The Democratic race is more interesting. Hillary only by 6 which is closer than any other poll. I happen to think this is more reflective of reality. The city, especially Manhattan, Queens and Brooklyn is full of urban hipsters who will vote Bernie. Hillary does not play well upstate. It will be close on the Dem side. Think Michigan.
And in other good polling news, just stumbled over this from Morning Consult: Trump is beating the pants off Cruz in the 17 states still to vote: “A new Morning Consult poll shows Trump has a larger advantage in states that have yet to vote than in states where the ballots have already been counted.
The survey of 423 Republicans and Republican-leaning independents shows Trump leading in the 17 states that have not yet voted with 51 percent of the vote. Texas Sen. Ted Cruz is a distant second, at 21 percent; Ohio Gov. John Kasich comes in third, at 14 percent.” https://morningconsult.com/2016/04/donald-trump-late-state-advantage/
Well, so much for the “Trump can’t get over 50%” meme the Cruzers are flogging this morning.
Trump needs to watch his back, all the time.
Ted accumulating more and more delegates:
http://www.drbongo.com/play/vbA
If this poll was taken 4/5-4/6, that data is a bit stale. That might have been Trump’s low point during the WI primary.
Would be nice to see newer data showing the effects of CO, the Cruz post-WI impact and the Lewandowski accusation being dropped.
Overall, I would expect the Trump numbers to be higher?
Oh my.
Trump is killing it.
Cruz is behind Ka-Sick. Funny.
Ping!
Selected Trump articles on FR, from 12:00 AM to 3:30 PM EST, 4/15/16:
Postcard Campaign - Pro-Trump FB
Trump and Cruz predict stock market crash CNNmoney
After-Action Report on the Counterprotest to Support Trump firebrand
Cruz: Goldman Sachs supports 'just about everyone else but me' The Hill
Louisiana delegates lash out at media: We're not with Cruz The Hill
The Next Phase: All of These Peaceful Protests Are Soon Going to End Breitbart
Priebus to Trump: Most People Don't "Give A Darn" About Colorado RCP
Colorado Caucus Volunteers: Ballot Errors Hurt Trump Delegate Candidates, Could Have Violated State Rules Breitbart
No, Trump's Polling Position Isn't 'Better Right Now' Than Reagan's Was in 1980 Townhall
Gravis/OANN NY Poll: Trump 56, Kasich 24, Ted 20 (Updated with Internals)
Winning the popular vote might not help Donald in Pennsylvania NYPost
Commentary: Why GOP can't take the nomination from Donald Trump CBS
Breitbart Lives (Andrew's Fans Gather in New York) Amer.Rattlesnake
Cruzs Pyrrhic victory in Colo. will be death knell of his campaign Kevin Collins
Fallons Trump Character Calls Cruz, Hilarity Ensues (video)
Newly Released Polls Show Trump Climbing, Cruz Collapsing Sundance
How Obama's Refugee Policies Undermine National Security FrontPageMag
Republican insider tapped for Trump's state campaign (Indiana) flyergroup.com
IRS Giving Tax Credits to Illegals Who've Engaged in Identity Theft Conserv.Review
In Georgia, Donald Trump supporters sound the alarm perhaps too late AJC.com
The New York Post endorses "rookie" Donald Trump CBS
ACLU Fights for Rights of Illegals PatriotNews
Trump Poised for NY Landslide - but could lose dozens of delegates statewide Politico
Let Me Ask America a Question (Trump open letter WSJ) (todays thread)
Trump will bulldoze Northeast: claim hes lost momentum about to end Slate
Banana Republicans [long: history of convention rules issues] WeeklyStd
Republican leaders consider rewriting convention rules Politico
2 LIVE Trump rallies today! Plattsburgh, NY @ 3pm EDT and Hartford, CT @7pm EDT RightSideNetwk
Tennessee Republicans distrust party direction ColumbusHerald
Why Did Washington Posts Ben Terris Shake Corey Lewandowskis Hand After Witnessing Alleged Assault GotNews.com
Mad At Corporate Tax Dodgers? Blame Democrats IBD
Globe's parody page just what The Donald ordered LowellSun
Cruz shunned at N.Y. GOP gala dinner Wash.Examiner
Can party boss Christie tip the nomination to Trump? Wash.Examiner
2016 Elections Showing New World Order Alive and Well in Washington Tony Elliott
Kasich: 'I am going to leave Cleveland as the nominee (bwahahahahaha!)
James Madisons Council of Revision and Modern Judicial Review ArticleVblog
DePaul U Bans Chalk: It Can Be Used to Spell Trump DailyCaller
Meet the Muslims who are supporting Donald Trump fusion.net
Trump urged to cancel event near place where Latino man was killed in 2008 Guardian
Colorado delegates should be excluded from RNC. Agreed? [VOTE online] RedStateWatcher
Free Republic 2016 Caucus Open Discussion Thread LXXXVII Windflier
So what are the internals? New York as a whole thinking this or that? There are 27 districts having 3 delegates each. Those districts determine who gets 81 votes. What is the breakdown in each of those districts? The overall NY vote means nothing. It's the individual districts.
Has there ever been another GOP primary where two contestants are mathematically eliminated but remain in x 6 weeks with the sole objective of creating a contested convention? Shouldn’t any convention trouble be laid at their feet, if there is any?