Posted on 10/29/2018 11:38:37 PM PDT by SunkenCiv
If SpaceX gets lucky the BFR development costs could come in at the $2 billion low-end estimate. Elon Musk had estimated that it would cost $2 billion to 10 billion to develop. A few more critical successes over the next year will enable SpaceX to solidify the finances and funding for the BFR. The needed critical successes are the NASA crewed launch certification in mid-2019 and successful Falcon Heavy launches in 2019.
SpaceX has pre-sold a moon orbit tourist flight to a Japanese billionaire. This was likely for $500 to $800 million.
The SpaceX Falcon Heavy already has up to seven launches lined up. Commercial and government launch buyers are seeing the value in using the larger rocket to directly place satellites in geosynchronous orbit. Continued launch success in 2019 could bring the Falcon Heavy to five or six launches per year.
SpaceX should become certified for NASA crewed launches in mid-2019. SpaceX will make about $300 million for each of those launches.
The $2 billion lowball estimate for the BFR development must includeIf the SpaceX BFR succeeds on its first orbital like the SpaceX Falcon Heavy, then the cost of BFR development will be in the $2 billion to $2.5 billion range.
- completing the raptor engine
- building one full BFR rocket
- preparing the test launch site
- all sub-orbital testing
- preparing the launch site and landing sites
- a successful 18-24 month orbital testing program
Costs would go up if there were challenges completing the final design and construction of the BFR or in the testing phases.
SpaceX is arranging a $500 million loan via Goldman Sachs. SpaceX could afford another $2 billion in loans with firm Falcon Heavy revenue and the NASA crewed launch revenue.
(Excerpt) Read more at nextbigfuture.com ...
Justa,
Don’t be purposely dense.
Lake water and ocean water is flat.
Stop sidetracking.
WATER IS FLAT.
You can see it with your own eyes.
conej099,
The assertion is WATER IS FLAT.
Either it is or it is not.
Deal with it.
So I take it you are not being sarcastic, too bad.
conejo99,
And I take it that you are not able to observe that
WATER IS FLAT
with your own eyes.
Too bad.
Elliptical orbit with aphelion just past Mars orbit about the Sun.
Why do you suppose that the mast of a ship can be seen at a great distance over calm seas, and the remainder of the ship lower than the mast disappears from view? If the surface were flat, one should be able to see the whole ship if one could clearly discern any part of it.
Officially, Big Falcon Rocket.
BWAHAHAHAHahahahahahahahahahahaha!!!!
Your assertion is that high altitude photography showing a curvature to the Earth was performed with a camera outfitted with a fish-eye lens.
Ozark Tom,
You are not familiar with the concept of a vanishing point in perspective.
NorthMountain,
You are willfully blind.
Ozark Tom,
Yes.
I have flown at high altitude, and been to sea.
I see very clearly ...
You, sir, are willfully blind and your posts on this forum are false in thought, word, and deed. They deserve only howls of derisive laughter.
I was thinking Big F&*%ing Rocket, but hoped I was wrong!
Cargo version first-block should loft 100 (metric) tonnes. U.S. military is speculating on fast deployment? anywhere on the globe using the SpaceX BFR in some capacity.
Technically, it’s Big Falcon Rocket.
Huhhuh huhhuh huhhuh ...
I truly can not imagine what TruthInThoughtWordAndDeed is up to. He seems to have too many posts to be an “agent provocateur” only interested in embarrassing the forum. He seems to writes too well to believe what he says.
What does that leave? Maybe the Earth really is flat.
And his fundamental premise, "water is flat", is false.
NorthMountain,
LAKES ARE FLAT. OCEANS ARE FLAT. WATER IS FLAT.
You are willfully blind.
You have dug your heels into a lie.
You are denying reality.
Water is not flat. You don’t know what you’re talking about.
You are willfully blind.
You have dug your heels into a lie.
You are denying reality.
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