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Politics Today: Thompson has tough fight to stay in contest
Memphis Commercial Appeal ^ | 1/7/8 | Blake Fontenay

Posted on 01/07/2008 12:12:29 PM PST by SmithL

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To: Rick.Donaldson

“Look, I’m saying that the “trends” are inaccurate. I’m saying that if PEOPLE are reading the “trends” and then voting “with the trend” then the polls aren’t ANYTHING, they are less than useless, and that is that. If the fact were that people weren’t reading the polls first to “see who is electable”.... then they might mean something.
All in all, they are meaningless, and so are all these little primaries taken individually. As a WHOLE they mean something. NH and Iowa are NOTHING.”

The trends so far are not inaccurate, and if it is like you say that the polls influence the outcome, then they can’t be as you go on to say useless. If people are seeing polls and then voting with the poll outcomes then the polls are dictating who gets the most votes, and that hardly makes them useless, also if a poll shows candidate A surging and people read that poll and vote for candidate A then the poll is in fact correct. The smaller primaries can determine momentum and fund raising opportunities. Iowa & NH won’t pick the nominee, but they can add momentum and fund raising opportunity to a candidate.


81 posted on 01/08/2008 8:02:09 AM PST by snarkybob (')
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To: Parley Baer
Wyoming is fly over country to the msm. They don’t count in their minds.

I bet a lot more of the MSM, or elites of any stripe, know their way around Jackson Hole better than they do any part of Iowa.

Wyoming gets little attention because it only allocated 12 delegates and no candidate stepped foot in the state in the month before the caucuses. That's the same delegate count as NH, but every candidate is in NH. To paraphrase playwright Irwin Shaw, "some day they'll have a battleground state and nobody will come."

82 posted on 01/08/2008 8:05:38 AM PST by ReignOfError
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