Well seeing as trump won two of the 3 swing state thus far and cruz never won a single county in VA, FL who lost miserably and seeing as he came third in all swing states then it appears if you go by this B/S that we might as well give it to Clinton now.
Now I am in FL and trust me there is no way other than Trump who would win this state against Clinton. There are now people here saying they will not vote unless it is Trump and certainly not for cruz as they have seen the lies about Trump and their establishment attacks
I am in Florida as well. I don’t agree with you. Remember that Obama won Florida twice, and it’s a whole lot more Blue today than it was when Romney lost Florida in 2012. The reality is that whoever wins Florida wins the election. The fact that Trump won the Florida primary doesn’t mean he could win Florida in the general election. He wasn’t running against Hillary in the primary, and the Democrats were not voting in the GOP primary.
The better point (which you don’t discuss) is that Cruz may or may not be able to beat Hillary in Florida for the same reasons. Sabato’s analysis only looks at Trump. I would like to see how Cruz would do.