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The Numbers Are In, And It’s Looking Pretty Bad For Senate Dems In November
The Daily Caller ^ | 07/10/2018 | Vandana Rambaran

Posted on 07/10/2018 3:15:27 PM PDT by detective

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To: Luke21
We are tired of McCain and Flake and they want to give us a female version of those traitors in Martha McSally. Many of us will stay home and let Sinema win.

Sounds like the winning "strategy" proposed by George Will.

41 posted on 07/10/2018 4:54:53 PM PDT by Flick Lives (Suddenly someone'll say, like, plate, or shrimp, or plate o' shrimp out of the blue, no explanation.)
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To: donozark

What is alarming is the deluge of people from blue states moving here.I am afraid we are losing the state.


42 posted on 07/10/2018 5:30:25 PM PDT by libh8er
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To: detective
The GOP should make a real effort in New Jersey. There is nobody in the state defending the slimeball Menendez, who escaped his corruption prosecution with a mistrial. The evidence that he was bribed was really incontrovertible, except to a handful of idiotic (or bought) morons on his jury.

Menendez led Republican ex-Marine Hugin 28 percent to 24 percent, with 46 percent undecided, in a recent poll. Nobody on the left is eager to vote for Menendez, who also had to beat down underage hooker allegations. Hugin's a milquetoast middle-of-the-roader, but he'd be a great pick up over Menendez, and next to closeted presidential pretender Corey Booker.

43 posted on 07/10/2018 5:52:55 PM PDT by dead
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To: detective
North Dakota

If I were the dems I would go in with an anti-fracking anti-pipeline pro-environment pro- EPA regulatory bureaucracy stance. I would make it the cornerstone of my campaign. I know for a fact those folk detest economic growth and jobs in a productive industry and would not trade a pristine environment for a better economy. /s/

44 posted on 07/10/2018 6:03:49 PM PDT by AndyJackson
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To: Mrs. Don-o
"Let us pray at they GOP doesn’t sprint up and snatch defeat from the teeth of victory."

Yes. We must. However it's the Establishment Republicans who are experts at that. Trumpsters do the opposite. Let's pray for a Trumpster surge in the GOP. If Trumpsters take over the Republican Party, America will be saved from the Jaws of Destruction.

45 posted on 07/10/2018 6:20:31 PM PDT by Savage Beast (A pornography "star" and a foul-mouthed clown are appropriate spokesmen for the Democrat Party)
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To: relictele

“‘the media are the real leaders of the Democrat party’”

i’ve repeatedly said something similar, but i’ve gone Rush one step further: i’ve maintained that the leftist fake stream media IS the Dem party at this point, given that the Dem party is in total disarray, unable to raise money, and unable to establish or articulate a coherent platform ...

also i believe you are absolutely spot on regarding the rest of your post ... if you are correct, and i believe you are, then the midterms should be an absolute blowout in favor of the Pubs ...


46 posted on 07/10/2018 6:23:45 PM PDT by catnipman ((Cat Nipman: Vote Republican in 2012 and only be called racist one more time!))
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To: detective

Remember, they cheat.


47 posted on 07/10/2018 6:24:55 PM PDT by MayflowerMadam (Have an A-1 day.)
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To: detective

LOL!


48 posted on 07/10/2018 6:25:36 PM PDT by MayflowerMadam (Have an A-1 day.)
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To: detective

It’s the Blue Ripple.


49 posted on 07/10/2018 6:27:07 PM PDT by beethovenfan (I always try to maximize my carbon footprint.)
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To: Savage Beast

From your keyboard to God’s monitor screen...


50 posted on 07/10/2018 6:28:59 PM PDT by Mrs. Don-o (Deplorably Yours.)
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To: Luke21

“Many of us will stay home and let Sinema win. We are sick of voting for the lesser of two evils and then being called names for doing as the party says.”

that’s a really great idea ... that’ll show ‘em ... especially if you never want Trump to appoint another Federal judge during his next 6.5 year in office, including SCOTUS judges ...

RINO votes count just as much in Congress as non-RINO votes, no matter how reprehensible they may be ... so, either suck it up buttercup or help the Socialist Democrat Party obtain majorities in Congress so that they can impeach Trump, impeach SCOTUS judges, and pack SCOTUS with more than nine judges, all things that top Dem leadership have threatened during the last week ...


51 posted on 07/10/2018 6:32:12 PM PDT by catnipman ((Cat Nipman: Vote Republican in 2012 and only be called racist one more time!))
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To: detective

Let’s pick up a few surprising seats...Murphy seat and Warren’s Tipi, er sorry I meant seat...


52 posted on 07/10/2018 6:34:18 PM PDT by Deplorable American1776 (Proud to be a DeplorableAmerican with a Deplorable Family...even the dog is, too. :-))
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To: mywholebodyisaweapon

Replacing Flake with a Flake.


53 posted on 07/10/2018 6:34:55 PM PDT by klimeckg
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To: detective
Nice cheerleading, but the numbers are not good... yet. It's even or +1 at best as of today.
(Bold races = currently favoring the likely GOP candidate)

Danger for DEMS
FL (Trump won by 1): Bill Nelson-D (AUG 24 Primary, current polling has Nelson behind Rick Scott 46-41)
IN (Trump by 19): Joe Donnelly-D already polling behind 48-47 to Mike Braun
ND (Trump by 36): Heidi Heitkamp-D down 48-44 to Kevin Kramer-R

SHOULD be danger for Dems, but somehow, unconscionably, isn't a GOP lead yet.
WV (Trump won by 42): Joe Manchin-D was polling behind Patrick Morrissey (44-46 on MAY 10), but now up 50-43 (JUN 19)
MO (Trump by 18): Claire McCaskill-D up, but only 48-44 over Josh Hawley
MT (Trump by 21): Jon Tester-D up 52-44 over Matt Rosendale in May, but Trump visited recently

That's +3, but more could be in play, with a huge effort form the RNC (yeah, right)...

OH (Trump won by 8): Sherrod Brown, seeking his 3rd term in Ohio (GOP candidate is Jim Renacci, current polling at 51-38 for Brown)
WI (Trump won by 0.8%): Tammy Baldwin (AUG 14 Primary, Vukmir likely GOP candidate but polls behind 49-40)
PA (Trump won by 0.7%): Bob Casey (Lou Barletta is a weak challenger, 47-32 is the most recent poll)
MICH (Trump won by 0.2%): Debbie Stabenow, 40 yrs in MI politics (AUG 7 Primary, Stabenow polling 51-30 over both likely opponents)

Still, +3 would be nice... But... NEV, TENN, and ARIZ are currently potential DEM pickups:

There's 4 current GOP seats in danger:
NEV (Trump lost by 2): Jacky Rosen-D up 45-41 early over incumbent Dean Heller-R
ARIZ (Trump won by 4): AUG 28 Primary to replace Jeff Flake (RINO)... Krysten Sinema-D polling ahead of Martha McSally-RINO early, 39-32, with 20+% undecided.
TENN (Trump won by 26): Corker (RINO) retiring, Primary AUG 2, Phil Bredesen-D polled over Marsha Blackburn-R, 46-43 on MAY 1.

MISS (Trump won by 18): Special Election Jungle Primary to replace retired RINO Thad Cochran... leader is current appointee Cindy Hyde-Smith-R over Mike Espy-D and Chris McDaniel-R, 30-22-17. There is a likely runoff if nobody gets 50%. She is polling ahead of Espy 46-34, head to head.

The other 20 races are pretty much already decided (>10% spread in poling). 13 DEM (WA, CA MINNx2, VA, CT, RI, MASS, NJ, NY, MD, DEL, HI) and 5 GOP (MISS#2, TX, UT, NEB, WY) and 2 IND (Maine and VT)

Several August Primaries coming up.

54 posted on 07/10/2018 6:37:08 PM PDT by Teacher317 (We have now sunk to a depth at which restatement of the obvious is the first duty of intelligent men)
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To: Mrs. Don-o

LIKE


55 posted on 07/10/2018 6:43:49 PM PDT by Savage Beast (A pornography "star" and a foul-mouthed clown are appropriate spokesmen for the Democrat Party)
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To: Teacher317

We gain at least 5 senate seats this fall.
Bank on it.


56 posted on 07/10/2018 6:48:59 PM PDT by Repeal The 17th
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To: Repeal The 17th
We gain at least 5 senate seats this fall. Bank on it.

I hope so... and, as usual, the biggest push forward will likely have to come from Trump, not the RNC.

I still cannot believe that TENN and MT are both in play. 1/2 of those who voted for Trump will not go for the GOP Senator? HALF???

(It's almost like they've been paying attention to how ineffective the Congressional Republicans have been since 2016! Hmm.)

57 posted on 07/10/2018 6:55:11 PM PDT by Teacher317 (We have now sunk to a depth at which restatement of the obvious is the first duty of intelligent men)
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To: Teacher317

And WV??? Seriously? A 42-pt win can’t get a GOP Senator???


58 posted on 07/10/2018 6:57:30 PM PDT by Teacher317 (We have now sunk to a depth at which restatement of the obvious is the first duty of intelligent men)
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To: LongWayHome

“Looks like we get 4-6 seats.”

I see it that way, too. And we hold the House.

And there will be a new Speaker.

L


59 posted on 07/10/2018 7:00:10 PM PDT by Lurker (President Trump isn't our last chance. President Trump is THEIR last chance.)
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To: Lurker

Wish we had a new Speaker now:)


60 posted on 07/10/2018 7:11:37 PM PDT by LongWayHome
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