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Ayatollah al-Sistani and the end of Islam(Spengler)
Asia Times Online ^ | 08 Sep 2006 | Spengler

Posted on 09/07/2006 4:59:34 AM PDT by Marius3188

Grand Ayatollah Ali al-Sistani, the definitive presence of traditional Shi'ite Islam, has warned that he "no longer has power to save Iraq from civil war", and has withdrawn from politics (see Iraq loses its voice of reason, Asia Times Online, September 6).

ATol's Sami Moubayed reported, "If Sistani lives up to his word, this means silencing the loudest - and only - remaining voice of reason and moderation in Iraqi politics." He noted that Sistani's followers have transferred loyalty toward the Iranian-controlled warlord Muqtada al-Sadr.

That Iraq would break up in bloodshed has seemed predestined since late 2003, when I predicted civil war and eventual partition (Will Iraq survive the Iraqi resistance? December 23, 2003). But the collapse of Sistani's influence is news indeed. It portends the end of Islam in the Persian Gulf, as much as pope Pius XII's virtual incarceration in the Vatican during World War II augured the end of Christianity in Europe.

On the face of it the notion that Islam is in jeopardy seems absurd. Muqtada al-Sadr is a Shi'ite cleric of fanatic persuasion, close to and perhaps wholly owned by the fanatical mullahs of Tehran. But Islam is not defined by political allegiance, nor by a specific set of doctrines, but rather by a way of life. In the case of Islam it is the life of traditional society embedded in a circle of spears directed outward against the leveling empires. More than any man alive, Sistani personifies the traditional life of Islam. The end of his mission implies that his followers are thrust onto the stage of the modern world in the cruelest form, in this case a civil war of attrition. Islam, as Sistani teaches it, cannot survive the shock.

(Excerpt) Read more at atimes.com ...


TOPICS: Editorial; Foreign Affairs; Miscellaneous; Unclassified
KEYWORDS: alsistani; iran; iraq; islam; spengler
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The latest from Spengler.
1 posted on 09/07/2006 4:59:35 AM PDT by Marius3188
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To: Marius3188

So if the governmnet goes after al sadar it is civil war?


2 posted on 09/07/2006 5:01:03 AM PDT by bert (Once an Eagle, Always an Eagle)
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To: Marius3188

There are times when Spengler sounds as if he has gone native (or is close to doing so).


3 posted on 09/07/2006 5:19:41 AM PDT by Dark Skies
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To: bert

I think that depends on how nasty and long 'going after al sadr' is.

When Massachusetts when after Shay, or the new Federal government went after the 'Whiskey rebels', it was quick and easy and wasn't a civil war. From the Northern point of view, the "Late Unpleasantness" was (though I incline to the Southern view that it wasn't, despite having been born in the North--the South being correct on the issue of state's rights, even though they were wrong on slavery).


4 posted on 09/07/2006 5:26:46 AM PDT by The_Reader_David (And when they behead your own people in the wars which are to come, then you will know. . .)
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To: Marius3188

Very interesting article. Thanks for posting.

We are witnessing the greatest anti-truth, anti-freedom, anti-individual, anti-life collective in the history of civilization.

We are not battling a "way of life".

We are battling destroyers of truth, destroyers of freedom, destroyers of individuals, destroyers of life. We are battling the irrational, the deceivers, the mindless.

It is our greatest battle.


5 posted on 09/07/2006 5:32:08 AM PDT by PGalt
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To: Marius3188
Grand Ayatollah Ali al-Sistani, the definitive presence of traditional Shi'ite Islam, has warned that he "no longer has power to save Iraq from civil war", and has withdrawn from politics ....

This is very, very bad news. It means that Sadr is now the de facto leader of all of the Shiites in Iran. We have to kill him right away and knock down his militia, to give the government a chance.

6 posted on 09/07/2006 5:43:00 AM PDT by lentulusgracchus ("Whatever." -- sinkspur)
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To: Dark Skies

That's part of why he's worth reading: he often 'gets' what the natives are about.

Of course, there is a subtext, which Spengler subtly omits, but which the astute reader may glean (and it is not comforting): reread his description of Islam. If Islam really is the defense of 'traditional', that is 'tribal' life against a modernity that encompasses even the Eastern Roman Empire (not usually thought of a modern), then it is the defense of barbarism against civilization, and that from its very foundation.

I'm not sure Spengler is spot on about that.

Taking his analysis as a staring point, though, one can see Mohammed's authoring of his jury-rigged scriptures and imposition of a rigid monotheism, which wasn't part of traditional tribal life (before Mohammed, the Khabbah contained the idols of each pagan Arab tribe, as well as Torah scrolls for the Jewish Arab tribes, and icons for the Christian Arab tribes), as paralleling the Meiji construction of the Emperor-cult in Japan as an attempt to strengthen national unity by providing a single focus of worship not previously present in the society whose traditions were supposedly being defended.

One could reasonably argue that Islam and the Meiji reconstruction of Japanese society represent partial modernizations in defense of an older society, but notice, both became visciously aggressive and expansionistic. For that matter, one can argue the same about revolutionary Iran, as Spengler almost does in this piece, and see that it is following the same pattern.

The Japanese model gives some hope that after a very nasty defeat, it may be possible for Islam to properly modernize and turn pacific, but one wonders what kind of defeat it would have taken to do the same to Imperial Japan had they not taken on the US in 1941 (or followed Yamamoto's original plan and occupied Hawaii, and thereby won the Pacific War) and the "Greater-East-Asian Coprosperity Sphere" had been established and the Emperor-cult had lasted centuries, rather than decades? The next few decades may make the Thirty-Years War look like a jolly picnic.

On a more cheerful note, Persian Islam, pre-Khomeini, was fairly peaceful the past few centuries (as compared with say Turkish Islam), so only a moderately nasty defeat should be needed to pacify Iran.


7 posted on 09/07/2006 5:54:15 AM PDT by The_Reader_David (And when they behead your own people in the wars which are to come, then you will know. . .)
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To: The_Reader_David
This is a thought provoking piece. Unfortunately I'm not expert in the number of different histories which one would need to be in order to expound on his theory.

I was, however, left unconvinced that Al Sistani's withdrawal from political life equates to the imminent demise of Islam. I was very interested in the obsessive biological rules of Islam, and wanted to read more, and to understand better just what impact losing that degree of obsessiveness would have on Islam.

The fact that Muslim extremists can develop even among second and third generation immigrants would imply that the loss of the bum-washing rules won't bring Islam itself crashing down anytime soon.

But perhaps a widespread angst, together with a realization that there really isn't just one way to live, might make changes that will lead to a collapse of forced Islam, which is very nearly synonymous with the collapse of Islam itself.
8 posted on 09/07/2006 6:17:26 AM PDT by starbase (Understanding Written Propaganda (click "starbase" to learn 22 manipulating tricks!!))
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To: Marius3188
Jihad is not an evil doctrine

This Spengler guy is a crackpot, and I'm suprised more people reading this haven't seen it. He made some decent points, but trashing Mark Steyn in favor of Juan Cole should require a barf alert.

9 posted on 09/07/2006 6:33:24 AM PDT by aynrandfreak (The Left hates America)
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To: Marius3188
From the article:

Sistani represented Islam, the real religion that permeates the lives of believers. . . . I wrote of him two years ago (Why Islam baffles America, April 16, 2004). His website, as I reported at the time, contains detailed instructions for regaining ritual purity after sodomy with an animal . . .

10 posted on 09/07/2006 6:39:01 AM PDT by Tribune7
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To: Marius3188
I reiterate: it is a life, just as Christianity is not a doctrine, but a life. Jihad is not an evil doctrine, an unfortunate afterthought, or an expression of Mohammed's aggressiveness. It is a sacrament, the Islamic cognate of the Lord's Supper. Through the Lord's Supper, the Christian communes with the god who has sacrificed himself so that Gentiles might be reborn as children of Abraham. Through jihad, the Muslim sacrifices himself to the severe sovereign of the universe who demands obedience and rewards service.

I know I'm about to break Godwin's Law, but here goes:

Jihad = struggle
Kampf = struggle

Mein Kampf = My jihad

Jihad = evil

11 posted on 09/07/2006 6:41:35 AM PDT by Rutles4Ever
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To: Marius3188
Except in the United States, Christianity has failed as a religion of personal conscience throughout the industrial world, disappearing with the last vestiges of traditional society.

It's doing well in South Korea. The trick is to avoid a state church while allowing freedom of speech.

12 posted on 09/07/2006 6:43:33 AM PDT by Tribune7
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To: lentulusgracchus

And you believe THIS guy? LoL


13 posted on 09/07/2006 6:45:53 AM PDT by justshutupandtakeit (If you believe ANYTHING in the Treason Media you are a fool.)
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To: The_Reader_David

There was no constitutional right to secede. There were no "states' rights" being infringed by the Union. The South's case was a complete lie pushed by lunatics and tyrants.


14 posted on 09/07/2006 6:48:00 AM PDT by justshutupandtakeit (If you believe ANYTHING in the Treason Media you are a fool.)
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To: Marius3188

Does that mean we can now kill Fat Bastard, aka al-Sadr?


15 posted on 09/07/2006 6:48:29 AM PDT by Little Ray (If you want to be a martyr, we want to martyr you.)
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To: Rutles4Ever

Anyone who can write the crap you quoted is clueless, a liar or an actual convert.


16 posted on 09/07/2006 6:50:14 AM PDT by justshutupandtakeit (If you believe ANYTHING in the Treason Media you are a fool.)
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To: Marius3188
One of the biggest strategic mistakes we've made in this war is not killing Al-Sadr and destroying his army when we had the perfect chance and the reasons to do so. We can thank Political Correctness and a limp-wristed approach to placating mouth-breathing Islam for that.

You never win a war by planning to fight the enemy to a "draw" and looking at him as something other than the enemy.

17 posted on 09/07/2006 7:12:09 AM PDT by Gritty (The quickest way to get this war over with is to go get the bastards who started it - General Patton)
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To: Marius3188

Interesting article. I've heard something similar to this:

"It is a fallacy to imagine that a deeply religious Muslim world confronts a secular West. On the contrary, Islamic radicalism is a response to a deep - I believe fatal - crisis of faith in the Muslim world."

in several other places as well. It rings true to me. The 9/11 bombers, the London bombers, and many others, were not traditional Muslims, but for the most part fully secularized men of a Muslim background. They womanized, drank alcohol, many used drugs, and so on. And then they hated themselves for turning their backs on their traditions and so took up jihad to redeem themselves. Islam, in its traditional form, and I'm not sure that there really is any other form, is essentially incompatible with the modern western world. Heck, the modern world has become increasingly incompatible with the Christian faith that it sprang out of.

I'm not sure what all this tells us, or what course of actions it suggests, but it is interesting nonetheless.


18 posted on 09/07/2006 7:16:03 AM PDT by -YYZ-
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To: Marius3188
It is a fallacy to imagine that a deeply religious Muslim world confronts a secular West. On the contrary, Islamic radicalism is a response to a deep - I believe fatal - crisis of faith in the Muslim world.

That would certainly explain why the terrorists seem to be from among the more educated, and many live in the secular West.

19 posted on 09/07/2006 8:10:13 AM PDT by Tallguy (The problem with this war is the name... You don't wage war against a tactic.)
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To: starbase
I was, however, left unconvinced that Al Sistani's withdrawal from political life equates to the imminent demise of Islam.

A simpler explanation is that Iraq now has a functioning central government. What need is there for a Shia Holy Man acting like a Medieval Pope? None. So Sistani withdraws into his proper (modern) role as a religious leader -- nothing more.

20 posted on 09/07/2006 8:16:47 AM PDT by Tallguy (The problem with this war is the name... You don't wage war against a tactic.)
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