Posted on 02/27/2018 1:59:05 PM PST by Mariner
To many political observers over the past year, the prospect of President Donald Trumps reelection looked doubtful at best. Former White House chief strategist Steve Bannon reportedly gave Trump a 30 percent chance of finishing his term.
These predictions were understandable. In 2017, it seemed, every day brought another Trump scandal, a bombshell in the Russia story, a brawl in the White House, or a diplomatic crisis, which explains why Trumps approval rating last year was a historic low for a presidents first year in office. By years end, Democrats were anticipating a sweeping victory in this years midterm elections, with the opportunity to take back the House and perhaps even the Senate, and an enormous field of candidates was unofficially lining up for the partys 2020 primary.
But recent data should trouble them. Internal polling by the Democratic group Priorities USA showed the presidents approval rating had climbed to 44 percent in early February, which mirrors Trumps improving position in public polls. Gallup finds a narrow majority of Americans support his handling of the economy, and the new Republican tax law is getting more popular.
I think people just kind of assume hes a goner, FiveThirtyEight statistician Nate Silver told me recently, but look, hes now more in a range where presidents have recovered to win reelection. His approval rating is up to 41 or 42 percent in our tracking. That verges on being a normal number that resembles what happened to Reagan or Clinton or Obama in their second years. (Silver noted over the weekend that Trump dipped to 39 percent in their tracking.) As Jim Messina, who managed President Barack Obamas reelection campaign in 2012, warned earlier this month, Donald Trump can absolutely be reelected.
(Excerpt) Read more at newrepublic.com ...
about 50% of the article is complete nonsense, e.g., Sabato saying trump supporters are a “cult” and that’s never happened before, completely ignoring the slobbering adulation of obama supporters and the leftist fake stream media.
and then there’s all the nonsense of a “STRONG” GOP challenge to Trump during the next primary, laughably citing Kasich of all people as being that “strong” man.
there’s much more similar stupidity and ignorance, but not worth the time to write about ...
The tough part will be maintaining a hold on the states he won that Hillary was supposed to win. The Demonrat will actually campaign in them this time.
He can recover? Shiyiiiiiiiit. It’s the Dimocrats who can recover, but probably won’t due to their own narcicism, bordering on autism. Trump will skate to reelection. The Dems will crash and burn this year and again in 2020. I only hope they nominate John Kerry and Joe Biden, not necessarily in that order. Crazy Bernie would be good, too. Give him a prominent role in the Biden/Kerry campaign. Have all the judges in the 9th Circus dressed as clowns, capering at the convention.
He just needs to stay the course. Just keep on the same trajectory.
And...do what he promised to do.
“Kerry and Joe Biden, not necessarily in that order”
Personally, I pine for Liz Warren and Kamala Harris. With Liz at the top.
But Kerry and Biden will do in a pinch:)
Or they just read the opinion polls.
Maybe Trump will coast to reelection victory.
But that could mean proving all the polls wrong again.
Well said!
What credible candidate could the Democrats put up against Trump tomorrow?
What credible candidate could the Democrats put up against Trump tomorrow?
The could run a dog- it is who counts the votes- they will cheat and manufacture, the walking dead will be at the polls. I would not be surprised if the total number of votes nation wide exceeds 150% of the voting age citizens
Liz and Pelosi! The dementia duo!
Just remember how accurate those polls were in 2016 and that nothing has happened since then that should instill any confidence that their polling science has improved any.
They are still more agenda-driven than science-driven.
Final electoral vote total = 328 to 210
BTTT
It certainly resonates with ALL working Americans when they see their new net paychecks.
Where I live, we are in the path of a building boom. Realtor told me last week that investors from as far away as NEW YORK are buying up properties in this rural valley in N Nevada.
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