Free Republic
Browse · Search
News/Activism
Topics · Post Article

Skip to comments.

Rahm Emanuel's Problems Were His Own Creation
Townhall.com ^ | September 5, 2018 | John R. Lott Jr

Posted on 09/05/2018 1:27:57 PM PDT by Kaslin

Chicago’s rampant crime rate left Rahm Emanuel with little choice but to withdraw from the city’s mayoral race. One recent poll showed that only 31% would vote for his re-election, and 62% wanted to vote for someone else.

Last year, Chicago had 650 homicides. The number was down from 2016, but still almost 90 more than New York and Los Angeles combined. Unfortunately, the true number is even worse, because Chicago has been intentionally misclassifying murders as non-murders.  

It is easy for Chicago politicians to point fingers and deny responsibility. Insufficient gun control, even in Illinois where it costs $450 to get a concealed handgun permit, is always a popular bogeyman. But there is a very simple reason for Chicago’s crime problems. With only 17.5% of the city’s murders resulting in an arrest, criminals have become emboldened. Nationally, arrest rates for murders are over three times higher.

The quality of Chicago’s policing has been deteriorating for decades. Back in 1991, shortly after Richard M. Daley became mayor, 67% of murderers were being arrested.  By the time Daley left office twenty years later in 2011, the arrest rate had fallen to 30%.  This troubling drop only continued after Rahm Emanuel became mayor.

Unlike Chicago’s arrest rate, the national rate has been fairly constant in recent years.  

Chicago’s low arrest rate is the result of poor political decisions by both the city and state. After becoming mayor, Emanuel took three measures that undermined the effectiveness of the Chicago Police Department:

1) Closed detective bureaus in Chicago's highest-crime districts and relocated many to distant locations.

2) Disbanded many gang task forces.

3) In cooperation with the ACLU, instituted new, voluminous forms that have to be filled out each time police question someone in a criminal investigation.  This mountain of paperwork gives police less time to patrol neighborhoods. 

The state of Illinois is adding its own paperwork. Illinois Attorney General Lisa Madigan is now trying to require consent decrees after the Trump administration abandoned the Obama administration’s proposed. A draft decree leaked in July contained a long form that Chicago police officers would have to complete anytime that they point a weapon at someone or even draw it. In some parts of the city late at night, it has been standard practice for police to draw their guns when they are investigating disturbances.

But the bottom line is simple: when you don’t catch criminals, the result is more crime.

The detective bureau relocations have been disastrous. Detectives who had worked for years in high-crime neighborhoods suddenly found themselves working in other areas of the city. Their hard-earned, neighborhood-specific knowledge of likely culprits and informants was rendered irrelevant. As one detective told Chicago Magazine: “All the expertise you once had is useless when you’re working on the other side of town. You might as well put me in a new city.

Moving detective bureaus to safer neighborhoods meant longer travel times to crime hotspots. These delays made detectives less effective. The result was more unsolved crimes.

If budget cuts necessitated closures, then detective bureaus in low-crime areas ought to have been considered first. But that would have been met with tough political resistance from the affluent and influential people who live there. So much for the Democrats' promises to look out for poor minorities.

Chicago Police Superintendent Eddie Johnson blames gangs for the violence. But it takes a lot of hard work for police to infiltrate gangs, and Emanuel’s decision early in his administration to gut gang task forces is not something that can easily be undone.  

National arrest rates for gang murders are already low because witnesses are loath to get on a gang’s bad side.  But in Chicago, the situation has gotten especially bad because witnesses don’t believe that gang members will ever be imprisoned.

The agreement with the ACLU was a politically motivated result of the videotaped shooting of Laquan McDonald by police. Emanuel caused a stronger backlash by delaying the release of the video until after his re-election.

As arrest rates have fallen and murder rates have risen, Daley and Emanuel have kept pushing responsibility on others.  After all, they claim, it isn’t their fault that state legislatures and the U.S. Congress haven’t passed sufficiently strict gun control laws.  Back in 2010, Daley claimed that the increased crime rate was “all about guns, and that’s why the crusade is on.”  Emanuel has made similar claims.  The problem of unsolved crimes seems to have gone unnoticed.

Democrats have learned nothing from Chicago’s failed experiment in banning guns, which began in late 1982. After the ban, the city’s murder rates stopped falling and started soaring — not only in absolute terms, but also relative to adjacent counties and other large cities. The lesson for Democrats should have been that gun control primarily disarms law-abiding citizens.

Will Chicago’s politicians finally get out of the way of police? Will they let Chicago citizens protect themselves? Chicago’s politicians need to stop blaming things beyond their control for the failure of their policies. 

* Lott is the president of the Crime Prevention Research Center and the author of “The War on Guns.”


TOPICS: Culture/Society; Editorial
KEYWORDS: chicago; rahmemanuel
Navigation: use the links below to view more comments.
first 1-2021 next last

1 posted on 09/05/2018 1:27:57 PM PDT by Kaslin
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | View Replies]

To: Kaslin

POLITIANS BARGAIN WITH GANGS FOR POWER


2 posted on 09/05/2018 1:31:47 PM PDT by TexasGator (Z1)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Kaslin

Rahm Emanuel couldn’t manage a Taco Bell let alone a major city. His results are clear.


3 posted on 09/05/2018 1:31:48 PM PDT by Bullish (My tagline is here. you just can't see it.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Kaslin

Emanuel can’t manage himself. He couldn’t manage Green Acres much less Chicago.


4 posted on 09/05/2018 1:35:19 PM PDT by rockinqsranch (Dems, Libs, Socialists call 'em what you will they all have fairies livin' in their trees.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Kaslin

Thanks for posting this. Dr. Lott is a fav. Rahm Emanuel is not :)


5 posted on 09/05/2018 1:37:35 PM PDT by upchuck (... I have gnawing doubts about the power of the feds to always do the right thing ~ CongressmanX)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Kaslin

Since most of the murders appear to be black on black gangbangers, the possibility is that nobody cares except undertakers


6 posted on 09/05/2018 1:39:58 PM PDT by Jimmy Valentine (DemocRATS - when they speak, they lie; when they are silent, they are stealing the American Dream)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Kaslin

Tip Toed through the violins on the south and west side.


7 posted on 09/05/2018 1:42:05 PM PDT by Paladin2
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: rockinqsranch

Please do not insult Green Acres.
The values and compassionate concern by people there are an inspiration compared with the total devolution to subhuman status of the murderous thug tsunami since Rahm took over.

I know you didn’t mean it so I forgive you in advance.
I own the complete DVD Green Acres.


8 posted on 09/05/2018 1:42:51 PM PDT by frank ballenger (.End noncitizen & illegals voting & leftist media news censorship or we're finished.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 4 | View Replies]

To: Paladin2

Rahm did end the old Chicago block parties which had string quartets as well as polkas ,and country music playing.

He wanted to end violins in the streets.


9 posted on 09/05/2018 1:44:35 PM PDT by frank ballenger (.End noncitizen & illegals voting & leftist media news censorship or we're finished.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 7 | View Replies]

To: frank ballenger

I couldn’t remember the name of the town Opy grew up in with Andy Griffith, so settled for Green Acres.


10 posted on 09/05/2018 1:44:57 PM PDT by rockinqsranch (Dems, Libs, Socialists call 'em what you will they all have fairies livin' in their trees.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 8 | View Replies]

To: frank ballenger
"Rahm did end the old Chicago block parties..."

That doesn't sound very civil nor neighborhood friendly.

11 posted on 09/05/2018 1:47:21 PM PDT by Paladin2
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 9 | View Replies]

To: rockinqsranch

OH, no, now it’s Mayberry, too??
Have you no shame, sir? (said infamously to the great man Joe McCarthy. McCarthy was right, of course.)

Only joshing with you.

Books have been written about the American values shown on The Andy Griffith Show’s Mayberry. People from out of own are the shady criminals (like today’s illegal aliens).

Mayberry My Home Town (1990) is one. book.


12 posted on 09/05/2018 1:51:17 PM PDT by frank ballenger (.End noncitizen & illegals voting & leftist media news censorship or we're finished.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 10 | View Replies]

To: Paladin2

When did Rahm start caring about anyone past the end of his own nose?


13 posted on 09/05/2018 1:53:59 PM PDT by frank ballenger (.End noncitizen & illegals voting & leftist media news censorship or we're finished.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 11 | View Replies]

To: Kaslin

Rham had no problems.

His reason for being Mayor was to steal money from the US Treasury.


14 posted on 09/05/2018 1:58:08 PM PDT by bert ((KE. N.P. Neverthe less, they are co N.C. +12) Muller..... conspiracy to over throw the government)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Jimmy Valentine

That’s a popular misconception that the majority of crime is black on black.

Chicago is a major Mexican cartel hub for narcotics distribution and if you want to break it down on a racial basis (Of course black on black crime exists.) it is a much a battle between black and Mexicans/Latinos for the right to distribute to much of the mid-west as it is anything else.

I don’t think the majority of the nation just knows that Chicago’s street crime is international in nature and it’s moved from rival gangs selling crack on this corner to another to who is going to control the ebb and flow of billions of dollars in opioids to a third of the country.

You don’t end up with 600+ murders a year over $20 crack. At that point even the most hardened street thug calls it a days and goes to work flipping burgers.

The problem is political will and media consequences. There is no political will to engage in the media consequences of hauling off 6,000 blacks and 6,000 Latinos in the face of the faux outrage from the media and ACLU to solve the issues at hand.


15 posted on 09/05/2018 2:01:07 PM PDT by PittsburghAfterDark (The American media: We do what the Soviet media did without the guns to our head.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 6 | View Replies]

To: Kaslin; All

WOW! 0bama’s Golden Boy is on his way out?

MAGA! :)

P.S. I’m not holding out for some sort of turn-around for Chicago, though. Too bad. It used to be such a Toddlin’ Town! ;)


16 posted on 09/05/2018 2:23:09 PM PDT by Diana in Wisconsin (I don't have 'Hobbies.' I'm developing a robust Post-Apocalyptic skill set.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Kaslin

A lot of big cities have been voting in Democratic rulers for years on vague promises they will be provide for and haven’t been. They are now degenerating into turf battle grounds and the Democrats have no ideas on how to reverse that except by making more promises they have no idea on how to fulfill..


17 posted on 09/05/2018 4:33:26 PM PDT by antidemoncrat
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Kaslin

Now will Rahm move on out to some other town for a high-paying job? It will have to be some place that is either all Democrats or nobody knows who he is.


18 posted on 09/05/2018 5:22:10 PM PDT by oldtech
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Kaslin
intentionally misclassifying murders as non-murders.

SOP in Chicago forever. I could name half a dozen murders each year just in my neighborhood alone back in the 60s and 70s. And none of them made the murder statistic. This includes murders by police; murders by street gangs; murders by adult gangs; and murders by loners.

19 posted on 09/05/2018 5:33:47 PM PDT by spintreebob
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Bullish
Rahm Emanuel couldn’t manage a Taco Bell let alone a major city.

Your statement is literally true. I'm sure he could NOT manage a fast food restaurant of any sort.

20 posted on 09/05/2018 5:48:50 PM PDT by Hardastarboard (Three most annoying words on the internet - "Watch the Video")
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 3 | View Replies]


Navigation: use the links below to view more comments.
first 1-2021 next last

Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.

Free Republic
Browse · Search
News/Activism
Topics · Post Article

FreeRepublic, LLC, PO BOX 9771, FRESNO, CA 93794
FreeRepublic.com is powered by software copyright 2000-2008 John Robinson