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To: LNV

Good!
First- “but having won the majority of votes, the majority of delegates, and the majority of states”
If Trump comes to the convention with majority of delegates, he’s the nominee, fair and square.
Majority of votes and majority of States is not a part of the equation, only majority of delegates counts. Trump should have known that from the gitgo (he did of course, the Walter act is just for you guys).

Because of the way Trump has chosen to campaign, he is very unlikely to win 1237 on a 2nd or subsequent ballots. A SERIOUS candidate can not piss down the backs of everyone who holds the cards and long-time political hack RNC Delegates hold those cards. Too many bridges unnecessarily burned.

Second - “what is Cruz’s path to 270?”
Because nobama and the Democrats has so alienated so many and from knowing history of many elections, I have been long convinced that ANY Republican will beat ANY Democrat this election.

This is our one last chance to correct liberalism that has gradually chocked America since FDR. We better get it right and with a real conservative this time! Cruz will do exactly that!

Third - “Trump voters, who feel disenfranchised”. I suspect that most are actually truly patriotic and will regain their sanity when Trump quits inciting them to act like him and his 4th grade Playground bully act (yes, Trump is acting. He is first and foremost a promoter).
For those that will pout and not vote, were likely to do the same even if Trump had never come on the scene. They are the same bunch that sat out 2012 and gave us Nobama 2.

Those may not be what you wanted to hear, but that is as close as one can come while being honest and rational.

Originally I was certain Trump and Cruz had something worked out between them and that would be damn OK for me. Suddenly when Cruz started moving up in the polls for Iowa, Trump turned on the nasty. It was just too obvious! That turned me off to Trump because I knew that Cruz was not any of the things Trump or his followers smeared him with.


86 posted on 04/18/2016 9:59:26 AM PDT by X-spurt (William of Ockham endorses Ted Cruz. 'the one with the fewest assumptions should be selected')
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To: X-spurt

“I have been long convinced that ANY Republican will beat ANY Democrat this election.”

In a normal year, absolutely. But not this year. Not coming out of a contested election that splits the party. If Cruz had gotten to 1237, I’d say his chance was good. But not after the voters get an up close and personal look at the mess we’re going to put on display in Cleveland if it goes past a first ballot.

“I suspect that most are actually truly patriotic and will regain their sanity when Trump quits inciting them to act like him and his 4th grade Playground bully act...”

It will only take a few percent in a few battleground states to stay home and it’s all over. Republican voters have proven the last two cycles that they’re perfectly willing to do that.


87 posted on 04/18/2016 10:27:45 AM PDT by LNV (Cruz supporters would rather beat Trump than Hillary.)
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