Posted on 09/25/2018 9:48:36 AM PDT by lasereye
Not this far out, it is meaningless.
This far out? Absentee voting has already started in some places. Election day is just a little more than a month away.
I just sent him a campaign contribution. I’ll probably send some more in the next couple weeks.
‘Given their accuracy in 2016 I was thinking that could be bad news.’
538 wasn’t that off as all of you seem to think; in the final three weeks Silver picked up the Trump surge to the extent he gave him a 40 percent chance of winning, compared to single digits in August; his followers were grilling his ass about it in the comments...though nothing like the raking they gave him after the election...
Brat signs have just started showing up in the last two weeks, I would say - lots of large signs (street corners, etc.). Spanberger signs have been up on people’s lawns for the last two months, at least. Brat is VERY active in the community - attends several events a weekend, so he is out shaking hands & rubbing elbows with his constituents. He also visits a lot of businesses (owners & employees), most of whom if not all are doing much better in the Trump economy. TV Ads are also starting to run for Brat and he’s got ‘walkers’ out in neighborhoods going door to door. I think he’s getting his campaign kicked into gear now & that would be just as this poll was taken so he could be somewhat stronger than what the poll is showing. Lots of libs in his district (which I believe has changed some since the last election) and the comments on his facebook page from the Left are just the absolute vilest, nasty stuff. Brat has been fabulous in representing his constituents so far and I hope most decent folks will recognize that and re-elect him. I’m sure his seat has been targeted by the Dems.
Don’t forget: Monmouth was one of the pollsters, as I recall, who asked for the “youngest voter in the home.” (!!)
Utter BS poll. GOP thinks Brat pretty safe. Comstock, perhaps not.
Bull shit try again.
Also for historical reference, Clinton won the popular vote by 4%, so that Monmouth poll was within their margin of error, though it was also one of the worst polls (leaning more towards Clinton than others).
Sure hate to see Brat defeated. But it is VA, where liberalism is on the march.
Well done, lasereye!
NYT polling has Brat hanging in there.
https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2018/upshot/elections-polls.html
in fact, all the Repubs in true tossup districts are hanging in there. In fact most are leading narrowly.
I like the way the NYT Sienna polling is done. They are disclosing a lot about the impact of various turnout scenarios on their estimates.
Among likely voters, it is a tie...
47 to 47.
Lots of northeastern liberals moved here from NJ, NY, CT, MA voting to turn VA into the mess they left behind.
Brat is one of the best .
Period.
Oh look, Spanberger is CIA. And a Democrat... another Valerie Plame type, no doubt.
Does anyone think it odd that there are so many political CIA types?
And she’s a gungrabber type... of course.
ping
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