CLICK
Posted on 04/15/2016 9:22:14 AM PDT by usafa92
One America News Network and Gravis Marketing, a nonpartisan research firm, conducted a random survey of 857 likely Republican Primary voters and 1,134 likely Democratic Primary voters. The poll has a margin of error of ± 3.3% for Republicans and ± 2.9% for Democrats, all at the 95% confidence level. The poll was conducted on April 5th and 6th. The total may not round to 100% because of rounding. The polls were conducted using automated telephone calls (IVR technology), with the results weighted by relevant voting demographics. The poll was conducted for One America News Network.
(Excerpt) Read more at oann.com ...
The Democratic race is more interesting. Hillary only by 6 which is closer than any other poll. I happen to think this is more reflective of reality. The city, especially Manhattan, Queens and Brooklyn is full of urban hipsters who will vote Bernie. Hillary does not play well upstate. It will be close on the Dem side. Think Michigan.
And in other good polling news, just stumbled over this from Morning Consult: Trump is beating the pants off Cruz in the 17 states still to vote: “A new Morning Consult poll shows Trump has a larger advantage in states that have yet to vote than in states where the ballots have already been counted.
The survey of 423 Republicans and Republican-leaning independents shows Trump leading in the 17 states that have not yet voted with 51 percent of the vote. Texas Sen. Ted Cruz is a distant second, at 21 percent; Ohio Gov. John Kasich comes in third, at 14 percent.” https://morningconsult.com/2016/04/donald-trump-late-state-advantage/
Well, so much for the “Trump can’t get over 50%” meme the Cruzers are flogging this morning.
Trump needs to watch his back, all the time.
Ted accumulating more and more delegates:
http://www.drbongo.com/play/vbA
Trump will not get to 1237 and he cannot beat Hillary, he should drop out and endorse Ted and give Ted billions for his campaign because Ted Cruz is the only that can save the country with his support of conservative talk radio.
If this poll was taken 4/5-4/6, that data is a bit stale. That might have been Trump’s low point during the WI primary.
Would be nice to see newer data showing the effects of CO, the Cruz post-WI impact and the Lewandowski accusation being dropped.
Overall, I would expect the Trump numbers to be higher?
Ted knows exactly how to watch his back.....he’s been doing it for 40 years in NY City. His father taught him well. His problem is he’s operating now in an environment he wants to control in the same way,..he can’t and doesn’t. Which is why he’s recently hired others to do what he cannot himself.
Meanwhile the second tier of the game was in full play from the beginning when all candidates announced their run...and that was for the delegates....Trumps coming in late in the game because he figured he could do it without a ground game.
Your Ted, heck of a nice guy, is unelectable both now and in November.
Take a look at the exit polling, particularly in The South.
He came in between 2nd-4th place among those who consider themselves Very Conservative and most Evangelical. Those results are mirrored in the Monmouth polling for upstate NY.
He would stand a strong chance of losing 1-2 reliably red Southern states in the GE.
And there is no way he could win Florida and capture the 29 EV.
1. He was 500,000 plus votes behind Trump in FL.
2. Cruz did not win in the areas where he targeted & campaigned. The votes were not lost to Rubio, he lost all that territory to Trump.
3. He did not win a single county in the entire state of FL.
4. He lacks appeal for millions of New Englanders and NY that live in FL.
5. Florida has more EV than 7-8 other states combined-ya gotta win it.
Nationwide he has no crossover appeal for Independents or Democrats to swing PA or OH or VA. Name a VA county that he won. The Republican party needs the Indie votes and Dem votes to overcome the opposition we face.
Ted is left in the roll of spoiler, with an unknown promised reward. And you can bet if the GOP props him up that the DNC and Wasserman-Schultz will attack him with lawsuits due to his lack of eligibility. But don’t let me dissuade you from voting your conscious. The FR Boss-JR speaks the truth.
http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/gop/3419800/posts?page=51#51
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“Cruz lost the primary vote and is now aiding and abetting the enemy (the GOPe) in their treasonous attempt to deny the nomination to the winner.
Cruz is a sore loser turned traitor against the grassroots voters. And the foolish neophyte thinks the GOPe is going to let him have a shot at the presidency if he helps them block Trump? Laughable if it wasn’t so serious.”
What the hell have you been smoking.
...”Cruz is now aiding and abetting the enemy (the GOPe) in their treasonous attempt to deny the nomination to Trump”....
No......Cruz is out to ‘win’ delegates for convention.....(or did you miss those stories)....which includes the delegates Trump ignores.....Of which Cruz expects to win on the second ballet.
You still do not understand the second tier of this race I see. However what you do understand is that the race is still on...Trump does not have the required delegate number to claim the nominee......and if he doesn’t reach the magic number then it’s on to convention, ....so until a nominee has won...race is on!!!
Oh my.
Trump is killing it.
Cruz is behind Ka-Sick. Funny.
Love that pic Oxyx!
The Cruz folks like to remind us that Ted underpolls.
So maybe he will beat Kasich in couple of northeastern states—maybe.
Caww, return to the link that I posted above.
The part in quotes are JimRob’s post, which I am in full agreement. He calls a spade a spade.
I understand the race at all levels. Just never knew the Republican party was this dirty because I have typically been monitoring the opposition for ballot/ election fraud. Now during the primaries, Maine, CO and two others have become of high interest.
And I love numbers and the internals from many of the states are quite striking in comparison. Last time I analyzed, maybe 3 weeks ago,I saw that withstanding Texas, Ted’s votes from the states that he won did not equal the population of Witchita, Kansas.
He might very well get over 50%, but these polls might also be dead wrong.
It is NYC, the land of the angry mobsters. How many people in New York are going to receive a telephone call and tell the stranger on the other end that they are not supporting a fellow New Yorker and man with mob ties?
That was a good summary, but Cruz’ Ohio tally bears mentioning. His 13 percent total was just pathetic. His problem is that Ohio lets people vote, and it’s not a caucus, where it’s so easy to cheat.
The bottom is falling out for Cruz. No matter how much his most ardent supporters defend CO, the average voter doesn’t like it. Cruz is tanking in the polls.
http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/gop/3419800/posts?page=51#51
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Cruz lost the primary vote and is now aiding and abetting the enemy (the GOPe)
in their treasonous attempt to deny the nomination to the winner.
Cruz is a sore loser turned traitor against the grassroots voters.
And the foolish neophyte thinks the GOPe is going to let him
have a shot at the presidency if he helps them block Trump?
Laughable if it wasn’t so serious.
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51 posted on 4/11/2016, 4:58:07 PM by Jim Robinson
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I am well aware of the thread and have been when it was posted..... I don’t agree.
Cruz just picked up Nebraska Delegates too, over your guy not showing up....(AGAIN)...the officials say they saw virtually no organization by Trumps campaign last week when Republicans in all 93 Nebraska counties held local conventions.......not showing up to a states “party” you’ve been especially invited to, that you want votes and delegates from isn’t exactly the way to win friends and influence people...let alone WIN those delegates.
And just so you know.... Those county conventions picked 800 delegates to May’s Nebraska state convention, where 33 delegates to the national convention in Cleveland will be selected......How can you say Trump was cheated when he didn’t even bother to set foot in these states....Fact is Trump failed miserably.
Further... following the rules is not cheating. It’s the opposite of cheating. ..... Is winning 40% of the vote in Arizona, as Trump did , yet receiving 100% of the state’s delegates cheating? No, because that’s the rules for their primary....
If you want the delegates of the Republican party, you have to earn them according to the rules in each state......If Trump thinks delegates given by rules instead of votes is cheating, have him return the % of his delegates he got ‘above the vote’ because of the rules...
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