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Cruz Leads O’Rourke 50-44 in October Poll
Breitbart ^ | Oct 8, 2018 | Michelle Moons

Posted on 10/08/2018 9:33:34 AM PDT by 11th_VA

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To: Snickering Hound

Polls had her within striking distance a month out....wound up 59% to 39%!!! Never believe liberal polls!!!


61 posted on 10/08/2018 12:07:44 PM PDT by ontap
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To: headstamp 2

Last I heard he had lurched up in the polls!!!


62 posted on 10/08/2018 12:08:45 PM PDT by ontap
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To: BluegrassCardinal

Jim Renacci has been the invisible candidate this season.


63 posted on 10/08/2018 12:13:10 PM PDT by Finatic (Sometimes I think it would be nice to just get it on and get it over with. Once and for all.)
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To: MrEdd

I don’t follow. Please explain how the results would be skewed by just calling until the required number of cell phone users answered.


64 posted on 10/08/2018 12:16:09 PM PDT by ding_dong_daddy_from_dumas (Mozart tells you what it's like to be human. Bach tells you what it's like to be the universe)
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To: MrEdd
So how accurate can they get with limited data?

Poll data is always limited. Yougov was very accurate in 2016. Ras got the same result but got lucky.

65 posted on 10/08/2018 12:23:43 PM PDT by ding_dong_daddy_from_dumas (Mozart tells you what it's like to be human. Bach tells you what it's like to be the universe)
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To: deport

Dems can dream... but they will only wake up... DRY.


66 posted on 10/08/2018 12:43:48 PM PDT by MIA_eccl1212 (Imho)
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To: ding_dong_daddy_from_dumas

Because it is possible that in some cases (but not in others) that the block of people not answering their phone forms a uniform voting factor.

If it were just a small group of people, this wouldn’t matter. But its not a small group of people anymore.

It’s now like trying to predict the temperature a bathtub will have when it fills while being unaware that three of the buckets being poured in are full of ice.

Oh they are?

Yes, why didn’t you check?

They wouldn’t talk to me.


67 posted on 10/08/2018 3:10:10 PM PDT by MrEdd (Caveat Emptor)
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To: MrEdd
Because it is possible that in some cases (but not in others) that the block of people not answering their phone forms a uniform voting factor.

If the % of people not answering cell phones were correlated in general with the probability of answering political poll questions one way, the Yougov polls might be wrong, but they are one of the most accurate. I think the Ras polling is more likely to be wrong because they limit it to landlines.

Maybe there is a such a correlation as you theorize in Texas in 2018. We will check the results, Ras vs Yougov.

68 posted on 10/08/2018 4:11:54 PM PDT by ding_dong_daddy_from_dumas (Mozart tells you what it's like to be human. Bach tells you what it's like to be the universe)
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