Posted on 08/06/2018 12:17:01 AM PDT by lowbuck
Everyone who’s looking for midterm clues is watching Tuesday’s special election for Congress in Ohio’s twelfth congressional district, which includes part of Columbus. . . snip
It’s appropriate that Columbus is holding such a bellwether race. The area has long been known as a favorite for companies testing products. Its demographics are almost identical to those of the rest of the country. “It was a microcosm of the U.S., in that what happens here will probably happen elsewhere,” Shashi Matta, at Ohio State’s Fisher College of Business, told Columbus Monthly in 2015.
(Excerpt) Read more at nationalreview.com ...
Keep us informed!
Its demographics are almost identical to those of the rest of the country.
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Hardly. Maybe similar to the upper Eastern 1/5 of the US.
If Columbus, OH is the model American city we are so screwed.
I have never seen such a total sewer as Columbus. I went to a business convention there about 20 years ago and was cautioned by the hotel to NOT walk anywhere beyond the hotel doorway, it was too dangerous and that was the best hotel in the city.
The downtown of Columbus was gangland and I doubt it has gotten any better in the past 20 years.
That must be standard hotel speak of hotels in major cities. I hear that same line everywhere I go. I've never had an issue in Columbus or other major city.
I have a feeling that hoteliers and staff are happy to give out such dire warnings merely to convince their guests to stay put and pay over the odds for drinks & food!
Columbus’ problem wasn’t always that it was dangerous...just boring. But now it’s dangerous too.
As for the ‘test market’ reputation, I think companies have always fooled themselves. Columbus is home to a) government and b) more government in the form of OSU. It would be like testing a product in Washington DC - extrapolating results to the rest of the nation would be erroneous because the sample is flawed.
And, as usual, the market is ruining itself thanks to an influx of people who shouldn’t be there.
I have only been to Columbus once so I can only judge on that, other than having breakfast at the convention center where some black lady spit in our food.
Columbus is a fairly quiet place you don’t hear from too often.
Columbus is a college town. How can it be considered a test market?
You got a problem with the usage of those two words??
Man, so do I. I big problem.
I big problem = A big problem.
Sheesh.
The Democrats are probably biting their nails that they’ve moved enough illegals into the area to make the difference.
The midterm results for the house will largely play out based on what happens in the rust belt/upper Midwest.
The Senate is not in play, so let’s just throw that lie out the door right now. republicans will gain seats in the senate this fall, period.
As to the house, how things play in the upper Midwest will be a very large indicator of what is going to happen... if Dems are going to see a large flip of seats in the house a good number will com from the purple and pink districts here.
If the Dems have a great night in the upper Midwest this November, they will take the house. If the have a bad night there they won’t.
I don’t ever believe in the garbage that one race or one district can dictate an entire national election, but it’s very clear to me, if the Dems are going to have any chance and launching some sort of comeback following 2016 it has to happen in the upper Midwest. If they can’t win and win convincingly there, there is no chance of a house flip.
With that said odds of the D winning this special election are low, as long as R turnout doesn’t evaporate.. if it is a typical or better than typical midterm turnout in that district, it’s not likely the D can win. If the D does win this one, it will likely be because Republicans are not even getting their typical level of midterm support and that is an omen for a disaster this fall if it happens.
Republicans really need to show they can outperform their typical midterm turn outs to counter the Dems enthusiasm advantage... if they don’t this fal, it will indeed be a loss of the house. And IMHO the place they will need those numbers the most will be in the upper Midwest. They will need those non traditional MAGA and crossover voters the MOST in this part of the country... and the real question in my mind is will they show up?
The Media has been having a great time trying to hype this race as being close. After the Republic an wins by 10+ points, you wont here a word from them.
The Media has been having a great time hyping this race as being close. After the Republican wins by 10+ points, you wont hear a word from them.
Twenty years ago, your time frame, Chicago was still a popular convention town with a city government and police force keeping it that way with a heavy hand on the downtown. The rise of the Halfrican Community Organizer coincided with it deteriorating and becoming Murder Town. One thing you could say about the old Cook County style Democrats (and the old style Mafia ... no coincidence there) was that they knew how to keep order and run a town so most people did OK. Not so anymore.
I was born in Columbus. It has grown exponentially since that time.
Sadly, for the most part, it has become Detroit on the Olentangy.
Remember, to NRO:
*D victory of 500 votes: “crushing, harbinger, mandate on Trump”
*R victory of 1-2 points: “close, Dem moral victory”
*R victory of 3-5 points: “doesn’t mean much, expected”
*R blowout: not reported. On to the next “bellwether”
Check my new, exclusive OH voter registration #s and analysis:
https://bigleaguepolitics.com/new-voter-numbers-very-good-news-for-republicans-in-ohio/
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