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Trump's Primary Lead Is Bigger Than Hillary's - larger than Reagan's in 1980, and Bush's in 1988
weeklystandard.com ^ | Dec 15, 2015 | Ethan Epstein

Posted on 12/15/2015 12:18:50 PM PST by GonzoII

So dominant is Hillary Clinton's polling in the presidential primaries, notes the press critic Howard Kurtz, that the media have essentially stopped paying attention to the Democratic race at all. The logic, for a media organization, is simple: Why lavish limited resources on a fait accompli? The Democrats, after all, have spoken. They are fully ready for (or perhaps fully resigned to) Hillary.

That's certainly not the case on the Republican side, where, we are told (ad nauseam), that the race is still "wide open." With "no clear frontrunner" on the GOP side, the contrast between the Republican and Democratic contests could not be clearer. It will be Hillary representing the Dems, and it could be just about anybody (well, maybe not anybody) who ends up leading the ticket for the GOP.

Yet are the races really all that different?

According to the two latest national polls, conducted as the furor over Trump's call for a temporary moratorium on Muslim migration reached a fever pitch, the real estate magnate leads the Republican field by either 23 or 27 points. Tuesday's Washington Post/ABC News poll has Trump with more than double the support of the second place finisher, Ted Cruz. Indeed, Trump's lead over his primary opponents is larger than both Ronald Reagan's was in the 1980 race, and George H. W Bush's was in the 1988 contest.

The latest national polls of the Democrats, meanwhile, show Secretary Clinton leading Bernie Sanders by a mere 20 or 19 points. And her support appears to be plateauing, while Trump's numbers are surging. All of which is to say, on a national level, Trump is clearly in a stronger position than Clinton is.

Looking at the crucial first two states, Clinton does appear stronger in Iowa than Trump. According to the latest polling averages, Trump is up by only one point in Iowa, whereas Clinton leads Sanders by more than 15. But Trump is in much better shape in New Hampshire. He's up by 16 points in the Granite State, while Clinton is clinging to a tenuous five point lead.

So, does this mean that Trump is a shoo-in for the Republican nomination? Hardly. He has a fight on his hands (good thing he's in such great shape) – but then again, by the same standard, Secretary Clinton does too. The media should behave accordingly.



TOPICS: Front Page News; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: banmuslims; debates; elections; immigration; jihad; moratorium; muslim; polls; reagan; referendumonsecurity; securetheborders; securethenation; simpletonsliketrump; trump; trumpiswrong; trumpwasright; wronginsomanyways
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Go Trump!
1 posted on 12/15/2015 12:18:50 PM PST by GonzoII
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To: GonzoII
 photo Hillary_zps48wgothu.jpg
2 posted on 12/15/2015 12:22:12 PM PST by Patton@Bastogne
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To: GonzoII

They “should” but they “won’t”


3 posted on 12/15/2015 12:22:28 PM PST by HiTech RedNeck (Embrace the Lion of Judah and He will roar for you and teach you to roar too. See my page.)
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To: GonzoII

4 posted on 12/15/2015 12:23:13 PM PST by Bobalu (Even if I could take off, I could never get past the tractor beam!)
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To: GonzoII
BUT, in a head-to-head race, Hillary will beat Trump.

According to http://abcnews.go.com/Politics/trump-hits-high-gop-race-clinton-outsider-experience/story?id=35764718 (published today):

"Trump slightly trails Hillary Clinton in a general election matchup, by 6 percentage points among registered voters, expanding to 13 points among all adults."

5 posted on 12/15/2015 12:23:22 PM PST by Theo (May Christ be exalted above all.)
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To: GonzoII; RoosterRedux; Albion Wilde; hoosiermama; Amntn; RitaOK; flaglady47; HarleyLady27; ...

YUGE!!

BTTT!!


6 posted on 12/15/2015 12:23:40 PM PST by Jane Long (Go Trump, go! Make America Safe Again :)
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To: Theo

LOLOL....


7 posted on 12/15/2015 12:24:00 PM PST by Jane Long (Go Trump, go! Make America Safe Again :)
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To: GonzoII
 photo 82efc5b8-65ea-4557-88ba-0602cc3d1163_zpsu85dllzw.png
8 posted on 12/15/2015 12:24:36 PM PST by smoothsailing
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To: GonzoII

Just to see the liberals crying alone would be loverly...!!!


9 posted on 12/15/2015 12:24:40 PM PST by Beowulf9
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To: Patton@Bastogne

Kind of sad, people know to look for a God, but impostors take advantage of people’s fallen hatred for God and gin up figures like this who tell them they are fine either without having to change anything, or by changing things but to the worse.


10 posted on 12/15/2015 12:25:17 PM PST by HiTech RedNeck (Embrace the Lion of Judah and He will roar for you and teach you to roar too. See my page.)
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To: GonzoII

But the “experts” on TV keep saying national polls don’t mean anything. Like those voters don’t vote in various state primaries.


11 posted on 12/15/2015 12:25:25 PM PST by Hugin ("First thing--get yourself a firearm!" Sheriff Ed Galt, Last Man Standing.)
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To: Theo
"BUT"

Trump will whip Hillary''s

12 posted on 12/15/2015 12:25:31 PM PST by GonzoII ("If the new crime be, to believe in God, let us all be criminals" -Sheen)
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To: Theo
If you believe that poll, you also believe Americans are opposed to Trump's suggestion for a Muslim ban by 61% to 39%. Do you believe that?

Also, the partisan divisions are that poll are 33-23-34 percent, Democrats-Republicans-independents. Who are the missing 10%?

13 posted on 12/15/2015 12:26:22 PM PST by CatOwner
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To: GonzoII

No. Check out this chart ( http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/us/general_election_trump_vs_clinton-5491.html ), which shows Hillary beating Trump.

Trump loses agains Hillary.

Cruz, on the other hand, is more likely to beat Hillary:

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/us/general_election_cruz_vs_clinton-4034.html

Or just blindly root for Trump. Whatever.


14 posted on 12/15/2015 12:27:36 PM PST by Theo (May Christ be exalted above all.)
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To: smoothsailing

Hillary at heart (unless she chooses to accept a change from God, always something theoretically possible from our point of view) is a bitter witch.

Donald is the bull in the china shop who will knock you down and then say I really didn’t mean that, here will this make it better?

It’s easier to love Donald.


15 posted on 12/15/2015 12:27:47 PM PST by HiTech RedNeck (Embrace the Lion of Judah and He will roar for you and teach you to roar too. See my page.)
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To: Patton@Bastogne

I cannot comprehend why voters would want a mentally confused, inept, pathological liar such as Hillary for POTUS. Especially, with the chaos created by Obama, we need a strong leader. Not a nerdy, pathetic figure who wants more Muslim immigrant to this country.


16 posted on 12/15/2015 12:28:11 PM PST by Jane Austen (Those who welcome Syrian refugees are enabling ISIS.)
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To: Theo

Sigh, another example of cherry pickin’


17 posted on 12/15/2015 12:28:22 PM PST by HiTech RedNeck (Embrace the Lion of Judah and He will roar for you and teach you to roar too. See my page.)
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To: smoothsailing
It keeps getting closer!
18 posted on 12/15/2015 12:30:14 PM PST by GonzoII ("If the new crime be, to believe in God, let us all be criminals" -Sheen)
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To: Jane Long

Typical media bias - 2 parties with similar numbers. Yet one is a shoe in (weird phrase, isn’t it?) while the other isn’t.

Hubby keeps laughing after every Trump interview-the media are ADDICTED to him. They can’t stop talking about him. They want to, they want to quit giving him free air time, yet they can’t stop themselves. I imagine before a broadcast, they are telling each other ‘this will be the last time, really it will...”


19 posted on 12/15/2015 12:31:16 PM PST by CottonBall
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To: Bobalu

awesome!


20 posted on 12/15/2015 12:31:37 PM PST by CottonBall
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