For the record, Garcia’s entire life has been academia...a professor. Beyond that, nothing.
The Trump win in 2016 in AZ? Just a 3.5-point edge over Clinton. I should add that Bernie supporters did well in the primary (41-percent of the primary vote).
This is mostly a governor’s election dependent on a large turnout in Flagstaff and Tucson for Garcia. If they turn out as people suspect, then Garcia has a chance of winning.
I agree.
If people in the Phoenix metro area don’t get out and vote, it will be Garcia.
Teachers are out protesting once again for more pay. It’s nasty out there. Whatever they get is never good enough.
And it’s these people who want him so badly:
The rat vote share for President in AZ has been remarkably stable. It was close cause of Gary Johnson but Hillary didn’t really do that well.
She got 44.58%, which is only slightly better than the 44.45% Obama got in 2012 and less than the 44.91% he got in 2008. Kerry got 44.32%, Gore got 44.67%. Bubba won in 1996 with 46.52%.
GOP outpolled the rats in the primary by 100K plus.
I believe the Senate race is close but I’m skeptical of this weak gubernatorial rat having a real chance.
Guess that’s why he came in 150,000 votes below Ducey in the primary turnout.
I keep saying this: AZ has 150,000 more Rs than Ds, and with 1.2m indies who vote on average at a rate of only 30%, you’re looking at ANY statewide D candidate having to get 2:1 indies to break even.
Please: Show me any poll where the D gets 2:1 among the indies.
PPP is not that reliable.