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Posted on 09/17/2008 2:32:21 PM PDT by Clintonfatigued
Oregon Senator Gordon Smith is in dangerous territory again, virtually tied with Jeff Merkley, according to the latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of voters in the state.
The incumbent Republican holds a statistically insignificant 46% to 45% lead over Merkley. The race is now the closest it’s been since regular tracking began in February.
Just one month ago, Smith had an eight-point lead but still received under 50% support from voters. Any incumbent senator who polls under 50% is considered vulnerable. In July, Merkley was ahead 43% to 41%.
(Excerpt) Read more at rasmussenreports.com ...
This is alarming, especially given McCain’s growing strength in Oregon. Smith has recently been running some very negative ads.
Unfortunately Republicans have drifted in the last several yrs. I have noticed one that is fighting half as tough as the RATS. Even Palin and McCain are out there alone.
I thought Gordon would be okay since he attracted a 2nd tier challenger. I hope he pulls it out. Keep in mind, Gordon has faced nail biters before. He narrowly lose the special Senate election to Ron Wyden in 1996. Gordon then ran to replace Mark Hatfield in 1996 and narrowly won that seat.
Doesn’t Smith have an Mexican problem or something?
The desire of us Conservatives that remain in a "Red" state turned "Blue" would have been a George Allen joined by the desired candidate Bob Marshall to replace of John RINO Warner.
That was a wish and hope that did not and will not come true.
If Smith loses, this will be the first time since Senators were popularly elected, indeed, the first time since 1862 (not a typo) that the coastal Western states (CA/OR/WA) will not have at least one Republican Senator out of the 6 they send (that being before WA was even a state).
If we get a split Senate, look for Smith to pull a Jeffords, since the two of them are politically identical.
Noooo. Even if his record were ultraliberal (it isn’t), the reason why he or the two ladies in Maine would never switch is because the Democrat parties in those states are BDS moonbats. They consider Smith, Snowe & Collins to be right-wingers. They wouldn’t last 5 minutes in a Democrat primary.
Come on!
Smith is a moderate and Jeffords was liberal even for a rat.
Their American Conservative Union ratings btw
Smith 72, Jeffords 23 (less in later years)
Bummer.
And if Shays loses and Jeb Bradley doesn’t win back his seat, New England could actually have zero Republicans in the house! :-0
Last year it was 48, same as my (thankfully) ex-senator, Voinovich. Idiots, both of them.
Gordon Smith is pro-life and is a moderate on most other issues, not an ultraliberal on everything like Jeffords. Not even close.
This poll makes me feel better about the OR presidential poll taken simultaneously. I don’t believe that Smith is up by only 1%, which (if I’m right) means that Rasmussen’s sample must have skewed more liberal than the electorate. Since Ras used the same sample for its presidential poll showing Obama up by 51%-47%, I think that it’s likely that McCain and Obama are at least tied in OR (which would jibe with the recent poll showing McCain within 2% in WA).
I think Jeffords was 4 in his last year.
Point, neither Smith nor Crapovich are going to switch.
You are correct. Smith is likely leading by 3-5, minimum. Therefore, McCain and Obama are likely tied.
And, that’s not even accounting for 4-5% Bradley effect.
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No, I don’t think Smith, a person who has helped me as an invidividual, will do that.
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