Posted on 10/08/2018 9:33:34 AM PDT by 11th_VA
Texas Republican Sen. Ted Cruz leads Democrat challenger Beto ORourke 50 to 44 in a CBS YouGov poll conducted October 2-5. The survey of 1,031 registered and likely Texas voters released Sunday showed Cruz with a six point lead over ORourke in the more recent CBS battleground tracker poll.
Democrat voters were motivated to vote out of opposition to President Donald Trump while Republican voters indicated their vote for U.S. Senate is motivated out of support for President Trump, according to CBS.
Respondents supporting Cruz indicated a greater draw to his issue stances than personal qualities while ORourke supporters relatively evenly supported him on issues and personal qualities.
(Excerpt) Read more at breitbart.com ...
Polls had her within striking distance a month out....wound up 59% to 39%!!! Never believe liberal polls!!!
Last I heard he had lurched up in the polls!!!
Jim Renacci has been the invisible candidate this season.
I don’t follow. Please explain how the results would be skewed by just calling until the required number of cell phone users answered.
Poll data is always limited. Yougov was very accurate in 2016. Ras got the same result but got lucky.
Dems can dream... but they will only wake up... DRY.
Because it is possible that in some cases (but not in others) that the block of people not answering their phone forms a uniform voting factor.
If it were just a small group of people, this wouldn’t matter. But its not a small group of people anymore.
It’s now like trying to predict the temperature a bathtub will have when it fills while being unaware that three of the buckets being poured in are full of ice.
Oh they are?
Yes, why didn’t you check?
They wouldn’t talk to me.
If the % of people not answering cell phones were correlated in general with the probability of answering political poll questions one way, the Yougov polls might be wrong, but they are one of the most accurate. I think the Ras polling is more likely to be wrong because they limit it to landlines.
Maybe there is a such a correlation as you theorize in Texas in 2018. We will check the results, Ras vs Yougov.
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