Posted on 10/07/2018 5:28:25 AM PDT by Alas Babylon!
The nomination fight over Judge Brett Kavanaugh has injected new volatility into the midterm elections, reshaping races across the country and sharpening the already bitterly partisan tone for the final four-week stretch before Nov. 6. But in the House, the Cook Political Report and other predictors have moved more than half a dozen seats in the Democratic direction in recent days, and Republican operatives are bracing themselves for an onslaught of Democratic money that they are calling "a green wave." Gubernatorial races - in which Democrats are trying to regain territory that they've lost in recent years, particularly in the Midwest - are also trending left. "There's nothing quite like a good old-fashioned Supreme Court fight to polarize the electorate - and that's what we've observed in the past few weeks," said David Wasserman, House editor of the nonpartisan Cook Political Report. "The Kavanaugh issue has almost acted as a centrifuge to separate red and blue elements of the electorate even more."
(Excerpt) Read more at sfgate.com ...
Yoder is a whore, and if we are gonna lose a couple of seats, let this backstabber be one of them.
If your friends can't come, vote for them, just like the demonRATS.
Geez
IN YOUR DREAMS, pal. (urinalists think they are so smart/important)
*House races moving left” is their fallback lie. Az 1 Fl 27 and now NC 9 were All sure Dem pickups that ain’t happening. Cook is Wrong Way Larry Sabato’s Mini Me. Don’t listen to his lies.
I have only a few words on the Democrat House
Adam Schieff Chairman of House Intel Committee
Maxine Waters Chairman Financial Services
Jerry Nadler Chairman House Judiciary
Charlie Cook is a full of crap dem propagandist.
Typical ridiculous wishful thinking.
Not seeing it. I see Ds getting 8-15 pickups, but many, many of those are fluid and in fact most are moving toward Rs.
It would take some stunning surprises for the Ds to take the House.
I don’t like that we are losing any House seats.
We need to believe that we can lose it all and turn out in the greatest numbers ever!
A total defeat at the ballot box may avert a civil war.
Giving the Democrats a victory will reinforce their violent, hate-filled tactics.
RCP’s Battle for the House has started moving in the Republican’s direction.
It is now 205D/196R/34 tossups.
https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2018/house/2018_elections_house_map.html
For the longest time, it was 206D/189R/40 tossups
I’m thinking the antics of the Dems are going to create a lot of straight ticket voters. I know it’s going to take me about 30 seconds to vote.
In my opinion, the Kavanaugh hearings reset a lot of the House and Senate races. Ignore polls that occurred prior to the hearing. The enthusiasm gap is basically gone.
Trump is going to campaign like he did in 2016.
I stand by my prediction that Republicans gain 4-5 Senate seats and will lose on net 5-8 seats in the House.
Because states with large populations....NY, CA, get two Senators, but House members are by population. The smaller population, states have a lot of Republican Senators, but send less Reps to DC.
Good point. Hillary Clinton’s win of the popular vote came in NYC and California. IIRC, that created a 6 million vote surplus on her side. But because the House seats are determined by numbers of voters, there are a lot of House seats in places Hillary won the vote.
That said, I haven’t even heard the name of the person running for the House seat Martha McSally is vacating. I think the GOP is doing a horrible job. I guess I’ll find out who I am going to vote for in the House race when I open my ballot and find the “(R)”! I’m guessing this district, which is often a race won by either side by 1-2 points, has been written off from the beginning by GOP strategists. The GOP bought in to the idea of a “blue Wave” and their inaction is going to help it become at least a partial reality.
Wasserman is a pathetic Democrat hack and always has been.
translation : Highly educated suburban voters love abortion.
I just did the math, based on 2017 population estimates and splitting states with 1R and 1 D in half.
The 48 “no” votes came from states with 182 million people. The 50 “yes” votes came from states with 142 million people.
Assuming this is true, and I don't, you could explain it by noting that House seats are usually gerrymandered to concentrate a party's strength in one district. If the Democrats are more motivated, or independent votes in those districts now lean more toward voting Democratic, those districts will be won by Democrats. Senate races are determined by statewide results, and as chance would have it, more Democratic senators are defending their seats in states with Republican majorities.
“I don’t want Pelosi as Speaker, Maxine Waters as Budget Chairman, Gerry Nadler as Judiciary Chair or Adam Schiff as Intelligence chair...Can you image the DAMAGE they could do?”
Not if they want to maintain control of the House and prevent Trump from being re-elected. Anyway, I still want to win both, but the Senate is MUCH MORE IMPORTANT, at this time, because of the courts.
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