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How Trump Wins Reelection
The New Republic ^ | February 26th, 2018 | By Graham Vyse

Posted on 02/27/2018 1:59:05 PM PST by Mariner

To many political observers over the past year, the prospect of President Donald Trump’s reelection looked doubtful at best. Former White House chief strategist Steve Bannon reportedly gave Trump a 30 percent chance of finishing his term.

These predictions were understandable. In 2017, it seemed, every day brought another Trump scandal, a bombshell in the Russia story, a brawl in the White House, or a diplomatic crisis, which explains why Trump’s approval rating last year was a historic low for a president’s first year in office. By year’s end, Democrats were anticipating a sweeping victory in this year’s midterm elections, with the opportunity to take back the House and perhaps even the Senate, and an enormous field of candidates was unofficially lining up for the party’s 2020 primary.

But recent data should trouble them. Internal polling by the Democratic group Priorities USA showed the president’s approval rating had climbed to 44 percent in early February, which “mirrors Trump’s improving position in public polls.” Gallup finds a narrow majority of Americans support his handling of the economy, and the new Republican tax law is getting more popular.

“I think people just kind of assume he’s a goner,” FiveThirtyEight statistician Nate Silver told me recently, “but look, he’s now more in a range where presidents have recovered to win reelection. His approval rating is up to 41 or 42 percent in our tracking. That verges on being a normal number that resembles what happened to Reagan or Clinton or Obama in their second years.” (Silver noted over the weekend that Trump dipped to 39 percent in their tracking.) As Jim Messina, who managed President Barack Obama’s reelection campaign in 2012, warned earlier this month, “Donald Trump can absolutely be reelected.”

(Excerpt) Read more at newrepublic.com ...


TOPICS: Constitution/Conservatism; Editorial; Front Page News; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: 2018election; 2020; 2020election; buildthefence; daca; dreamact; dreamers; election2018; election2020; funnystuff; incometaxes; taxcutsandjobsact; taxreform; tcja; trump
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This from the very heart and bastion of the Progressive Left. In fact this magazine started in 1914 at the birth of Progressivism. And has led the way since.

How fortuitous this article was published the day before Trump announces he's running in 2020.

1 posted on 02/27/2018 1:59:05 PM PST by Mariner
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To: Mariner

“We thought you were dead!”
“I was, but I got better.”


2 posted on 02/27/2018 2:05:12 PM PST by sparklite2 (See more at Sparklite Times)
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To: Mariner

Nate Silver was burned so badly in 2016 he is afraid of his own shadow.

He should stick to animal entrails to improve his track record.


3 posted on 02/27/2018 2:06:26 PM PST by cgbg (Hidden behind the social justice warrior mask is corruption and sexual deviance.)
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To: Mariner

[every day brought another FAKE LIBERAL LIE “scandal”]

There. Fixed it.


4 posted on 02/27/2018 2:07:46 PM PST by SaveFerris (Luke 17:28 ... as it was in the days of Lot; they did eat, they drank, they bought, they sold ......)
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To: Mariner

Trump has surpassed being simply a mere president.

Trump hss become the embodiment of America. He is the American revolution im human form, his very life is the most inspirational example of the American dream.

He has connected himself to the very psyche of the nation he leads in a way only a handful of Leaders in history have done. Think Napoleon Caesar after the defeat of Pompey, Alexander after the conquest of Persia.

Trump is all of us, and all of us are Trump.


5 posted on 02/27/2018 2:09:47 PM PST by WashingtonFire (President Trump - it's like having your dad as President)
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To: cgbg

No. Nate Silver was burned IN 2010 right after the midterms which he got wrong, and every midterm since. He was the darling of the left after he called it for obama. He’s not very good at midterm elections and congressional/senate ones either. He’s just throwing darts at a dartboard..


6 posted on 02/27/2018 2:13:05 PM PST by max americana (Fired libtard employees 9 consecutive times at every election since 08'. I hope all liberals die.)
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To: WashingtonFire

“He has connected himself to the very psyche of the nation he leads in a way only a handful of Leaders in history have done. “

Agree.


7 posted on 02/27/2018 2:13:05 PM PST by Mariner (War Criminal #18)
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To: Mariner

He was never in trouble. The Left has just listened to itself bloviate into its own echo chambers for too long.


8 posted on 02/27/2018 2:16:38 PM PST by Buckeye McFrog
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To: max americana
He was the darling of the left after he called it for obama.

And he didn't get that right either. Obama and the democrats stole FL and OH. But that's ok...obama got us TRUMP.

9 posted on 02/27/2018 2:17:45 PM PST by pgkdan (The Silent Majority STILL Stands With TRUMP!)
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To: Mariner

He should advocate for the immediate retroactive quadrupling of the standard deduction.


10 posted on 02/27/2018 2:18:31 PM PST by Architect of Avalon
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To: Mariner

The only person who can beat Trump, is and always was Trump.

He’ll win solid re-election.

Asking Nate Silver anything about Politics is silly, he’s a pundit playing a statistician. I believe he put Trumps odds of winning in the teens or lower last election.

When it comes to politics he’s a complete hack and shill for the left, a pundit pretending he’s got a science behind his left wing advocacy.


11 posted on 02/27/2018 2:19:16 PM PST by HamiltonJay
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To: Mariner

He will be reelected, especially if he’s able to keep muzzies from infiltrating into the country.


12 posted on 02/27/2018 2:23:52 PM PST by I want the USA back (Free Republic keeps me from going insane in a world that has chosen insanity over reason.)
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To: WashingtonFire
You BETCHA!

PDJT = MAGA

13 posted on 02/27/2018 2:31:43 PM PST by V K Lee (Anyone who thinks my story is anywhere near over is sadly mistaken. - Donald J. Trump)
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To: SaveFerris; Liz; GOPJ; NFHale; Impy; DoughtyOne
Even Politico says "Trump is winning," even though they clearly hate him.

link: Donald Trump is on track to win reelection to the presidency of the United States.

14 posted on 02/27/2018 2:35:13 PM PST by ding_dong_daddy_from_dumas (Mozart tells you what it's like to be human. Bach tells you what it's like to be the universe)
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To: Mariner

Trump will be re-elected in a landslide.


15 posted on 02/27/2018 2:35:27 PM PST by Oldeconomybuyer (The problem with socialism is that you eventually run out of other people's money.)
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To: Mariner

16 posted on 02/27/2018 2:43:14 PM PST by yoe
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To: Mariner

Bigly?


17 posted on 02/27/2018 3:12:38 PM PST by TigersEye (13 Russian Facebook trolls ... and a Siberian partridge in a Russian Olive tree.)
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To: Mariner
In 2017, it seemed, every day brought another Trump scandal, a bombshell in the Russia story, a brawl in the White House, or a diplomatic crisis, which explains why Trump’s approval rating last year was a historic low for a president’s first year in office.

That's the trope and they are sticking with it. All of that was ginned up or faked by the opposition, then abetted by the lying "press" which amplified it beyond all sensible limits. With a sane opposition party and a press serious about its responsibilities, it would have looked like any other first year of a new administration. They got seriously smeared by the losers and gullible people bought into it.

18 posted on 02/27/2018 3:27:48 PM PST by ProtectOurFreedom
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To: WashingtonFire

Think George Washington.


19 posted on 02/27/2018 3:28:25 PM PST by ProtectOurFreedom
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To: Mariner
Don't count on it !
Watch the LIVE VOTE RETURNS.
IF THE LIVE VOTE COUNT TOTALS START GOING DOWN, YOU KNOW "FRACTION MAGIC" IS BEING USED !

DemocRATS will NEVER leave elections in the hands of the voters again, after Trump won !

STEALING ELECTIONS WITH COMPUTERS and Technology Cybercrimes, watch Bloomberg's Digital Defense November 3, 2016 (19:40).

To better understand "THE MASTER KEY" to stealing elections with computers, watch:
I'LL NEVER TRUST ANOTHER COMPUTER COUNTED ELECTION AGAIN !

Things have changed!

Bennie Smith, a Memphis computer programmer, discovered HOW this is done through aDiebold Election Systems changed its name in 2006 to Premier Election Solutions.
Bloomberg's article titled How to Protect Against Election Day Hacking gives more proof of this by Memphis computer programmer Bennie Smith.
20 posted on 02/27/2018 3:29:40 PM PST by Yosemitest (It's SIMPLE ! ... Fight, ... or Die !)
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