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To: LS

“It’s the only way you and the GOPe can win.”
_____________________________________________

Nice try! Cruz is not GOPe...he is anti-establishment...the Trump folks say that Cruz can’t be elected because everyone in the Senate and GOPe hates him...now he’s part of the GOPe because some of the GOPe are moving towards him...You Can’t Have It Both Ways!

Cruz is still working toward winning the nomination outright, but is simply saying that if we happen to have a “contested” convention with no candidate reaching 1,237 votes before the first ballot, he’ll deal with it then. If Rubio and Kasich remain in the race, this could be the outcome. If they drop out after March 15th, then national polls suggest that Cruz could win in many of the remaining contests.

There will still be about 20 states remaining after March 15th...11 of these states have Closed primaries, favoring Cruz....also, 8 states will have proportional allocation of delegates, so Cruz and others would continue to accumulate delegates at some level...

Much depends on March 15th...I believe Trump is now a lock for Florida, given the shrinking Little Marco candidacy...If Trump wins Fl & Ohio, I think the game is pretty much over except the counting...However, if Kasich wins his home state, Trump will be denied 66 delegates and will lose some momentum ...this situation could lead to a “contested” convention...

Then, the horse trading begins and it all depends on the delegate count. Trump will want to win on the first ballot because if he falls short of 1,237, he could lose control of the nomination. So, I would expect him to dust off his best seller and make a deal with one of the remaining candidates before the convention, likely offering the VP slot in exchange for delegate support. Take your pick...all three candidates have pluses and minuses for Trump...the only one has has not gashed terribly yet is Kasich...that would be my bet!


187 posted on 03/09/2016 9:09:08 AM PST by HoosierWordsmith
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To: HoosierWordsmith

Pretty much right.


198 posted on 03/09/2016 9:13:56 AM PST by LS ("Castles Made of Sand, Fall in the Sea . . . Eventually" (Hendrix))
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