Posted on 10/08/2018 9:33:34 AM PDT by 11th_VA
Texas is always the big fish that got away when it comes to the Democratic hopes for winning a big prize there.
This is how I see the contested Senate races going next month. Any thoughts?
Heitkamp loses her seat.
Braun narrow victory over Donnelly
Blackburn wins TN
Hawley narrow victory over McCaskill
McSally narrow win in AZ
Scott narrow win in Fla
As much as it pains me, i think Menendez holds in NJ, Brown keeps his Ohio senate seat, Stabenow wins in MI and Casey wins in PA (did Lou Barletta’s campaign fall apart, or what?)
Anything on Desantis?
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Real Clear Politics has Gillum the Socialist UP by 3.7
Unfreakingbelievable.
Not that I go by what RCP says...but....this race should NOT even be close. DeSantis should’ve ran away with it.
Same here, but it’s going to very close on keeping control of the House.
Worse case, we lose the House, but pick up some big seats in the Senate. Democrats can impeach all they want, but will never come close to a 2/3 super majority in the Senate for a conviction and removal.
Bloomberg etal. endorsed Gillum. How the hell can a capitalist endorse a communist?
Folks, we gotta get Cruz over the finish line. An extra $50. or more to his campaign could do it. In terms of the Second Amendment? Cruz is the best we got!!!
Cruz wins by more than 10
2014 Governor Election by county and the dems won only 19
But neither have any possibility of any sort to produce accurate results because the Obama administration sabataged the program which formerly restricted cold calls from sales people.
Consequently (by the time of the 2016 primaries) a sizable (and growing) segment of the populace had adopted a policy of not answering any calls from numbers not on their contact lists.
Pollsters cannot get any response at all from a sizable percentage of the electorate. So how accurate can they get with limited data?
But one of the polling companies (that also said hilLIARy would win) had Beto up by 2%
If Cruz loses the home of The Alamo, I will eat my 10 gallon hat.
Maybe one day the state will have enough California refugees to turn blue, but not yet.
Uh, Abbott is at top of ticket.
Its Ken Paxton as AG, not Bill Paxton (although I miss him)
Arizona in trouble!!
Sinema D, ahead of McSally R for Flake seat.
And they will, as always. Beto has no chance.
The “polls” are claiming a similarly close race in GA where the Democrat is about as incompetent as they come and cannot manage her own personal affairs, yet thinks she’s qualified to be Governor (and likely being funded by Soros groups).
Because DeSantis beat the Establishment candidate (Adam Putnam), there are probably more than a few RINOs more comfortable with the corrupt Communist Mayor of Tallahassee. I think both Kemp in GA and DeSantis should pull off wins, but the Dems will do everything they can to steal the offices.
If Beta O’Cuck only has 50% of Austin residents behind him, he’ll be losing statewide in a landslide.
These are the results from the 2012 Senate race with the proper blue-GOP/red-Commie Dem colors (not the media newspeak). Cruz lost Bexar County by 50-46% to the Democrat Sadler that year. Cruz won statewide 56-41%.
El Paso elected a Republican Mayor last year.
Why can’t they just exclude calls that are not answered?
Senate was NEVER in play, GOP was always going to gain significantly... even before Kavanaugh... With Kavanaugh, the damage will be a lot worse for Dems.
Because they have no way of knowing if those calls skew any certain way or not.
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