[palmer]

The disease will reach a tipping point - the disease popping up in too many places spreading too rapidly to contain without either a drug or a vaccine, and too fast to contain with a quarantine.

They tested that theory in West Point, but it turns out people avoided touching the dying and dead and the disease was kept in check using home-made disease control and ambulance services: http://online.wsj.com/articles/liberian-slum-takes-ebola-treatment-into-its-own-hands-1414080932

The disease simply cannot double each month without keeping the dying at home, washing the dead, etc. Even a modest effort like in West Point is enough to avoid your scenario and non-third-world countries have zero chance of your scenario.

[RinaseaofDs]

Let’s hope you’re right. So far, doctors and nurses are dropping like flies and they are failing to contain it, period.

Again, my numbers are pathetically understated.