By the time the midterms get here the Demoncrat party as we knew it will not exist!
Huge red wave coming!
"The Trump coalition faces a crisis because it is losing educated suburban women," former Speaker Newt Gingrich wrote recently. "This group is the difference between a majority and minority for Republicans. This is an especially difficult challenge because much of their unhappiness is based on a repudiation of the president's style -- not his policies. Policy and issue-oriented appeals may be inadequate because they currently stipulate they are so uncomfortable with the style that they can't even think about the issues."
This problem points directly to the most threatened districts, the affluent suburban districts. Women in these districts are preparing to abandon the Republican Party and vote for Democrats, mostly because they don't like Trump's style and they can't be dissuaded by his policies, his achievements, and his advancement of a conservative agenda. They will vote their emotions and not the rational interests of themselves, their families and the neighborhoods.
Small problem.
I daily track the House races. I cannot find 10, let alone 30, seats the Ds can/will flip.
Every one of the races, save Mike Coffman in CO, has moved in the direction of the Rs.
In the last two weeks, Andy Barr, John Culberson, Curbelo, Jason Lewis, John Fase, Andy Kim, and at least a dozen more have come off the list. Either polling, or insiders, tell me these people are no longer vulnerable.
AZ GOP tells me McSally’s seat is a “tossup,” . . . but they view Enema’s seat the same way. Most of the CA seats in recent Siena polling have GOP leads. Handel, Lesko, and Balderson all look solid-—indeed, anyone who won a special election last year is considered now safe.
ALL of these are heavy R districts.
In the senate, I still have us at net 4-6 gains, but POSSIBLY as many as 8.
“The Trump coalition faces a crisis because it is losing educated suburban women,” former Speaker Newt Gingrich wrote recently. “This group is the difference between a majority and minority for Republicans
~~~
Losing?
Did he ever have ‘educated’ suburban women, as a block?
I seem to recall hearing quite the opposite after the election. Trump did less well with women in general, less well with suburbanites than with rural voters, and less well with those who have higher education. That seems like a full nexus against this having been a block in his camp
Did he win them in 2016?
Their education was wasted. Emotional voting. Proving yet again that the 19th amendment was the catalyst for the downfall of this country.
I’m confused, because aren’t these some of the women who helped elect Trump,even after the “pussy” tape and all that?
Surveys show that Trump got a majority of the vote, of white women, and married women.
I don’t recall his vote among suburban women in these swing districts, but there’s got to be an overlap among white women, married women, and suburban women.
Are we saying that the same women who voted for him in spite of his behavior and demeanor and the “pussy” tape, are no longer supporting him, and will vote Democrat as a result?
But then again, polling shows Trump’s popularity has increased, though still under 50%.
We may get a better idea after Hurricane Christine hits town, because that circus could have an impact on all this.
Trump’s secret weapon is the undercounted “Risk Takers.” Risk Takers are more likely to not have landlines—just cell phones. Most polls are conducted via landlines.
Die Hard Trump Supporters: do you have a landline? Only cellphone? BOth?
Me: Broken Glass straight R Florida voter. No landline. No chance of being polled.
[They (women) will vote their emotions and not the rational interests of themselves, their families and the neighborhoods. ]
I know a few like this. Sheer emotionalism. This is exactly why the media is playing it like shrill screaming 24/7. Keep up the hysteria.
they are so uncomfortable with the style that they can’t even think about the issues
~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
Too emotional to be trusted with the vote.
By the time the midterms get here the Demoncrat party as we knew it will not exist!
Huge red wave coming!
We’ve got to do more than “hope.”
We need to walk the streets and get out the vote.
Bottom line is how many Trump voters are satisfied with their choice two years ago? And, how do people generally feel about the direction of the economy? And..how motivated are people to vote.
In all three cases, the GOP base is ++
Nah! Mr. York, we want the storm. Bring it. We do exceedingly well in storms.
Newt is on;ly partially correct. For all the women who have swallowed their pu$$y whipping pills , there are millions of minority voters who will now vote for the GOP because they want to continue the economic boom.
Big wheels are turning and the pu$$y whippers are about to be ground up in the cogs. Let their hamburg fly!
Our Last Chance? [Can Donald Trump Revive The "Spirit of '76?]
I didn’t get a chance to read everything. Was it mentioned about POTUS’ 36% +/- support from the black community?
If they turn out bigly, that is a game changer.