Posted on 09/21/2018 2:08:38 PM PDT by yesthatjallen
The undocumented population in the United States could be twice as large as the most commonly-used estimate, according to a research study published Friday in the scientific journal Plos One.
The paper, led by Mohammad M. Fazel-Zarandi, a researcher at Yale and Massachusetts Institute of Technology, estimates there are 22.1 million undocumented immigrants in the United States.
Fazel-Zarandi's study compared inflows and outflows of immigrants as well as demographic data. According to the report, the number of undocumented immigrants could be as low as 16.5 million, or as high as 29.1 million.
“We combined these data using a demographic model that follows a very simple logic,” Edward Kaplan, a co-author of the report, told Yale Insights. “The population today is equal to the initial population plus everyone who came in minus everyone who went out. It’s that simple.”
Most previous estimates, based on the U.S. Census Bureau's annual American Community Survey (ACS), place the undocumented population at around 11 million people.
The ACS is generated annually through interviews with about 3.5 million people.
"You find it’s based on one very specific survey and possibly an approach that has some difficulties. So we went in and just took a very different approach," Jonathan Feinstein, another co-author, told Yale Insights.
Still, the new study found similarities in growth patterns of the undocumented population to the ACS reports of the past two decades.
Most immigration researchers have reported a plateau in growth of that population since 2007, spurred mainly by the decrease in Mexican illegal immigration to the United States.
The reduction in illegal crossings by Mexican citizens coincided with an increase in illegal immigration from Central America and Asia. But the overall undocumented population has leveled off, and possibly slightly decreased.
The Pew Research Center, which provides regular updates on immigration statistics -- based in part on ACS numbers -- estimated last year that the undocumented population dropped to 11.3 million from a high of 12.2 million.
The Yale study, which goes as far back as 1990, found the same upward and downward trajectory as the ACS studies, with the undocumented population ballooning through the 1990s and plateauing after 2007.
"“The trajectory is the same. We see the same patterns happening, but they’re just understating the actual number of people who have made it here,” said Fazel‐Zarandi.
The researchers emphasized the new number does not imply a growth in illegal immigration but a longstanding miscount of existing undocumented immigrants.
"We wouldn’t want people to walk away from this research thinking that suddenly there’s a large influx happening now,” said Feinstein. “It’s really something that happened in the past and maybe was not properly counted or documented.”
The researchers also noted if the undocumented population is twice as high as previous estimates, that means the incidence of criminality among undocumented immigrants is half as high as previously reported.
"You have the same number of crimes but now spread over twice as many people as was believed before, which right away means that the crime rate among undocumented immigrants is essentially half whatever was previously believed," said Kaplan.
:-| <- This is my shocked face.
I think we passed 30 million sometime during the Kenyanesian Usurpation.
I think ALL 30 million are right here in CA.
I estimate 40 million.
Prove me wrong...
22 million? Gimme a break. Try 45-65 million.
22 million ? Probably in 1985. 75-100 million seems more likely.
They each brought a friend?
That common-used estimate was first given not long after 9/11. And the Deep State expects us to believe that 18 years and countless border-crossings later, the number of illegals still stands at 11 mil.
22 mil is still too low, imo. More like 30 to 40 mil.
BS. The number is >35 million
Stop giving them welfare and stop allowing their children born here from being citizens and they will self-deport.
Incidentally, I had a guy with a green card working for me. He hates illegals. They make him spitting mad. They work for cash which makes it hard for legitimate green card holders to get legitimate jobs. Finally, he took a job by telling the employer he was illegal. After doing odd jobs for me, I convinced him to open his own business so he quit his cash job.
22 million welfare recipients. 22 million driving wages down for Americas. 22 million criminals, some who commit further horrible crimes against the American people. Oh and 22 million future voters for the socialist dems.
50 million plus illegals and their anchor baby demon spawn. We’re approaching 75 million illegal and legal un-assimilated foreign nationals.
Someone needs to hang from a lamppost.
Sticking with a 30-40 million figure these days.
They’re finally up to the circa 2008 figures now.
Of course there is an outside chance they’ve been furiously turning illegals into registered citizens for the last decade, to hide the true numbers and prevent them from being deported.
Recently it was revealed that there are 39 million stolen SS numbers that are known to be in use.
That would be a reasonable proxy for actual number of illegals in the country. If anything, it would be conservative.
But 11 million was the number in maybe 1992.
Pew Research is just an arm of La Raza/LULAC.
So, 16.5 million, or as high as 29.1 million. How do we rid ourselves of these illegal aliens? I say start with eVerify to deny them jobs. Then, deny them services, deport them when they ask for them. Third, make immediate and permanent, deportation orders for anyone that ignored or returned after deportation.
And, 16.5 million, or as high as 29.1 million, is too low. Bet more like 60 million. This is major infestation.
“50 million plus illegals and their anchor baby demon spawn”
1/4 of all children in the US now are “hispanic”
In 1950 that number would have been ~ 1.5%. And less after 1954 and Operation Wetback.
In the Southwest at that time, Spanish was unheard, and the Mexican population was < 15% even in the border towns and counties.
When did we vote to be Mexico?
Let that sink in. 22 million people and we don’t have any records of them.
They all have said 11 million for 20 years. There are 100 million here. They are almost all here. There are 11 million of them here in the Bay Area alone.
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