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To: SMGFan
Frankly....I'm surprised a Dim...is a Senator from Montana.

I guess....I should pay more attention.

23 posted on 07/04/2018 1:33:41 PM PDT by Osage Orange (Whiskey Tango Foxtrot)
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To: Osage Orange
Frankly....I'm surprised a Dim...is a Senator from Montana.

10 SENATE DEMS up for re-election in NOV in states Trump won...

Needing help
OH (Trump won by 8): Sherrod Brown, seeking his 3rd term in Ohio (GOP candidate is Jim Renacci, current polling at 51-38 for Brown)
WI (Trump won by 0.8%): Tammy Baldwin (AUG 14 Primary, Vukmir likely GOP candidate but polls behind 49-40)
PA (Trump won by 0.7%): Bob Casey (Lou Barletta is considered a weak challenger, 47-32 is current poll)
MICH (Trump won by 0.2%): Debbie Stabenow, 40 yrs in MI politics (AUG 7 Primary, Stabenow polling 51-30 over both likely opponents)

Danger for DEMS
FL (Trump won by 1): Bill Nelson-D (AUG 24 Primary, current polling has Nelson behind Rick Scott 46-41)
IN (Trump by 19): Joe Donnelly-D already polling behind 48-47 to Mike Braun
MO (Trump by 18): Claire McCaskill-D up, but only 48-44 over Josh Hawley
MT (Trump by 21): Jon Tester-D up 52-44 over Matt Rosendale, but Trump visiting tomorrow
ND (Trump by 36): Heidi Heitkamp-D down 48-44 to Kevin Kramer
WV (Trump by 42): Joe Manchin-D was polling behind Patrick Morrissey (44-46 on MAY 10), but now up 50-43 (JUN 19)

That's a +3, with 3 more in the air, but...

The 4 current GOP seats in danger:
ARIZ (Trump won by 4): AUG 28 Primary to replace Jeff Flake (RINO)... Krysten Sinema-D polling ahead of Martha McSally-R early, 39-32, with 20+% undecided.
NEV (Trump lost by 2): Jacky Rosen-D up 45-41 early over incumbent Dean Heller-R
MISS (Trump won by 18): Special Election Jungle Primary to replace retired Thad Cochran... leader is current appointee Cindy Hyde-Smith-R over Mike Espy-D and Chris McDaniel-R, 30-22-17. There is a likely runoff if nobody gets 50%. She is polling ahead of Espy 46-34, head to head.
TENN (Trump won by 26): Corker (RINO) retiring, Primary AUG 2, but the most recent poll had Phil Bredesen-D over Marsha Blackburn-R, 46-43 on MAY 1.

So it's about a +2 in the Senate at the moment.

The other 20 races are pretty much already decided. 13 DEM (WA, CA MINNx2, VA, CT, RI, MASS, NJ, NY, MD, DEL, HI) and 5 GOP (MISS, TX, UT, NEB, WY) and 2 IND (Maine and VT)

33 posted on 07/04/2018 4:19:46 PM PDT by Teacher317 (We have now sunk to a depth at which restatement of the obvious is the first duty of intelligent men)
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