Posted on 10/07/2018 5:28:25 AM PDT by Alas Babylon!
I don’t buy into the fraud argument, it will happen like it always does, but I don’t see 20 or 30 house seats swinging on fraud.... The places D fraud is the most pronounced are in places where the district is highly D to begin with...
I am part of my local election board for my district, for organized fraud to occur, basically all 4 or 5 of us working election day would have be in on it. For a stray voter to show up, and claim to be someone they aren’t while possible, our district is pretty well known, someone in it not known by someone working there is low... then they have to work every part of the system with 3 different checks.... Can it happen? Sure, a stray person might get a machine that shouldn’t.... but it would be rare, and for enough of them to reach the machine to throw an election? Almost impossible...
So, to pull it off en masse, you have to have districts where the poll workers are in on it, which leaves you the highly partsan polling places, where 90 or more of the district is D, and no R’s are on the board at all... or vice versa. Which is why fraud is fabled in Philly.. and I am sure some of the urban Pitt districts probably get away with some... but en masse fraud? Tough, to pull off outside those type of districts, not impossible, but not easy. If some bus pulled up to my polling place and started unloading folks everyone of us working the polls would be calling the Constables office before they were even in the door.
Don't think the GOP gained seats, they just didn't lose the majority even though they lost seats.
I just don’t see there being a large move towards Republicans in the Senate races nationally that will not trickle down to the Congressional district level.
My prediction is the Dems will win 8-10 seats in the House, and Republicans will pick up between 3 and 5 seats in the Senate.
The Dems wins at the congressional level was predicated on apathetic GOP/Moderate turnout...
IE Turn out near presidential year numbers, while the GOP only does midterm level... This will cause more than enough purple and maybe even some pink districts to swing.
After Kavanaugh, that’s not likely to happen. The GOP base is engaged, but more importantly the non traditioinal and cross over voters are engaged and angry. Just don’t see the Dem’s taking the house.
Prior to Kavanaugh, Dems taking the house was almost a certainty. Now, I just don’t see a chance in hell of the Dems taking the house.
Republicans WON 8 seats in the 2002 midterms
Don’t worry about the polls, just get out and vote!
I already kissed that goodbye. I’m not even sure Trump cares about the wall. It certainly hasn’t been an actual priority the past two years.
538 today backtracking on chances of Ds taking the House.
“slowly I turned, step by step . . . .”
I just re-read an October 2016 article regarding Kankles’ imminent massive landslide all the fake news polls predicted. It was supposed to be a historic massacre of the vulgarian Donald Trump.
The article said she was so far ahead in the polls she “wasn’t even thinking about Donald Trump anymore.” “I’m not going to waste my time responding to anything Donald has to say anymore,” blah blah blah. She was busy picking out her cabinet, lackeys and other Kankle -lickers.
We shall see what we shall see!!! I believe momentum is in favor of the GOP. I believe we are going to increase our majority in the Senate and keep the House.
BUT WE ALL HAVE TO DO OUR PART!! Donate to your local GOP House rep’s campaign, sign up to volunteer to get out the vote. Get off the couch, turn off the TV, get out and get involved!
They are backtracking because it is only now that some of the post Kavanaugh polling is coming in... particularly in the house races... there is zero chance post Kavanaugh of the Dems taking the house... and I would not be surprised if R’s actually gained seats when it’s all done
You're right. After 9/11. Maybe I'm thinking of 2006?
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