Posted on 10/05/2008 1:17:38 PM PDT by Chet 99
Well using the 2004 dem primary in comparison to this years as a way to predict the election has several shortfalls.
One, the gop brand has a lower approval rating than it did in 04. Two, as far as 04 was concerned, it was Dean who brought a lot of new voters to the fold before he ruined his chances. Kerry was in the party insider. A rough but fairly accurate (for the sake of Todd’s argument) is that Obama is this years dean, and Hillary was the Kerry candidate.
To be fair, Todd never said Kerry was going to win in a landslide. He was using accurate historical markers to say that the possibility existed (it certainly did). We all know that Bush ended up sealing the deal in a slightly more comfortable win than 2000.
This analysis holds little bearing to the 2008 election though.
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