using FR to pimp their sites. It's rude and inconsiderate.

JMHO, of course.

7 posted on 10/19/2004 4:30:05 PM PDT by EggsAckley (............so many vanities............................so little bandwidth..................)

He didn't post it, I did. The person who owns this blog had nothing to do with posting it and is probably unaware that I have done so.

8 posted on 10/19/2004 4:33:58 PM PDT by Oakleaf

Unless "he" has taken FR to court to require excerpting, there is absolutely no reason for you to excerpt it. Post the whole article.

9 posted on 10/19/2004 4:36:55 PM PDT by EggsAckley (............so many vanities............................so little bandwidth..................)

Okay.

Scoreboard as of 10/19 @ 5:02 PM
Tracking Result
ECB B222 K207
ECB Popular B47.1 K46.9
Washington Post B51 K46
ABC B50 K47
Rasmussen B48.2 K46.6
Zogby B45 K45
TIPP B48 K46

Posted under: Thread o' the day by Gerry @ 6:47 am, 10/19/2004
Permalink | Comment

10/19/2004
Drudge: ABC/WaPo Tracking now B51-K46DRUDGE REPORT gets the link. I’ll update the scoreboard with the details when they are published.

Obviously, Drudge looks at this as some sort of big move, but the Washington Post has had Senator Kerry at 47-46-47 and now 46 again today, so that is pretty stable. Meanwhile they have had President Bush at 50-50-50 and now 51. That’s pretty stable too.

Posted under: US President by Gerry @ 4:38 pm, 10/19/2004
Permalink | Comments (94)

Poll: Bush Doubles Support Among BlacksA few people brought this poll to my attention, but I kept getting sidetracked every time I went to post it.

That helped the president narrow the still sizable gap with Kerry among blacks, who preferred the four-term Massachusetts senator over Bush, 69 percent to 18 percent. The group’s poll before the 2000 election found Gore with a 74 percent to 9 percent lead over Bush.

Polls differ on the level of support for Bush among blacks. An Associated Press-Ipsos poll in mid-September found that 80 percent of registered black voters backed Kerry while 7 percent supported Bush.

Exit polls in 2000 showed Gore winning 90 percent of the black vote, with Bush at 9 percent — the lowest support for a Republican presidential candidate since Barry Goldwater garnered 6 percent in 1964.

Posted under: US President by Gerry @ 4:36 pm, 10/19/2004
Permalink | Comments (23)

There is a lot more on his page but I thought the EC breakdown was the most interesting.

10 posted on 10/19/2004 4:39:13 PM PDT by Oakleaf

11 posted on 10/19/2004 4:41:53 PM PDT by EggsAckley (............so many vanities............................so little bandwidth..................)

I downloaded the spread sheet at electoral-vote.com, and played with the numbers a bit. I came up with Kerry-219, Bush-312. Contrary to that site's bogus poll, there is no way that Kerry will win Fla. Remember all the polls that told us that uh, I can't remember his name, would beat Jeb for governor in 2002. I also think Bush pull upsets in a couple of other states, while Kerry won't pull any.

12 posted on 10/19/2004 5:30:03 PM PDT by StockAyatollah

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