This would suggest the Dem base is not nearly as fired up to vote as we been told by the Clown media.
NV sadly has become just East CA.
And, from what I read elsewhere, the Democrats are down in early voting and the GOP up in NV, even though they are still behind.
The numbers are from Oct. 23, 2018, I think. Wish NBC would update them.
No wonder Dems are hiring fools to send phony mail bombs, they are running out of options. If they feel they will lose these midterms expect more shenanigans to be pulled before election day
Thanks for posting this, BFAC. And it looks like congratulations on your promotion are in order.
Yep, Heller is the most likely major GOP casualty this round.
Amen! The only poll that counts will be taken on November 6! Please be sure to VOTE!!!
"Whoa, this is big: In state X, the GOP has made up 30.07% of early ballots cast vs. 32.90% for Democrats, but two years ago Democrats made up 33.17% of early ballots and Republicans only 28.25%... and the GOP won that race two years ago!"
Reminds me of all the gushing "look at how amazing these early voting numbers are for Hillary Clinton!" mainstream media news articles in 2016.
And Mr Nate Silver of that highly rated, ABC owned FiveThirtyEight (538) firm just said that polling is more accurate a predictor than early voting. Thus he gives 85% chance for SanFranNan to take the House gavel again.
So what is wrong with this logic? First they was so very accurate about 2016 where, at 10:41AM on Election Day, 8 November, their final prediction was 71% chance for a Hillary Clinton victory. When other pollsters mocked ‘538’ for being the least positive about Hillary’s inevitable victory, that forecast included a point about the unreliability of poll trackers in some cases.
Second, this early vote is unprecedented in the GOP-registered outvoting the Democrats. When something is this significantly skewed, I’d be hedging my bets. So, we will see in 10 days if the pollsters have fixed their 2016 problems or e;se seek to find other excuses.
Publishing these survey results is a very clear dog whistle to Pubbies - “Don’t bother to vote, it’s in the bag.”
Surprised they reported it.
Damn! Look at Montana! Even if Heller loses, it looks from those numbers like Tester would lose and cancel it out.
A 19 point lead! Tester is toast. Way to go Montana!
And many thanks for posting the data...now have a baseline
So expect at least another NBC poll before next Tuesday for comparison
Meanwhile preparing a bowl of Schadenfreude Punch to be followed by a pot of Covfefe.
Yeah what’s up with Nevada?
Don’t think the NV # is right.
In states won by Trump, the GOP leads in early voting.
In states won by CrookedH, the rats lead the early voting.
The ONLY exceptions to this are IA and NC, where the rats lead.
I visit my ex girlfriend’s sister’s FB page now and then since she is a big time nut job lefty.
she recently posted that she is distraught because she has read two separate polls that indicate only about 40% of registered democrats plan to vote in the mid-terms.
Exactly.
What are they voting FOR anyway. Just to get rid of Trump. And then, get rid of him for what exactly?
Really only because they don’t like his personality.
Not much to get excited about if you ask me.
I’d stay home as well if that was all I was voting ‘for’.