IMO Rubio has a better shot than Cruz if you look at the upcoming states. The chances are small for both if Trump just takes Ohio or FL. Neither one can reach the needed number of delegates. They are both fighting for a brokered convention, not to win the nomination outright.
As it is, I fully expect Trump to win FL pretty big, and that will end any hope at all for Rubio...though he may stay in as a spoiler anyway.
I hope you are right, but I expect it to be much closer given the stakes involved and the amount of money the GOPe is pouring in to take Trump down. Rubio is not well-liked in FL given his betrayal on amnesty. Still, he could have a shot depending on how successful the MSM and the GOPe are in taking down Trump. The debate tomorrow night is a big trap for Trump. And there will be three against one on stage plus another stacked audience.
Kasich will give Trump a run in Ohio...no doubt about that. But even if he wins...its just a small speed bump to Trump, and in all likelihood, it is Kasichs last hoorah and only win.
Agree. The only reason Kasich is staying in is to give the GOPe a shot at Ohio, a winner take all state. These are delegates that would be denied Trump who will surely finish second in a Kasich win. Without Kasich, Trump would win easily.
I do not think that is going to matter. Look at all the money they threw into Jeb.
Totally and utterly wasted.
I believe the same will be true of any attempt with Rubio.
They simply do not get it. The very reason that Trump is dominating and catching fire is exactly these antics. They more they do it...the brighter the fire is going to burn.
The only reason Kasich is staying in is to give the GOPe a shot at Ohio, a winner take all state. These are delegates that would be denied Trump who will surely finish second in a Kasich win. Without Kasich, Trump would win easily.
That is right...but I think Trump's momentum is going to continue to build after yesterday, through this weekend and next week. Such that it will not matter in the end.
1st I believe there is a good chance that Trump wins Ohio anyway.
2nd, quite frankly, given the other dynamics, I thinks Trump will reach the magic number well before the convention with or without Ohio.