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Larry Schweikart on Bombs, Polls, and Red Waves
Twitter ^ | 10/25/2018 | By Larry Schweikart

Posted on 10/25/2018 8:50:44 AM PDT by Lazamataz

1) It's obvious from the fact that these so-called "bombs" are hoax devices never intended to explode; that they were 'delivered' to try to keep the "bomb" story alive that this is the work of a DemoKKKrat operative.

2) A free press, no blinded by hate for President Trump would see this in seconds.

3) The American people see it. Far from an "OMG!" moment, this has all the earmarks of an "Are you serious?" moment for the public.

4) Trump defused this (pun intended) with his remarks.

5) That means that the reaction is likely to be exactly the opposite of what the DemoKKKrat strategists hoped.

6) No one has forgotten the invasion force on our southern border.

7) No one can escape the benefits of the growing economy.

8) No one can ignore the ass-kicking the DemoKKKrats are taking in the early and absentee voting.

9) I explained two days ago in my http://www.bigleaguepolitics.com article that the very creation of the DemoKKKrats--early voting--designed to get minorities to the polls has backfired.

10) Instead, it made it impossible for stupid DemoKKKrat tricks like this one to have any meaningful impact. There can no longer BE an 'October Surprise' because more than half the voters have already voted and won't be affected.

11) This is akin to how DemoKKKrats changed their own rules in 1970 after Nixon beat them so that they could nominate a more radical candidate than the 1968 loser Hubie Humphrey.

12) They did. They got George ("The Mad Bomber") McGovern who campaigned on legalized pot and withdrawal from Vietnam. OR to paraphrase William McKinley who campaigned on "a chicken in every pot," McGovern favored "pot in every chicken!"

13) But I digress. The DemoKKKrats expanded the power of the "people" and got squished because of it, so they changed rules again to give power back the superdelegates. This kept their elites in power until Cankles, when she manipulated the superdelegate system to crush Dinobernie.

14) Now we have the early voting backfire.

15) Rs are leading in AZ, FL, GA, TN, MT, and though trailing in NV, are so far ahead of their 2016 pace that it is looking like an R landslide on election day there.

Ditto IA, where Ds always dominate absentee voting, then are swamped on election day.

In OH, they are getting neither: they are trailing absentee/early (for now) and get blown out on ED.

16) So with the #HoaxBombs the DemoKKKrats now try again to change the narrative from their failed early voting scheme.

17) Reminder that you still see whackadoodle polls showing, say, Gillum's Island, ahead. Just based on the #s, that's impossible. There is no way FL Rs lead in these metrics and yet trail in the actual races. More than likely in FL, you have horrible polling in the hurricane affected red areas driving down R numbers; you have the "Wilder effect" of people unwilling to say they won't vote for the black guy ; & you have flat out bad polling, which is to say, polling. (@PPDNews ALWAYS excepted from comments about polling, and Baris three weeks ago had Scott up and DeSantis barely down.)

19) You might say, "Well, even Fox has some bad polls for Rs." Yep. Republicans have bad pollsters too

20) I'm convinced one reason R pollsters are almost as bad as the Ds is that they want to prove themselves "legitimate," & therefore do not want to be far off the "mainstream" of polling.

Look at how they ostracize Rasmussen and @PPDNews

21) And most R pollsters are similar in their biases to Ds in despising Trump and thinking you are all smelly hillbillies.

22) So that's another reason I don't do polls.

23) To repeat--for "faith comes by hearing"--polls are unreliable samples of opinions of future events.

24) Votes are reliable, immutable evidence of past ACTIONS.

25) Even if honest and trustworthy, a poll can be 100% well done today and be 100% wrong tomorrow based on the fact that PEOPLE CHANGE THEIR MINDS.

26) So I remain confident in what the #s are telling us:

Rs will gain net 4-7 senate seats and hold the House by 5 or so seats.

This can change, but I think ONLY in the Republicans' direction.

But #HoaxBombs won't affect the election negatively for Rs.


TOPICS: News/Current Events; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: 2018midterms; blowhard; election; ls
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To: Lazamataz; LS

Great thread. Thanks for keeping us informed!


21 posted on 10/25/2018 9:22:51 AM PDT by azishot (Democrats produce mobs and Republicans produce JOBS!!)
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To: plushaye

“LS is a Free Republic treasure.”
_______________________________________
Amen! to that statement. His words helped many of us remain sane during this election cycle. NICE, he calls ‘here’ home and shares his thoughts with us when feeling it necessary.

Thanks for the post.


22 posted on 10/25/2018 9:27:56 AM PDT by V K Lee ("VICTORY FOR THE RIGHTEOUS IS JUDGMENT FOR THE WICKED")
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To: Lazamataz

23 posted on 10/25/2018 9:28:01 AM PDT by Paleo Conservative (Just because you're paranoid doesn't mean they're not really out to get you.)
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To: Lazamataz

If we hold the House it will be glorious, a repeat of the 2016 Election meltdown on Steroids.


24 posted on 10/25/2018 9:31:25 AM PDT by Kickass Conservative (THEY LIVE, and we're the only ones wearing the Sunglasses.)
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To: BenLurkin

Wasn’t Diniro in Wag the Dog?


25 posted on 10/25/2018 9:33:09 AM PDT by ebshumidors
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To: Lazamataz; LS

Thank you Laz, and Larry.


26 posted on 10/25/2018 9:34:46 AM PDT by NFHale (The Second Amendment - By Any Means Necessary.)
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To: Lazamataz

I think that people are missing the true CUI BONO.

I think the DNC ARE WELL AWARE THAT LEFTISTS ARE WILLING TO BOMB POLLING PLACES TO STOP VOTING FROM OCCURRING ON NOV. 6TH.

In order to DESTROY SPECULATION, THEY ARE TRYING TO ‘PREGENERATE’ RIGHT WING BOMBERS.

When Nov. 6th comes and passes, certain leftists will bomb the polls and the left will use this as a PRETEXT TO CALL THE VOTING ILLEGITIMATE.

I think Trump is well aware of this and will have agents at the polls looking for this.


27 posted on 10/25/2018 9:37:51 AM PDT by struggle
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To: Lazamataz
I think I 💘 him.... ..sigh..
28 posted on 10/25/2018 9:38:14 AM PDT by smvoice (2 Cor.5:20. "Now then we are ambassadors for Christ")
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To: Lazamataz; LS
Terrific stuff from Larry, as usual.

And as for DeNiro now getting his #FakeBomb:

Related image
Image result for robert deniro meet the parent bomb

29 posted on 10/25/2018 9:43:22 AM PDT by SkyPilot ("I am the way and the truth and the life. No one comes to the Father except through me." John 14:6)
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To: Lazamataz
Image result for al sharpton tawana brawley

Tawana was assaulted by Kavanaugh, and Trump sent her a bomb!

30 posted on 10/25/2018 9:45:34 AM PDT by SkyPilot ("I am the way and the truth and the life. No one comes to the Father except through me." John 14:6)
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To: Lazamataz

He is definitely closer to the action than I’ll ever be. It it helps to ha e my own ‘feelings/hun ches confirmed. :)


31 posted on 10/25/2018 9:47:17 AM PDT by SueRae (An administration like no other.)
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To: Sans-Culotte

Yep. Actually laughed out loud when I saw DeNiro got one.


32 posted on 10/25/2018 9:50:36 AM PDT by justa-hairyape (The user name is sarcastic. Although at times it may not appear that way.)
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To: Lazamataz

“19) You might say, “Well, even Fox has some bad polls for Rs.” Yep. Republicans have bad pollsters too”

I do not know who does the Fox polls but they were wa7 off in 2016. IMHO they are useless.


33 posted on 10/25/2018 10:25:53 AM PDT by Parley Baer
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To: Lazamataz

Did you notice that the stamps were not cancelled?


34 posted on 10/25/2018 10:47:15 AM PDT by TBP (Progressives lack compassion and tolerance. Their self-aggrandizement is all that matters.)
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To: Lazamataz
The idiot "bomb maker" used glass instead of metal like ball bearings. IF the bombs were to explode, which they were never intended to do, the glass would have been melted by the explosion. You need sturdy metal for your shrapnel.
35 posted on 10/25/2018 10:51:02 AM PDT by TBP (Progressives lack compassion and tolerance. Their self-aggrandizement is all that matters.)
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To: Lazamataz

Which side has a history of committing “hate crimes” against themselves?


36 posted on 10/25/2018 10:51:55 AM PDT by TBP (Progressives lack compassion and tolerance. Their self-aggrandizement is all that matters.)
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To: Lazamataz

Thanks, Laz. Larry’s analysis has got me smiling ear to ear.


37 posted on 10/25/2018 10:52:23 AM PDT by poconopundit
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To: Sans-Culotte

DeNiro can handle it. he’s been in a lot of bombs.


38 posted on 10/25/2018 10:53:07 AM PDT by TBP (Progressives lack compassion and tolerance. Their self-aggrandizement is all that matters.)
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To: Parley Baer
I do not know who does the Fox polls

Ipsos.

39 posted on 10/25/2018 10:57:42 AM PDT by TBP (Progressives lack compassion and tolerance. Their self-aggrandizement is all that matters.)
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To: justa-hairyape
Yep. Actually laughed out loud when I saw DeNiro got one.

The DEAD GIVEAWAY it is democrats is if Rosie ODonnell and Kathy Griffin get fake-bombs too.

40 posted on 10/25/2018 11:22:06 AM PDT by Lazamataz (The News Misleadia will be held accountable for their lies.....on the eleventy-first of Nevervember.)
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