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Trump's Primary Lead Is Bigger Than Hillary's - larger than Reagan's in 1980, and Bush's in 1988
weeklystandard.com ^ | Dec 15, 2015 | Ethan Epstein

Posted on 12/15/2015 12:18:50 PM PST by GonzoII

So dominant is Hillary Clinton's polling in the presidential primaries, notes the press critic Howard Kurtz, that the media have essentially stopped paying attention to the Democratic race at all. The logic, for a media organization, is simple: Why lavish limited resources on a fait accompli? The Democrats, after all, have spoken. They are fully ready for (or perhaps fully resigned to) Hillary.

That's certainly not the case on the Republican side, where, we are told (ad nauseam), that the race is still "wide open." With "no clear frontrunner" on the GOP side, the contrast between the Republican and Democratic contests could not be clearer. It will be Hillary representing the Dems, and it could be just about anybody (well, maybe not anybody) who ends up leading the ticket for the GOP.

Yet are the races really all that different?

According to the two latest national polls, conducted as the furor over Trump's call for a temporary moratorium on Muslim migration reached a fever pitch, the real estate magnate leads the Republican field by either 23 or 27 points. Tuesday's Washington Post/ABC News poll has Trump with more than double the support of the second place finisher, Ted Cruz. Indeed, Trump's lead over his primary opponents is larger than both Ronald Reagan's was in the 1980 race, and George H. W Bush's was in the 1988 contest.

The latest national polls of the Democrats, meanwhile, show Secretary Clinton leading Bernie Sanders by a mere 20 or 19 points. And her support appears to be plateauing, while Trump's numbers are surging. All of which is to say, on a national level, Trump is clearly in a stronger position than Clinton is.

Looking at the crucial first two states, Clinton does appear stronger in Iowa than Trump. According to the latest polling averages, Trump is up by only one point in Iowa, whereas Clinton leads Sanders by more than 15. But Trump is in much better shape in New Hampshire. He's up by 16 points in the Granite State, while Clinton is clinging to a tenuous five point lead.

So, does this mean that Trump is a shoo-in for the Republican nomination? Hardly. He has a fight on his hands (good thing he's in such great shape) – but then again, by the same standard, Secretary Clinton does too. The media should behave accordingly.



TOPICS: Front Page News; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: banmuslims; debates; elections; immigration; jihad; moratorium; muslim; polls; reagan; referendumonsecurity; securetheborders; securethenation; simpletonsliketrump; trump; trumpiswrong; trumpwasright; wronginsomanyways
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To: GonzoII
Is she even running? Don't see or hear much about her.

I think she's ill...and it may be that Sanders will wind up being their doofus candidate.

21 posted on 12/15/2015 12:33:37 PM PST by Sacajaweau
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To: Theo

I’ll go for the guy that reflects my views. No amnesty, no questionable trade deals. no more evils.


22 posted on 12/15/2015 12:34:28 PM PST by CottonBall
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To: Jane Long

YUGE!!

BTTT!!



Yes! And thanks for the ping.


23 posted on 12/15/2015 12:34:31 PM PST by 867V309 (Trump: Bull in a RINO Shoppe)
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To: Bobalu

LOL


24 posted on 12/15/2015 12:34:56 PM PST by Duchess47 ("One day I will leave this world and dream myself to Reality" Crazy Horse)
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To: Theo

25 posted on 12/15/2015 12:35:20 PM PST by onyx
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To: CottonBall

Hubby keeps laughing after every Trump interview-the media are ADDICTED to him. They can’t stop talking about him. They want to, they want to quit giving him free air time, yet they can’t stop themselves.

******************************************

I think it was Andrea Tantaros who said that Trump is the heroin dealer & the media keeps buying. Harris Faulkner gave her a weird look, but the analogy is a good one. The media is majorly addicted ... they can’t get off Trump!


26 posted on 12/15/2015 12:35:38 PM PST by Qiviut (In Islam you have to die for Allah. The God I worship died for me. [Franklin Graham])
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To: Sacajaweau

The DEMs like their nutjobs, but no way does Sanders come out on top. Hillary is expending minimal energy for various reasons. The longer the GOP race stays undetermined, the more rest Hillary gets.


27 posted on 12/15/2015 12:35:52 PM PST by CatOwner
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To: GonzoII

You could have asked me. I knew. ;-)


28 posted on 12/15/2015 12:36:28 PM PST by Red Steel (Ted Cruz: 'I'm a Big Fan of Donald Trump')
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To: CottonBall

Hellary -> shoe in....LOL :)

MSM hates Trump, but loves the ratings he brings them. Ha ha....keep at it, Trump!!! Trump’s not owned...he owns :)


29 posted on 12/15/2015 12:38:30 PM PST by Jane Long (Go Trump, go! Make America Safe Again :)
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To: GonzoII

Of course he can’t win the General Election just like Reagan couldn’t win in ‘80 and GHWB couldn’t win in ‘88 and GWB Would never get reelected in 2004.


30 posted on 12/15/2015 12:39:23 PM PST by Jim from C-Town (The government is rarely benevolent, often malevolent and never benign!)
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To: HiTech RedNeck

How is that cherry picking? It’s a summary of a variety of polls placing Hillary against Trump ... and Trump loses.


31 posted on 12/15/2015 12:39:31 PM PST by Theo (May Christ be exalted above all.)
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To: Theo
No. Check out this chart ( http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/us/general_election_trump_vs_clinton-5491.html ), which shows Hillary beating Trump. Trump loses agains Hillary. Cruz, on the other hand, is more likely to beat Hillary: http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/us/general_election_cruz_vs_clinton-4034.html Or just blindly root for Trump. Whatever.

====================== ===========================

Why bother with this kind of speculation? Trump hasn't won the nomination (yet) much less run his slice-and-dice machine against hillary.


32 posted on 12/15/2015 12:39:59 PM PST by 867V309 (Trump: Bull in a RINO Shoppe)
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To: GonzoII
Hey Hillary... ♫ This Trump is made for rolling, and it's gonna roll all over you ♪
33 posted on 12/15/2015 12:41:45 PM PST by smoothsailing
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To: Jim from C-Town
"Of course he can't win the General Election just like Reagan couldn't win in `80 "

Yeah, it will be Bedtime For Bonzo, the guy's a B-List actor...he's to old...

34 posted on 12/15/2015 12:44:38 PM PST by GonzoII ("If the new crime be, to believe in God, let us all be criminals" -Sheen)
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To: CottonBall
one is a shoe in (weird phrase, isn’t it?) while the other isn’t.
For sure, “shoe in” is a weird phrase.

OTOH “shoo-in” denotes someone who faces only nominal opposition.


35 posted on 12/15/2015 12:45:39 PM PST by conservatism_IS_compassion ('Liberalism' is a conspiracy against the public by wire-service journalism.)
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To: Jane Long

“Trump’s not owned...he owns :)”

I adore watching his interviews with the lefties - when I used to cringe watching anything like that with other candidates. He has them eating out of his hand in a short time. Within 6 hours of him being bashed for the Muslim moratorium, CNN was falling over themselves to say it was temporary. Even the banner across the screen said it, the interviewer interrupted him to emphasize it.

I’ve never seen anything like this.


36 posted on 12/15/2015 12:46:18 PM PST by CottonBall
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To: conservatism_IS_compassion

LOL!

Ok, I’m corrected!

shoo-in is still odd as well. What’s the derivation?


37 posted on 12/15/2015 12:47:42 PM PST by CottonBall
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To: Bobalu

;D


38 posted on 12/15/2015 12:48:27 PM PST by Salamander (It's your world, but it's my street....)
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To: conservatism_IS_compassion

just google.

shoo is a verb.

who knew?!


39 posted on 12/15/2015 12:49:27 PM PST by CottonBall
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To: CottonBall

The polls who will win the White House are BS……Reagan was going to lose to Carter in a landside….


40 posted on 12/15/2015 12:49:45 PM PST by Hojczyk
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