I am sick to death of these thumbsucking articles about how we can win back the Republican Party, or how we can reform RINOs, or how we can finally get the establishment Republicans to like us. We have been whining like this for as long as I can remember. Time to cut this Gordian knot.
Tea Party Democrats. It is an idea whose time has come.
Tea Party democrats would start with the old blue collar Perot Bloc and Reagan democrats who in total number more than 8 million.
Precise post-election analysis pinpointed the demographic that caused the loss of the 2012 presidential election. By all accounts Obama should have been beaten but the GOP establishment choice of Romney was so awful that the blue collar conservative stayed home by more than 6+ million strong. They couldn’t stand to vote for what they rightly thought was a fraudulent GOP candidate.
Independents make up 20% to 30% of voters in elections.
Republicans make up 35% of voters.
Democrats make up 40% of voters.
Reagan democrats and the old Perot Bloc make up 7% of the electorate when they vote BUT THEY OFTEN SIT OUT ELECTIONS. I call these the blue collar conservatives.
A Tea Party conservative nominee running on the GOP ticket must take 85% of the republicans, 60% of independents (at a level of 25%) and 85% of the blue collar conservatives. This computes to 51% of the voters.
But the above calculation ignores an important dynamic. There is a dynamic that ensures a GOP landslide. To see this first consider:
1. The Blue Collar Conservative Bloc sat home in 2012 but will be out in force for a conservative nominee in the next election. So these 8+ million votes must be added to the voter pool and the percentages changed accordingly.
2. Democrat voter turnout must be dulled by a lack of BOTH enthusiasm for their nominee OR a lack of money to buy the votes. The best way to turn the money spigots off to buy democrat votes is to shut down the government as before because the money comes from government through union conduits. Democrat turnout in 2012 was down from 2008 because of less enthusiasm. If campaign money had dried up the democrat vote turnout would have risked the election.
3. Many independents are libertarians and will vote for Ron Paul type republicans. The way to appeal to them is to constantly send the message that less government is better government. Campaign on issues of homosexual marriage, abortion, marijuana legalization as State Rights issues, not for the federal government. This wins them over (it also entails overturning Roe v. Wade).
The above dynamic can bring about a 55% to 60% vote victory in any Senate, House or Presidential race.
But the downside as uttered before is that despite winning an election, the challenge is keeping the newly elected officeholder on message after sipping the Potomac rum.