Posted on 09/29/2010 10:39:00 AM PDT by Crichton
Raleigh, N.C. – The battle for North Carolina’s 7th Congressional district seat between Republican candidate Ilario Pantano and Democratic Rep. Mike McIntyre is virtually tied, according to a new SurveyUSA poll released today by the Civitas Institute.
According to the poll of 450 registered voters in that district, 46 percent of voters said they would vote for Pantano if the election for United States House of Representatives were held today. Forty-five percent said they would vote for McIntyre, and nine percent of voters said they are undecided.
However, when looking at those who are most likely to vote in 2010, Pantano’s lead jumps to a 52 percent-42 percent margin. In addition, Republicans are heavily backing Pantano (81 percent-14 percent), along with unaffiliated voters by a 61 percent-34 percent margin. Democratic voters are in support of McIntyre by 71 percent-16 percent. Furthermore, 46 percent of voters think McIntyre is a moderate compared to 21 percent who think he is a conservative. Nineteen percent of voters said he is a liberal, and 14 percent said they are not sure.
(Excerpt) Read more at nccivitas.org ...
The state GOP is making a huge concerted push in this part of the state (multiple legislative seats are in play here), and black turnout is expected to be fairly low. There's no help at the top of the ticket for Democrats, where Burr is destroying Elaine Marshall.
DON’T BELIEVE THE POLLS!
Paladino was “tied” with Lazio last Monday- On Tuesday he WON BY A LANDSLIDE! (62-37)
Thats 25% for those who went to public school
Good for Ilairo.
Survey USA is a terrible outfit, lots of outliers. I know they lean Republican, but still...
SurveyUSA tends to be a bit jumpy, but everyone has their methodology, and their has been fairly successful.
Nice!
Prediction: Within the next two weeks, McIntyre will release an internal poll showing himself ahead by 20% or more, with the pollster being the same Anzalone (sp) group that did the ridiculous polls for Shuler, Kissell and others.
ping
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