Call it what you will, but if the word "conserve" is to mean preserving the ideas upon which our individual liberty was secured and protected by a written Constitution, then the scheme currently being undertaken by Republican Party leaders, then they need to change the way they self-describe.
Cruz was my choice, but if he, understanding the founding ideas as he does, allows himself to accept the power of the Presidency under such conditions, then his actions undermine his claimed fidelity to those ideas.
I’m sorry, I’m just not buying a 70% win for Cruz. I live in Nevada, right next door, the percentage of Mormons in this state is very large, and most of them are Republicans yet Trump won our closed primary by nearly 50% of the vote. If Cruz were so popular among Mormons, then he would have won a much higher percentage than he did here. Also, Arizona also has a huge Mormon population, yet Trump won there as well. There had to be some very funny stuff going on for Trump to only get about 10% of the vote in Utah; for one thing, while Utah is heavily Mormon, there are a lot of non-Mormons living there who would not all be so smitten with Cruz even if every last Mormon was. Although I suppose with an honest vote Cruz might win Utah, if it were honest it would be a lot closer than this and Trump would have a much higher number.
There is a lot of cheating going on, and fortunately, Trump can challenge these fraudulent elections at the convention and get these votes thrown out.
Well reasoned, but there are 885 delegates remaining and that throws the math off. Trump has to win over 54% of those remaining delegates. Cruz has to win over 87% of them to win. However, if anyone other than Trump, including uncommitted, get 483 of the remaining delegates, there is no first ballot winner. Cruz still has to win two more majorities (he has ID,KS,ME,TX, UT, WY), or he cannot receive votes in any round.
If Cruz was the pre-Iowa candidate that he was and remained true w/o the GOPee ‘beat Trump at all costs endorsements’ then he would have better leverage with the voters for a rally behind Trump push. Methinks its too late for that now with all the bad vibes between the two and his GOPee shills who he cant toss over now. The voters will have to push Trump over the line and thats a good thing.
I fuly agree with you and hope Ted will decide to back Donald Trump as the only candidate now able to get an overall majority.
“But there are only 763 delegates left to win.”
Looks like there are 839 delegates remaining in future primaries/caucuses.
North Dakota 28
Wisconsin 42
New York 95
Connecticut 28
Delaware 16
Maryland 38
Pennsylvania 71
Rhode Island 19
Indiana 57
Nebraska 36
West Virginia 34
Oregon 28
Washington 44
California 172
Montana 7-Jun 27
New Jersey 51
New Mexico 24
South Dakota 29
Totals 839
MY calculation show that there are 839 delegates left.
Now? What about those who’ve been telling us this for moths here on FR?
After last night, I think there are 2 things that Trump should do. First, he needs to repeatedly call for Cruz to get out of the race since mathematically he cannot win. Over and over and over. Second, he should have Ivanka cut an ad with him calling out Cruz for his disgusting attacks on Melania and run the ad everywhere. Cruz likes to paint everything with a broad brush so turnabout is fair play. It would destroy Cruz with Republican women and garner Trump at least grudging admiration from independent women and possible some democrats.
Game over, now it is just a question how many delegates everyone has and how many are disallowed under party rules.
Congratulations to Ted for his victory in Utah, congratulations to Trump for his victory in Arizona. Now it is just a waiting game to see who is thought to give a good fight for Hillary before tanking and giving liberals the White House.
Should I really believe that Trump has a .237 of a delegate? Have people forgotten that ‘.’ has a well defined mathematical usage?
Vote Trump
I am a Cruz supporter but since it is not possible for Cruz to win the nomination on the first ballot and since the danger of the GOPe playing shenanigans during the convention is too great, My advice to Sen Cruz is simply this:
Got to Trump and offer to shutdown the effort and publicly support Trumps nomination if Trump will privately commit to nominating Cruz for the vacant SCOTUS position as the first nominee.
It Trump agrees, then he will clearly be the nominee going into the convention
You counted Nebraska twice.
Trump probably won’t win Montana and South Dakota.
Other than that it seems reasonable.
According to the 538 site, there are 905 Republican delegates left in the 20 states and territories still to vote. Trump still needs approximately 483, or about 53%.
Also, according to the International Business Times, American Samoa gave a delegate each to Cruz and Trump, none to Kasich. Not sure what they’re going to do with the remaining 7. I did not include American Samoa in the numbers above.
If he says he does believe the party will support his second round bid, then he's fooling himself. They will use him to stop Trump and then cast him aside for their own self-interests.
This is politics, and the only thing that Cruz can count on is what he directly controls, and he does NOT control what the GOPe will do in round two no matter what they promise. They will turn on him before the echo of the round one closing gavel subsides.
If Cruz really thinks it is important to stop the Mcconnell lying wing of the Republican party, then his best bet now is to align with Trump and declare his delegate support for Trump.
If Cruz does this now, 1) he will instantly become the darling of the outsider movement, and 2) he will drastically change the current narrative of stopping Trump with a brokered convention. That story would become dead overnight instead of lingering on until July. The story will become the GOPe naked power grab, and they will lose control of that story quickly.
It's time for Cruz to have his Rubio moment, and step up to do the right thing.
-PJ
It appears to be likely that Trump will get over the top based on your conservative analysis, in which I agree.
> “Some people are saying that the Utah caucuses were fraudulent. I do not believe they were.”
Then read an eyewitness account:
http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/3412679/posts
Not that it matters but having witnessed the Mormon Mafia in 2012, the above link describes exactly how they operate.